CNN Polls: Donald Trump Leads in Ohio, Statistically Tied in North Carolina and Nevada

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump leads in Ohio and is virtually tied with opponent Hillary Clinton in North Carolina and Nevada, according to new CNN polls.

Among likely voters in Ohio, Trump leads Clinton in a four-way race that also includes third party candidates, by 48 percent to 44 percent for Hillary Clinton, according to one of the CNN/ORC polls.

Among registered voters who sided with a candidate, 83 percent said their minds were made up, while 16 percent said they could still decide otherwise. Among likely voters, 64 percent were enthusiastic about their choice, while 35 percent were not.

The candidates’ policies, not personalities, overwhelmingly determined their support: 82 percent of registered voters said Trump’s or Clinton’s positions on issues was more important than their candidate’s personal qualities.

On trade, 51 percent of Ohio adults thought Trump would handle it better than Clinton. On the economy, 53 percent thought Trump is better than Clinton, and 50 percent felt the same in regards to immigration. On foreign policy, 56 percent said Clinton would handle it better.

CNN did ask two questions about Trump making lewd comments with Access Hollywood’s Billy Bush in 2005. While 78 percent said they heard a great deal or fair amount about it, only 54 percent said it “reflects his views about women generally,” while 41 percent said it did not.

CNN pollsters did not ask any questions about voters’ thoughts on Clinton’s foreign policy record, such as toppling and killing Libyan dictator Muammar Gaddafi, which opening the route for the many migrants to Europe. Nor did CNN did ask any questions about Clinton’s creation, use and concealment of a primate information network while she was Secretary of State.

In North Carolina, another critical battleground state, Clinton leads Trump 48 percent to 47 percent among likely voters, in a race that also includes Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson.

CNN again asked two questions about Trump making lewd comments with Access Hollywood’s Billy Bush in 2005, while asking none about Clinton’s email scandal or foreign policy record. And 79 percent said they heard a great deal or fair amount about the tape, but 53 percent said it reflects his views about women while 43 percent said it did not.

Among registered North Carolina voters, 50 percent said Trump would do a better job handling the economy, while 46 percent said he would handle immigration better than Clinton. Fifty percent said Clinton would handle immigration policy better, with 58 percent saying she would manage foreign policy better than Trump. On trade, the candidates were virtually tied, with 49 percent saying Clinton would do a better job and 47 percent saying Trump would do a better job.

In Nevada, 46 percent of likely voters backed Clinton, while 44 percent supported Trump in a three-way race. Again, CNN asked two questions about Trump’s decade-old lewd remarks while asking nothing about Clinton’s email scandal or her tenure as Secretary of State – or the Wikileaks revelations, or her attacks on Americans who back Trump as “deplorable,” “irredeemable,” and “not America.”   

CNN conducted interviews with 1,006 adults in Nevada, including 862 registered voters and 698 likely voters from Oct. 10 to Oct. 15, with a margin of error that’s plus or minus 3 percentage points for each result.

The Ohio CNN/ORC poll collected responses from 1,009 adult Ohio residents from Oct. 10 to Oct. 15, 2016, including 890 registered voters and 774 likely voters (registered voters who are more likely to actually vote). The margin of error for each answer is plus or minus three percentage points. The North Carolina poll collected responses from 1,025 adults from Oct. 10 to Oct. 15, including 929 registered voters and 788 likely voters. The poll’s margin of error for each answer was also plus or minus three percentage points.


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