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Politico: New Hampshire Set for Record Primary Turnout


Daniel Lippman reports in Politico:

New Hampshire is on track for record turnout in Tuesday’s presidential primary, according to officials across the state and a POLITICO review of absentee ballot data.


A potential snowstorm Tuesday could deter some people from voting. But regardless, New Hampshire Secretary of State Bill Gardner predicted on Friday that a record 550,000 voters will head to the polls next week. Gardner projected 282,000 ballots will be cast in the Republican primary and 268,000 in the Democratic contest.

In 2008, the last time Democrats and Republicans both had open presidential primaries, 529,000 New Hampshire voters cast ballots.

Gardner’s lofty turnout prediction squares with high rates of absentee ballot requests and returns across New Hampshire so far. Absentee votes comprise a fairly constant share of primary turnout in the state, and requests for absentee ballots are up 12 percent in seven of New Hampshire’s 12 largest towns, per POLITICO’s analysis of figures provided by local elections authorities.


What remains unclear is which candidates would benefit from the predicted record turnout.

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