State Polls: Race Tightens as Trump Closes in on Clinton in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin

The Associated Press
The Associated Press

State polls show Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump hot on the heels of Hillary Clinton in battleground states.

In Pennsylvania, Clinton leads Trump by six percentage points in a race that includes third-party candidates, according to a Muhlenberg College/Morning Call survey released Saturday, 45 percent to 39 percent. Nine percent said “neither” or “other,” and three percent were not sure. Of Clinton supporters, 45 percent said they support her “primarily because of her qualities as a candidate,” and 26 percent said they support her “primarily because I want to stop Trump from becoming President.” Of Trump supporters, 39 percent said they support him “primarily because of his qualities as a candidate,” and 30 percent said they support him “primarily because I want to stop Clinton from becoming President.”

Clinton’s Pennsylvania lead is only one half percentage point outside of the poll’s margin of error. That’s a bad sign for Democrats for a state that has swung blue since 1988.

Likewise, Clinton is hanging onto a lead in Wisconsin by only one point outside of one new poll’s margin of error. There, Clinton also leads Trump by six percentage points in a race that includes third-party candidates, according to an Emerson College poll released Saturday, 48 percent to 42 percent. Clinton took out ads in Wisconsin for the first time this election season, according to the Associated Press, signaling her campaign is concerned about polling in the traditionally blue state that’s voted for Democratic presidential candidates since 1984.

In Florida, Emerson College found the two candidates locked in a statistical tie, with Clinton leading Trump 46 percent to 45 percent in a race that includes third-party candidates. The two were also in a statistical tie in North Carolina, where Clinton leads Trump 48 percent to 45 percent in a race that includes third-party candidates.

In Ohio, Emerson College found the two candidates in a dead heat, with 45 percent support each, in a race that includes third-party candidates.

In Nevada, Emerson College found the two candidates locked in a statistical tie, with Clinton leading Trump 44 percent to 42 percent in a race that includes third-party candidates.

If Pennsylvania breaks for Trump, those 20 electoral votes could put him over the 270 threshold. A Wisconsin upset would deliver 10 crucial electoral votes. Florida, with 29 electoral votes, is another must-win swing state that will cinch the election.

The Muhlenberg College/Morning Call survey questioned 420 likely Pennsylvania voters from Oct. 20 to Oct. 26, with a margin of error of plus or minus 5.5 percentage points.

Emerson College pollsters questioned 400 likely Wisconsin voters from Oct. 27 to Oct. 28, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points. They questioned 500 likely Florida voters from Oct. 27 to Oct. 28, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points. They questioned 650 likely North Carolina voters from Oct. 27 to Oct. 28, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points. They questioned 800 likely Ohio voters from Oct. 27 to Oct. 28, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points. They questioned 550 likely Nevada voters from Oct. 27 to Oct. 28, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.

FL Oct 27 v2 by Breitbart News on Scribd

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