World View: Missile Attack on Ukraine Helicopter Portends Bigger Conflict
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Missile attack on Ukraine helicopter portends a bigger conflict
- Hamas and Fatah move to unified Palestinian government, as Israel objects
Missile attack on Ukraine helicopter portends a bigger conflict
Black smoke rising from the scene of the helicopter crash (AP)
On Wednesday, pro-Russian separatists in east Ukraine launched a
ground to air missile, and downed a Ukraine army helicopter,
killing 12 government soldiers. This was a devastating blow
to Ukraine's government, and it seriously escalates the conflict.
There have been multiple reports that fighters from Russia have been
joining the anti-government rebels. According to one report on the
BBC, there have been numerous fighters from Chechnya, Abkhazia and
South Ossetia crossing the border and fighting on the side of the
pro-Russian separatists in east Ukraine. There have also been some
reports of rebel groups fighting each other for control of their
The ground-to-air missile that brought down the helicopter may or may
not have been supplied by Russia. Ukraine itself is a manufacturer of
many kinds of weapons, so there are multiple possible sources where
the rebels could have obtained this weapon.
From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, Ukraine is in a
generational Crisis era, which means that a spark could ignite a
conflict that spirals into a war. I'm particularly struck by how
often I hear the words "fascists" and "Nazis" used, evoking memories
of the bloody battles of World War II. The people who are using those
words have little or no memory of the horrors of the torture, rape and
mutilation that occurred in those battles. All they know is that
their side were the heroes, and the other side were the criminals, and
that it's finally time to even the score. BBC and Kyiv Post
Hamas and Fatah move to unified Palestinian government, as Israel objects
With last month's collapse of the Mideast "peace talks," the
Palestinians made it clear that they're going to go their own way.
This means, for example, applying to hundreds of United Nations
organizations as the State of Palestine.
On Thursday, the Palestinians announced the next step in their
plans. Hamas, the governing authority in Gaza, and the
Palestinian Authority (PA/Fatah) announced that Rami Hamdallah,
who is considered to be a relatively non-ideological technocrat,
is to be the head of the new unity government, combining Hamas
There were problems almost as soon as the announcements were made.
There were also supposed to be announcements of the entire unity
government cabinet, but they were postponed because of disagreements.
Fatah and Hamas were at war several years ago, and several subsequent
attempts at unity have collapsed because of hostility between the two.
If the Palestinians do succeed in forming a unity government, then
they'll face other problems. The U.S. and the EU identify Hamas as a
terrorist organization with a charter that includes the total
destruction of Israel. So Israel has said that they won't do business
with any government that includes Hamas. And U.S. law prohibits aid
to the Palestinians to benefit Hamas, "or any entity effectively
controlled by Hamas, any power-sharing government of which Hamas is a
member, or that results from an agreement with Hamas and over which
Hamas exercises undue influence."
If a unity government is actually successfully formed, then there will
be pressure within the EU to recognize the unity government. That
would certainly change the geopolitical landscape, but there are many
"if's" that will have to be faced before that point is reached.
Ma'an News (Bethlehem) and Jerusalem Post
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