Dodgers 1st with 4 of Top 20 Value Add Pitchers

A replacement-level pitcher going eight innings in Dodger Stadium with just two runs of support has only an 18% chance of winning a game, but Ricky Nolasco won 2-0 under those circumstances Thursday. Value Add gives the team 0.18 for the win, while Nolasco is credited with 0.82 of the win to move up to 19th in Value Add (see pitchers ranked 1st through 210th below). 

The www.valueaddbaseball.com database will be updated this weekend to include game-by-game accounts of 3,652 starts (any by a pitcher with at least five starts), 21,916 innings pitched with 9,485 earned runs allowed for a 3.90 ERA. The database also includes game-by-game breakdowns of the 15,321 runs scored to support these starters, as well as then 805 unearned runs allowed behind them, and 4,843 allowed by their bullpen, which totals 9,673 Net Runs of support for an average 3.88 ERA Needed to win. However, because any ERA Needed below 0.00 is recorded as a 0.00 for a given game, the actual average ERA Needed to win a given game is 4.65. 

The new rankings below are through Thursday's games, so do not include Nolasco's Friday night start, but in a four-game playoff series the Dodgers would now have four Top 20 pitchers. Clayton Kershaw is 2nd, Hyun-Jin Ryu is 10th, Zack Greinke is 18th despite missing a part of the season with injuries, and Nolasco was 31st before Friday's start shot him into the Top 20. The Dodgers are also the only team with nine total pitchers on the list, as they had some terrible pitching early in the year before acquiring Nolasco from Miami.

The only team with three Top 20 pitchers are the Reds (Matt Latos, Mike Leake and Bronson Arroyo) and the only other team with two Top 20 pitchers is Colorado (Jorge De La Rosa and Jhoulys Chacin) who go unnoticed as they pitch through the mile high air in Colorado. Here is the entire list through Thursday's game.

