World View: Uncertainty After Death of Pro-America Ethiopian PM

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com:
  • Death of Ethiopia's prime minister could affect Mideast security
  • Jewish Israeli youths lynch Palestinians in Jerusalem as hundreds watched
  • Armenian terrorist group threatens Turkey over Syria

Death of Ethiopia's prime minister could affect Mideast security

For years, a lynchpin in the fight against al-Qaeda affiliates in the horn of Africa, especially Somalia, was Meles Zenawi Asres, the Prime Minister of Ethiopia and a close American ally. His death could weaken the fight against terrorist militants in the region. However, Deputy Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn, who will become acting prime minister, says that nothing will change, and that Ethiopia will continue to be a leader in the fight against Islamist militancy. LA Times

Jewish Israeli youths lynch Palestinians in Jerusalem as hundreds watched

I've reported on several occasions about so-call "price tag" attacks by Jewish settlers on Palestinians in the West Bank. The phrase "price tag" is frequently used by far-right Israeli settlers to denote revenge attacks against Palestinians or IDF soldiers in response to moves by the Israeli government to evacuate illegal West Bank outposts, or as retribution for attacks by Palestinians. 

However, the attempted lynching of four Arab youths by dozens of Jewish teens on Friday is a substantially more serious matter and indicates that the mutual xenophobia between Jews and Arabs is becoming increasingly critical. According to one suspect's brother, it was the four Arab youths who had provoked passersby and "made passes at Jewish girls." He added: "Why should an Arab make passes at my sister? They shouldn't be here, it's our area. For what other reason would they come here if not to make passes at Jewish girls?" 

This was not an attack by settlers, but it's part of the overall framework of increased violence against Paletinians by a small fringe of Israelis. According to an analysis, the number of "price tag" attacks by Israeli settlers has been increasing because the attacks have been achieving their goals. The Benjamin Netanyahu government would like to close down some West Bank settlements, but the "price tag" attacks make it much more difficult to do so. Generational Dynamics predicts that there will be a new Mideast war, re-fighting the war between Jews and Arabs that followed the 1948 partitioning of Palestine and creation of the state of Israel. Haaretz and Foreign Affairs

Armenian terrorist group threatens Turkey over Syria

The Armenian Secret Army for the Liberation of Armenia (ASALA), a group that conducted numerous terrorist murders during the 1970s-80s, but has been mostly inactive since 1985, is now threatening Turkey because of its policy in Syria: 

The aggressive policy against Iraq's integrity, the direct military intervention in the bloody crisis of Syria, the continuation for more than 20 years of the blockade imposed on Armenia, the conspiratorial and double-faced policy towards Iran, the non-stopping threats against the territorial integrity of Greece and Cyprus and the augmenting coercive measures against the Kurdish people have transformed Turkey into a center of danger for the stability of the region. The conspiratorial and hostile policy of the Turkish state against the neighboring countries reached its peak and has led Turkey in a total isolation in the whole region.

Like the Russians, Armenians are historic enemies of Turkey. Russians and Armenians are Orthodox Christians, while Turks are Sunni Muslims. The last major crisis war in the region was the World War I time frame, while the previous one was the Crimean War of the 1850s. So these countries are all well into generational Crisis eras, and highly susceptible to all out war. Zaman (Istanbul)

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