World View -- Report: U.S. Military Action in Syria May Be Imminent
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Debka: U.S., Israel, Turkey, Jordan planning military action in Syria
- Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) tries to regain influence
- Bank of Cyprus customers will lose 60% of their savings
Debka: U.S., Israel, Turkey, Jordan planning military action in Syria
I try to be cautious about quoting Debka, whose reporters have
contacts within intelligence services in a number of countries. On
the one hand, they provide insights that are not available elsewhere.
But on the other hand, they sometimes get things wrong. In the past
few years, they've predicted several imminent wars that never
occurred. Debka's weekly subscriber-only newsletter (sent to me by a
subscriber) is laying out plans for imminent military action in Syria,
to counter the threat of chemical and biological weapons, either by
the regime of president Bashar al-Assad, or by al-Qaeda linked
terrorists, such as the jihadist group Jabhat al-Nusra Brigades. The
following is a summary of what Debka is saying. I leave it to you,
Dear Reader, to do your own evaluation as to how close we are to
full-scale war in Syria:
Debka and Debka
- The recent restoration of diplomatic relations between Turkey
and Israel has opened the door to a joint military operation by the
U.S., Turkey, Israel and Jordan in Syria. For the U.S., this would
not be a "lead from behind" operation. The U.S. would supply 12,000
soldiers initially, increasing to 75,000.
- The objective of this operation would be to take control of
Syria's chemical and biological weapons, keeping them out of the hands
of either the al-Assad regime or the al-Qaeda linked terrorists.
However, a second operation, involving NATO, would have removal of
al-Assad its objective. A possible Israeli objective would be to
attack Hizbollah in Lebanon.
- In anticipation of this military operation, Russia and Iran have
been doubling or tripling their arms shipments to the al-Assad regime.
Furthermore, the flights have been landing in air strips closer to the
actual battles, to avoid having to transport the weapons over land.
On Thursday, the regime issued protective gear for chemical warfare to
two elite Syrian army divisions. Al-Assad may be planning an all-out
attempt to win the civil war, through the use of chemical and
- The following "terrorist organizations" are defined: On the one
hand, the Lebanese Shiite Hizbollah and the Alawite "Shabiha" -
civilian militiamen loyal to the Assad clan and his Ba'ath party, who
were recently augmented by Iraqi Shiite fighters; and, on the other,
Islamist rebel forces led by Al Qaeda's Syrian arm, the Jabhat
- A major split has occurred in the Arab League, with opposing
factions led by Saudi Arabia and Qatar. Saudi Arabia has launched a
large-scale supply operation of heavy weapons to rebel forces for the
capture to Aleppo airport, to inhibit weapons shipments from Iran and
Russia to the al-Assad regime. Ironically, the weapons are
Russian-made, having been purchased from the Balkans nations of
Serbia, Bosnia, Croatia and Kosovo.
- The news that Saudi Arabia was supplying Syrian rebels with heavy
weapons caused verbal and physical violence between Saudi and Qatari
delegates at least week's Arab League summit. The Saudis accuse the
Qataris of conspiring to bring the Muslim Brotherhood to power in
Damascus, including radical groups tied to al-Qaeda. The Qataris
accuse the Saudis of trying to gain control of the Syrian rebel
- Since March 21, Russian warships in the Mediterranean were ordered
to avoid Syria's Tartus port, because the piers and facilities are
crowded with Syrian Alawite refugees begging Russian seamen begging
for food, water and medical aid. Instead, they'll be docking at
Lebanon's Beirut port.
Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) tries to regain influence
The Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) has been trying for years to
gain worldwide stature as militant jihadists, but actually has been
losing influence in its home regions in Central Asia. The lost of
influence is attributed to an information campaign that has been
conducted in the region, involving governments, religious leaders,
media and NGOs, to explain the differences between true religion and
extremism. In fact, the IMU is currently more deeply entrenched in
Pakistan and Afghanistan. But with the spring thaw in progress, it's
now trying to make alliances with other terrorists to reestablish
itself around the volatile Fergana Valley, and all along the border
between Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan. Central Asia Online
Bank of Cyprus customers will lose 60% of their savings
Details continue to come out about how much of the savings of Cyprus
savers will be confiscated by the government in return for the EU
bailout that prevented bankruptcy. Bank accounts containing less than
100,000 euros will remain, although there will remain strict limits on
withdrawals. But savings above 100,000 euros in the Bank of Cyprus
will lose 60% or more of their savings:
Quite honestly, this takes my breath away. Bloomberg and AFP
- The first 37.5% will be converted into near worthless
shares of the Bank of Cyprus.
- The next 22.5% will be permanently confiscated.
- The remaining 40% will be temporarily frozen, and will be released
"within a short time frame."
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail