World View: Pakistan's Attempts at Peace with Taliban Seem Doomed to Failure
- Pakistan's attempts at peace with Taliban seem doomed to failure
- Bird flu and MERS virus show new potential for spreading
Pakistan's attempts at peace with Taliban seem doomed to failure
Nawaz Sharif, the new PM of Pakistan, made a campaign promise that he
would negotiate with the Pakistan Taliban (Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan
- TTP), so that TTP would stop terrorist bombing strikes on Pakistani
targets (and presumably leaving them free to focus on terrorist attacks on
Nato and Afghan government sites in Afghanistan). At the time, I
indicated that Sharif's campaign promise was a dream.
Since taking office, Sharif has been attempting to fulfill his
promise, but he's had one problem after another.
First, the Punjabi branch of the TTP said that they weren't interested
in peace talks, so they went their separate way. Then
Lashkar-e-Janghvi (LeJ), which has set as its goal as the extermination
of all Shia Muslims in Pakistan and has been methodically setting off
bombs in order to achieve that goal, also said that they weren't
interested in peace talks; LeJ went its separate way.
That left the TTP with a couple of its branches missing. Then, on May
29, a TTP leader was killed by a U.S. drone strike in the tribal
region of Pakistan. The TTP decided to "completely cancel" its offer
to talk, and said, "We will teach a lesson to Pakistan and United
States for depriving us of our leader."
According to an Indian analysis, Pakistan continues to offer broad
state support to "a wide range of jihadist formations" operating
against Afghanistan and India. The analysis adds that Pakistan's
"policy of duplicity" is failing "to contain the blowback of violence
within the country."
From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, India and Pakistan
are headed for a major war between Sunni Muslims versus Hindus and
Shia Muslims, refighting the bloody genocidal war between Muslims and
Hindus that followed Partition, the 1947 partitioning of the Indian
subcontinent into India and Pakistan. Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP)
Bird flu and MERS virus show new potential for spreading
There are two different deadly flu viruses floating around, each
showing greater potential than before to start a worldwide pandemic.
The new H7N9 bird flu is showing "unique traits" in China that make it
more likely to spread. In particular, it is able to infect both the
nose and the lungs, making it easy to spread, and making it likely to
cause death from pneumonia. This indicates that a mutation has
occurred, making the new bird flu virus easier to spread. Since the
H7N9 outbreak began last spring, 135 people have been infected and
there have been 44 deaths.
The second virus potentially capable of producing a deadly pandemic is
the extremely lethal Middle Eastern Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus
(MERS-CoV). Researchers have thought that virus is contained in Saudi
Arabia, where it has infected 114 people and killed 54.
However, it now turns out that the MERS virus may already have spread
much farther. Dromedary camels, water buffaloes, and cows in Cairo,
Egypt and also in the Nile Delta region turned out to have blood
antibodies from the MERS-CoV virus. The animals had been imported
from Sudan, indicating that the virus may already have spread there,
causing more infections and deaths that have gone unreported.
There is already grave concern that the Hajj, which will bring
millions of Muslims from around the world to Saudi Arabia in October
for their once in a lifetime pilgrimage, will result in the spread of
MERS-CoV to countries around the world.
Potential flu pandemics in recent years have been contained because of
strenuous efforts by the World Health Organization (WHO), and that in
fact may happen again. However, the world is overdue for a major
deadly flu pandemic, and either H7N9 or MERS-CoV are possible
candidates. BBC and Recombinomics
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Pakistan, Nawaz Sharif,
Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan, TTP, Lashkar-e-Jhangvi, LeJ,
H7N9 bird flu, China, Saudi Arabia, Sudan,
Middle Eastern Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus, MERS-CoV
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