Rnk Row Labels Team Value Add
1 Patrick Corbin ARI 15.1
2 Clayton Kershaw LAD 12.7
3 Max Scherzer DET 11.8
4 Matt Latos CIN 11.8
5 Jordan Zimmermann WSH 10.9
6 Derek Holland TEX 10.6
7 Julio Teheran ATL 10.4
8 Hisashi Iwakuma SEA 10.2
9 Adam Wainwright STL 10.1
10 Hyun-Jin Ryu LAD 10.1
11 Jorge De La Rosa COL 9.9
12 Jhoulys Chacin COL 9.9
13 James Shields KC 9.8
14 Hiroki Kuroda NYY 9.8
15 Cliff Lee PHI 9.8
16 Mike Leake CIN 9.6
17 Chris Sale CHW 9.6
18 Zack Greinke LAD 9.1
19 Bronson Arroyo CIN 9.0
20 Chris Tillman BAL 8.9
21 Matt Harvey NYM 8.9
22 Bartolo Colon OAK 8.9
23 Yu Darvish TEX 8.9
24 Mark Buehrle TOR 8.8
25 Felix Hernandez SEA 8.7
26 Justin Masterson CLE 8.7
27 Mike Minor ATL 8.6
28 Jose Fernandez MIA 8.6
29 A.J. Griffin OAK 8.4
30 Madison Bumgarner SF 8.3
31 Ricky Nolasco LAD 8.2
32 Francisco Liriano PIT 8.1
33 Shelby Miller STL 8.0
34 Kyle Lohse MIL 7.9
35 C.J. Wilson LAA 7.8
36 Jeremy Guthrie KC 7.6
37 Doug Fister DET 7.5
38 CC Sabathia NYY 7.4
39 Jarrod Parker OAK 7.3
40 Clay Buchholz BOS 7.3
41 Jon Lester BOS 7.3
42 Matt Garza TEX 7.3
43 Matt Moore TB 7.2
44 Homer Bailey CIN 7.1
45 Kris Medlen ATL 7.1
46 Anibal Sanchez DET 7.0
47 Felix Doubront BOS 7.0
48 Ervin Santana KC 6.9
49 Miguel Gonzalez BAL 6.9
50 Jeff Samardzija CHC 6.9
51 Lance Lynn STL 6.8
52 R.A. Dickey TOR 6.8
53 David Price TB 6.8
54 Bud Norris BAL 6.8
55 Kyle Kendrick PHI 6.7
56 Jeff Locke PIT 6.7
57 Jered Weaver LAA 6.7
58 Dillon Gee NYM 6.6
59 Justin Verlander DET 6.4
60 Ryan Dempster BOS 6.2
61 Eric Stults SD 6.1
62 Travis Wood CHC 6.0
63 Jonathan Pettibone PHI 6.0
64 A.J. Burnett PIT 5.9
65 John Lackey BOS 5.9
66 Gio Gonzalez WSH 5.8
67 Jose Quintana CHW 5.8
68 Samuel Deduno MIN 5.6
69 Scott Feldman CHC 5.6
70 Zach McAllister CLE 5.4
71 Tim Hudson ATL 5.4
72 Ivan Nova NYY 5.4
73 Kevin Correia MIN 5.3
74 Rick Porcello DET 5.3
75 Jeremy Hellickson TB 5.3
76 Ubaldo Jimenez CLE 5.3
77 Randall Delgado ARI 5.3
78 Matt Cain SF 5.3
79 Wily Peralta MIL 5.2
80 Cole Hamels PHI 4.9
81 Corey Kluber CLE 4.8
82 Jason Marquis SD 4.8
83 Andrew Cashner SD 4.7
84 Jake Westbrook STL 4.7
85 Wade Miley ARI 4.6
86 Martin Perez TEX 4.6
87 Jake Peavy BOS 4.6
88 Marco Estrada MIL 4.4
89 David Phelps NYY 4.3
90 Alex Cobb TB 4.3
91 Edinson Volquez SD 4.3
92 Wei-Yin Chen BAL 4.2
93 Dylan Axelrod CHW 4.1
94 Hector Santiago CHW 4.1
95 Tommy Milone OAK 4.1
96 Tyler Chatwood COL 4.0
97 Jacob Turner MIA 3.9
98 Joe Kelly STL 3.9
99 Stephen Strasburg WSH 3.9
100 Chris Archer TB 3.7
101 Edwin Jackson CHC 3.7
102 Ian Kennedy SD 3.6
103 Charlie Morton PIT 3.6
104 Tim Lincecum SF 3.6
105 Tony Cingrani CIN 3.6
106 Joe Saunders SEA 3.5
107 Andy Pettitte NYY 3.5
108 Alexi Ogando TEX 3.3
109 Paul Maholm ATL 3.3
110 Jason Vargas LAA 3.3
111 Mike Pelfrey MIN 3.2
112 Dallas Keuchel HOU 3.2
113 Bruce Chen KC 3.2
114 Juan Nicasio COL 3.2
115 Zack Wheeler NYM 3.1
116 Jarred Cosart HOU 3.1
117 Jaime Garcia STL 3.0
118 Dan Straily OAK 2.9
119 Jordan Lyles HOU 2.9
120 Wandy Rodriguez PIT 2.9
121 Dan Haren WSH 2.8
122 Scott Kazmir CLE 2.6
123 Jason Hammel BAL 2.6
124 Jon Garland COL 2.6
125 Gerrit Cole PIT 2.5
126 Nate Eovaldi MIA 2.5
127 Henderson Alvarez MIA 2.5
128 John Danks CHW 2.4
129 Jonathon Niese NYM 2.4
130 Tom Koehler MIA 2.4
131 Kevin Slowey MIA 2.4
132 Yovani Gallardo MIL 2.3
133 Ross Detwiler WSH 2.3
134 Erasmo Ramirez SEA 2.3
135 Chad Gaudin SF 2.2
136 Jeremy Hefner NYM 2.1
137 Garrett Richards LAA 2.1
138 Trevor Cahill ARI 2.1
139 Wade Davis KC 2.0
140 John Lannan PHI 2.0
141 Stephen Fife LAD 2.0
142 Chris Capuano LAD 1.8
143 Chris Rusin CHC 1.8
144 Alfredo Aceves BOS 1.6
145 Roberto Hernandez TB 1.6
146 Tyson Ross SD 1.6
147 Esmil Rogers TOR 1.5
148 Alex Wood ATL 1.5
149 Brandon Morrow TOR 1.5
150 Freddy Garcia BAL 1.5
151 Taylor Jordan WSH 1.4
152 Andre Rienzo CHW 1.4
153 Phil Hughes NYY 1.3
154 Justin Grimm TEX 1.2
155 Jeremy Bonderman DET 1.2
156 Carlos Villanueva CHC 1.1
157 James McDonald PIT 1.1
158 Lucas Harrell HOU 1.0
159 Brandon Beachy ATL 1.0
160 Brandon McCarthy ARI 1.0
161 Alex Sanabia MIA 0.9
162 Jerome Williams LAA 0.9
163 Jose Alvarez DET 0.9
164 Zach Britton BAL 0.9
165 Aaron Harang SEA 0.9
166 Johnny Cueto CIN 0.8
167 Josh Lindblom TEX 0.8
168 Jake Arrieta BAL 0.8
169 Chien-Ming Wang TOR 0.7
170 Jeanmar Gomez PIT 0.7
171 Tyler Skaggs ARI 0.6
172 PJ Walters MIN 0.6
173 Jenrry Mejia NYM 0.6
174 Barry Zito SF 0.6
175 Tyler Lyons STL 0.6
176 Brett Anderson OAK 0.5
177 Tommy Hanson LAA 0.5
178 Chad Bettis COL 0.5
179 Kevin Gausman BAL 0.5
180 Tyler Cloyd PHI 0.4
181 Pedro Hernandez MIN 0.4
182 Todd Redmond TOR 0.3
183 Nick Tepesch TEX 0.1
184 Luis Mendoza KC 0.0
185 Brandon Maurer SEA 0.0
186 Shaun Marcum NYM -0.1
187 Vance Worley MIN -0.2
188 J.A. Happ TOR -0.3
189 Hiram Burgos MIL -0.4
190 Kyle Gibson MIN -0.4
191 Alfredo Figaro MIL -0.5
192 Scott Diamond MIN -0.5
193 Erik Bedard HOU -0.6
194 Josh Johnson TOR -0.6
195 Ted Lilly LAD -0.6
196 Ryan Vogelsong SF -0.7
197 Josh Beckett LAD -0.8
198 Roy Halladay PHI -0.9
199 Gavin Floyd CHW -0.9
200 Allen Webster BOS -1.1
201 Donovan Hand MIL -1.2
202 Tom Gorzelanny MIL -1.2
203 Matt Magill LAD -1.3
204 Wade LeBlanc MIA -1.3
205 Philip Humber HOU -1.3
206 Brad Peacock HOU -1.5
207 Carlos Carrasco CLE -1.5
208 Jeff Francis COL -1.7
209 Joe Blanton LAA -1.9
210 Clayton Richard SD -2.2
As always, make sure to follow our team on Twitter for breaking news and thoughts. I can be followed @jpudner, Tony Lee @TheTonyLee, Cole Muzio @ColeMuzio, Cameron Scales @CamScales, and Benjamin Chance @CBenjaminChance. Also, remember to follow our site @BreitbartSports.

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