John Pudner

John Pudner

John Pudner wrote his first statistical analysis for the New York Post more than 20 years ago, ranking pitchers on opposite Sundays from when Bill James ranked batters, and he was named as the top sports news writer in his newspaper class in Virginia by the Virginia Press Association. 

Since then he has run more than 200 political campaigns for candidates or ballot issues while continuing to write statistical analysis for sports and developing a database of thousands of basketball players at and writing for He met with and advised several NBA teams to advice on the future performance of potential draft picks this year. His work for the Alabama Farmers Federation in 2010 included helping to coordinating door-to-door efforts that reached the homes of 170,000 voters, and his more recent statistical work was featured by CNN/Sports Illustrated.

Latest News

Beating the Bracket: A Guide to the Midwest Region

What teams are underseeded? Overseeded? Gleaning the answers can be the difference between being an office also-ran and the winner of your annual NCAA tournament pool. In the first of two looks at the Midwest Region, college basketball expert John Pudner offers many potential surprises, particularly as the tournament pairs down weaker squads. Mar 18, 2014 5:46 AM PT

Bracketology 101: Breaking Down the East Bracket, Part II

Who shocks the NCAA tournament? Who plays just as we thought they would? John Pudner employs Value Add statistical analysis to give you a bead on the brackets. Anyone entering an office pool may want to read this series with care. Mar 17, 2014 10:33 AM PT

2014 NCAA Tournament Bracketology: Analyzing West Region (Part I)

Marcus Smart is the top-rated Value Add player in the West region and Smart gives Arizona fits. If Arizona beats Oklahoma State, San Diego State could give them trouble, according to Value Add projections. Here is an analysis of the West region. Mar 17, 2014 8:55 AM PT

Bracketology 101: Anticipating the Upsets in the East Bracket

College basketball stats guru John Pudner analyzes the NCAA tournament bracket and finds several potential upsets in the bottom half of the East Region. Who's going home early and unexpectedly? Get a bead on bracketology by reading Pudner's expert analysis only at Breitbart Sports. Mar 17, 2014 7:09 AM PT

2014 NCAA Tournament Bracketology: Analyzing West Region (Part II)

The following are the Value Add Rankings for each player in the bottom half of the West Region, their team’s seed, height, year in school and which players are NBA prospects (all caps) as well as which of the other players are guards (small “g”). The teams are American (15-seed), Baylor (6), BYU (10), Creighton (3), Lafayette (14), Nebraska (11), Oregon (7) and Wisconsin (2). Most likely upsets: Mar 16, 2014 10:28 PM PT

Selection Sunday: Top 68 Value Add Players

The following are the 68 best players in the country as of Selection Sunday, the day that the top 68 teams are announced. Doug McDermott is by far the best offensive player in the country at, with his 8.77 calculation indicating that he adds almost nine points a game to what Creighton would score with a good bench player in his place. Shabazz Napier (UConn) and Delon Wright (Utah) are worth just over half of McDermott's offense, but they both take multiple points off the board for oppponents to be the top two overall players. Mar 16, 2014 12:46 PM PT

Utah, Dayton, Nebraska, Georgetown Move Toward Bids

Value Add's top all-around player Delon Wright led Utah to the biggest win of the night at then #43 Cal. Utah, Nebraska, Georgetown and Dayton moved up the fasted in the Middle 50 the last two nights, all putting themselves right on the bubble for possible NCAA bids. The updated Middle 50 of teams that currently deserve an NCAA at-large bid (26th through 50th) or NIT bid (51st through 75th) are listed below with noted results from Tuesday or Wednesday. Mar 6, 2014 5:01 AM PT

Exclusive: Middle 50 Teams Fight for Final March Madness Bids

The Breitbart Sports exclusive "Middle 50" ranks the teams not in the AP top 25, but fighting for the final 25 spots in the NCAA tournament (26th to 50th below). The 51st through 75th ranked teams below are desperate to get into the NCAA, but are in position to take NIT bids not claimed by regular season conference winners. Right now Alec Brown (pictured courtesy of Green Bay Athletics) has the Phoenix at 49th just ahead of teams like Providence for a final bid if they do not win the Horizon League. Mar 4, 2014 7:58 AM PT

Value Add: Top 16 Hoop Trios 22 Days Before Selection Sunday

With Selection Sunday just 22 days away, the following would be the No. 1 through No. 4 seeds if selections were based on the top three players from each team. Al McGuire first noted that it usually takes three stars to win a championship, and the following table lists the top 16 trios in basketball with the top three players listed along with their Value Add rankings, individual rank among the 4,000 D1 players, and heights as shown on Syracuse would be the top seed in the country, and that rating does not even include CJ Fair. Feb 22, 2014 8:59 AM PT

Valued Add Bracketology: 9- to 12-seeds Based on Top Trios

The depth and balance of San Diego State, Virginia and St. Louis may get them very high seeds - however depth can be less important in the tournament where have three strong players can be more important to a run. If bids were handed out just based on which teams had the best trio of players at, then those three teams would drop all the way to 11- or 12-seeds. A team happy to be on this list is Wyoming - as Breitbart Sports All-American Larry Nance leads a trio that would make them worthy of a 9-seed for a 3-on-3 tournament. Feb 22, 2014 1:06 AM PT

Value Add Bracketology Projections: 5- to 8-seeds if Based on Top 3 Players

If Selection Sunday were choosing teams for a 3-on-3 tournament, Alabama, NC State and Utah would be enticing choices due to dominant point guards, while Green Bay, Canisius and Georgia State could also be first upset winners if they can win their conference tournament. With the possible exception of Green Bay, each of those teams will need to win their conference tournament to get a bid, but if they do keep each of them on upset alert when doing your brackets. Feb 22, 2014 12:55 AM PT

Value Add Bracketology: 13- to 16-seeds: UC Santa Barbara Most Likely Early Upset

The search for a surprise opening round upset can start with finding a low-seed with a few players that can contend with a high seed. If UC Santa Barbara wins the Big West they pose the biggest threat with the 50th best trio in the country led by Breitbart All-American UC Santa Barbara. Some traditional threats like Davidson do not appear to have a trio this year with much of a chance, showing up as a No. 16 seed based on their top trio. Feb 22, 2014 12:53 AM PT

Kentucky-Florida Showdown: Final Four Preview?

The legendary Al McGuire always said a team needed 3 ½ stars to win a title, and if that is true then two of the five contenders face off at 9 p.m. Saturday when Florida visits Kentucky. Feb 15, 2014 3:30 PM PT

Breitbart Sports/Value Add Projects NCAA Men's Basketball All-American Team

Forget preseason hype, the charges of East Coast bias or Los Angeles bias, the charges of players at small schools beefing up numbers against weaker competition or counter charges of small school stars being overlooked because few see them on TV. For the second straight year (see 2013 team here), Breitbart Sports is the first major outlet to announce the All-American team (1st through 4th team) just one month before the brackets of Selection Sunday. Feb 15, 2014 9:19 AM PT


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