A Nov. 1st press release from California Calls Action Fund announced a “ground game” in effort to bring newly-registered and infrequent voters in support of Proposition 30 to the polls on election day. The organization is partnering with the Reclaim California’s Future Coalition to send local volunteers knocking on doors and phoning all over California.
The press release cites a recent poll conducted by Field Research which shows 48% of likely voters in support of Proposition 30. A majority is needed for it to pass. The percentage of voters in opposition to 30, which the poll has at 38%, was not included in the press release. When asked about this, press contact Ana Beatriz Cholo said they did not find this information relevant and just wanted to highlight how close 30 is from passing.
The Field Research poll also identified 466,799 newly-registered and infrequent voters who support 30. California Calls points out that “These are voters who are typically overlooked in polling,” and calculates that if just 55% of these voters show up at the polls, 30 would pass with a 3.9% margin of victory.
The poll was a live telephone poll, calling landlines as well as cell phone numbers.
The subtext of the press release seems to be that Proposition 30 is below a majority and is not likely to pass, hence the urging of last-minute get-out-the-vote efforts.