College Basketball Preview: Glenn Robinson, Jordan Adams Top Value Add Player Rankings

UCLA’s Jordan Adams broke his foot to end UCLA’s title hopes then lost teammate Shabazz Muhammad to the NBA. But www.valueaddbasketball.com projects him as the second best returning player this season behind only Michigan’s Glenn Robinson, and with Kyle Anderson also back, UCLA has two of the Top 50 best players in the country listed below.

A year after projecting Otto Porter would go from scoring single digits to Player of the Year, and spotting Trey Burke as the clear POY early in the season, Value Add projects a group of sophomores as the best in the land.

Players typically make a huge jump in productivity between their freshman and sophomore seasons, and that would project Robinson would improve Michigan's scores by an average of 13.39 percent per game, just better than Adams's projected 12.99. The preseason All-American team based on the ratings would be led by point guard Marcus Smart, who decided to take a shot at a title at Oklahoma State rather than rake in millions this year. With TJ Warren (NC State) on the team, the top four players come from the top four conferences, but small schools have a representative in Stony Brook's Jameel Warney as the projected fifth best player.

The projections do not reflect the early games, but were released after each team had played a game to verify the players were on the correct rosters. Of the top 50 players, 48 played in their season opener. Mitch McGary of Michigan missed the opener with a minor injury but is back practicing with the team. UNC's PJ Hairston sat out due to an NCAA investigation of possible violations. A separate post covers the top teams, and the rankings of the 2,100 players expected to add value to their teams this year will be posted on the database at www.valueaddbasketball.com.

Rnk First Name Last Name Team Ht Class Value Add
1 Glenn Robinson Michigan 6-06 So 13.39
2 Jordan Adams UCLA 6-05 So 12.99
3 TJ Warren NC State 6-08 So 11.31
4 Marcus Smart Oklahoma St. 6-04 So 11.17
5 Jameel Warney Stony Brook 6-08 So 10.44
6 Gary Harris Michigan St. 6-04 So 10.36
7 Nik Stauskas Michigan 6-06 So 10.27
8 Andrew Wiggins Kansas 6-07 Fr 10.00
9 Shabazz Napier Connecticut 6-01 Sr 9.80
10 Sam Dekker Wisconsin 6-07 So 9.60
11 Spencer Dinwiddie Colorado 6-05 Jr 9.57
12 Russ Smith Louisville 6-00 Sr 9.55
13 Aaron Gordon Arizona 6-08 Fr 9.50
14 TJ McConnell Arizona 6-01 Jr 9.43
15 RJ Hunter Georgia St. 6-05 So 9.12
16 Bryce Cotton Providence 6-01 Sr 9.01
17 Rasheed Sulaimon Duke 6-04 So 8.84
18 Mitch McGary Michigan (inj) 6-10 So 8.82
19 Doug McDermott Creighton 6-08 Sr 8.75
20 Georges Niang Iowa St. 6-07 So 8.70
21 Myles Mack Rutgers 5-09 Jr 8.56
22 Andre Hollins Minnesota 6-01 Jr 8.55
23 Jalan West Northwestern St. 5-10 So 8.45
24 Phil Forte Oklahoma St. 5-11 So 8.30
25 Olivier Hanlan Boston College 6-04 So 8.22
26 Trevor Releford Alabama 6-00 Sr 8.08
27 Jabari Parker Duke 6-08 Fr 8.00
28 Kevin Pangos Gonzaga 6-02 Jr 7.97
29 Quinn Cook Duke 6-01 Jr 7.97
30 Dwayne Evans St. Louis 6-05 Sr 7.88
31 Cory Jefferson Baylor 6-09 Sr 7.80
32 Juvonte Reddic VCU 6-09 Sr 7.67
33 PJ Hairston UNC (NCAA inv) 6-05 Jr 7.61
34 Kyle Anderson UCLA 6-08 So 7.59
35 Julius Randle Kentucky 6-09 Fr 7.50
36 Nick Johnson Arizona 6-03 Jr 7.41
37 Josh Scott Colorado 6-10 So 7.35
38 CJ Fair Syracuse 6-08 Sr 7.30
39 Akil Mitchell Virginia 6-08 Sr 7.28
40 Aaron Craft Ohio St. 6-02 Sr 7.23
41 Aaron White Iowa 6-08 Jr 7.20
42 Tyler Haws BYU 6-05 Jr 7.19
43 Ben Brust Wisconsin 6-01 Sr 7.11
44 Jake Odum Indiana St. 6-04 Sr 7.05
45 Andrew Harrison Kentucky 6-05 Fr 7.00
46 Seth Tuttle Northern Iowa 6-08 Jr 6.98
47 Treveon Graham VCU 6-05 Jr 6.89
48 Chris Udofia Denver 6-06 Sr 6.87
49 Austin Hollins Minnesota 6-04 Sr 6.84
50 Davante Gardner Marquette 6-08 Sr 6.82

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