World View: U.S. to Cut Off Military Aid to Egypt
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Afghan president Karzai slams Nato for fighting the Taliban
- U.S. to cut off military aid to Egypt in wake of coup
- North Korea puts its military on high alert
Afghan president Karzai slams Nato for fighting the Taliban
Hamid Karzai on Monday (BBC)
Afghanistan's president Hamid Karzai has indicated that Nato's
12-year-old war was a failure. In an interview, Karzai said:
"On the security front the entire Nato exercise was
one that caused Afghanistan a lot of suffering, a lot of loss of
life, and no gains because the country is not
They [the Taliban] are Afghans. Where the Afghan president, the
Afghan government can appoint the Taliban to a government job they
are welcome. But where it's the Afghan people appointing people
through elections to state organs then the Taliban should come and
participate in elections.
The return of the Taliban will not undermine progress. This
country needs to have peace. I am willing to stand for anything
that will bring peace to Afghanistan and through that to promote
the cause of the Afghan women better."
So, the implication is that the 12-year effort to eject the Taliban
after 9/11/2001 was a waste. This isn't a surprising conclusion. As
I've been writing for years, when President Obama announced a "surge"
into Afghanistan, hoping to duplicate the success of the president
George Bush's "surge" into Iraq, there was no chance that the
Afghanistan "surge" would succeed, based on generational reasons, and
on the relationship of the Afghan Pashtun to the Pakistan Pashtun.
(See "29-Sep-13 World View -- Violence in Afghanistan surges in September") And it was just
two months ago that Secretary of State John Kerry announced, with
great pomp and fanfare, an agreement with the Taliban to hold peace
talks, but the talks collapsed in one day after they were announced.
Karzai and Obama have never gotten along very well anyway, and in 2009
Obama described Karzai as an unreliable and ineffective partner.
Still, Karzai's remarks come at a crucial time in negotiations over
how many troops the U.S. will leave behind for training and such,
after the Nato withdrawal in 2014. Karzai's outburst appears to make
the "zero option" more likely -- that zero troops will be left
behind. BBC and
U.S. to cut off military aid to Egypt in wake of coup
Reports indicate that the U.S. will announced on Wednesday a decision
to cut off military aid to Egypt. Egypt currently receives $1.5
billion in US aid annually, $1.3 billion of which is designated for
the military. The aid includes military equipment, including
Ever since the July 3 army coup ousting Egypt's democratically elected
president, Mohamed Morsi, the Obama administration has carefully
avoided using the word "coup," since the U.S. has a strict law that
aid will be terminated to any country where the army stages a coup
against a democratically elected leader. (See "4-Jul-13 World View -- Egypt's army deposes Morsi in a non-coup coup") The administration has repeatedly refused
to declare whether a "coup" occurred on July 3, but this
report seems to indicate that the administration has finally
made up its mind.
Whatever the symbolism of cutting off $1.5 billion in annual aid,
there will be little practical effect. The reason is that, with
Morsi's Muslim Brotherhood out of government, Egypt has been promised
$12 billion in aid from Gulf Arab states that don't like or trust the
Muslim Brotherhood -- Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates (UAE), and
Kuwait -- and reports indicate that the money has been pouring in.
The cutoff of aid has the potential of changing the balance of power
in the Mideast. Ever since Egypt and Israel signed the Camp David
peace agreement in 1979, America has been providing billions in aid to
both Israel and Egypt. With the cutoff of aid, Egypt's government may
be under pressure to repudiate the treaty.
Relations between the U.S. and Egypt have been deteriorating steadily,
every since President Obama's "apology tour" speech in Cairo in 2009,
where he raised everyone's hopes, and where he made promises that
could never be kept, with the result that America's popularity in
Egypt today is at its lowest point in decades. When the Arab Spring
began, President Obama called for Hosni Mubarak to step down,
humiliating Mubarak and infuriating King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia. In
recent months, President Obama has repeatedly damaged American
credibility with incompetent flip-flops with respect to the conflict
in Syria, endorsement of an Afghanistan peace process that collapsed
in 24 hours, and endorsement of a new Mideast "peace process" that's
considered a joke in the Mideast. Now, the new report that President
Obama is going to end aid to Egypt is going to convince anyone who
isn't already convinced that President Obama and Secretary of State
Kerry don't have the vaguest clue what they're doing, or what they're
going to do next. CNN
North Korea puts its military on high alert
North Korea has put its military forces on high alert, after
U.S. warships reached South Korea in preparation for scheduled
military exercises with South Korea and Japan. According to
a statement by North Korea's official news agency, which
refers to North Korea as the DPRK and to South Korea as
"That the U.S. and its south Korean puppet
trigger-happy forces seek the joint military exercises with a
nuclear carrier involved is the revelation of the bellicose
attempt to escalate the situation on the Korean Peninsula to the
extreme pitch of tension, prevent the dialogue and peace from
progressing and attain the ambition for invading the DPRK by
openly threatening it with nukes.
The South Korean puppet regime plans to deploy the nuclear carrier
in waters off south Korea in collusion with the U.S. in a futile
bid to frighten the DPRK.
The DPRK will never be browbeaten by it or any other things more
powerful than it.
It has all means and forces to cope with any adventurous nuclear
war scenarios of the U.S. and the puppet forces. It is fully ready
to show its mettle to the bellicose forces running amuck by
counting on the nuclear carrier.
The regime would be well advised to be well aware that it is fated
to meet the complete ruin which can never be recovered by the
nuclear carrier and anything else more powerful than it if it
continues pursuing reckless military provocations against the
DPRK, backed by its American master."
Evidence is growing that North Korea is restarting its nuclear
reactors. TIME and KCNA (Pyongyang)
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