Remember all that happy talk from the media last month that Obama had the election in the bag and debates wouldn’t really make a difference? In the real world, Romney trounced Obama in their first debate and has been gaining
Obama grabbed lots of headlines earlier this month when the campaign announced that, combined with the DNC, it had raised a staggering $181 million in September. It almost matched their fundraising haul from July and August combined. Questions immediately arose
On Friday, Politico reported that the Obama campaign was planning to revisit the issue of Romney’s tax returns. For ten days, since the first debate, the Obama campaign had been shedding its poll advantage. Revisiting this old issue was their
This morning, Washington Post & ABC released their latest poll of the presidential race. Naturally, they find Obama leading Romney by 3 points, 49-46. This is similar to their last poll, which found Obama leading by 2, 49-47. Similar, but very,
In the wake of Barack Obama’s disastrous debate performance, and clear signs that Mitt Romney is gaining momentum in the final weeks of the campaign, the media this morning are seizing on a new poll showing Obama up 2 percent
Earlier today, I conjectured that the Obama campaign may be out of attack lines to use against Mitt Romney. After Obama’s disastrous debate on October 3rd, it was remarkable that his campaign didn’t try to launch any new attacks or
On October 3rd, Mitt Romney gave an epic performance at the first presidential debate in Denver. According to Gallup, Americans, by a 52-point margin–the most ever recorded–said Romney won the debate against Obama. In the aftermath, Romney has taken a
In 2010, GOP candidates for federal office had a banner year in Illinois. The GOP picked up 4 House seats and a U.S. Senate seat in President Obama’s adopted home state. State party GOP candidates fared less well, however. The
With just over three weeks to go, President Obama finds himself in a very unfamiliar position. He is losing in many national and state polls. In fact, this week, Romney pulled ahead in the widely-cited RealClearPolitics average of polls. He
Florida has had a starring role in presidential elections since 2000. Bush won it that year by a few hundred votes. It was heavily contested again in 2004, but Bush carried it by 5 points, better than he did nationally.
Did Joe Biden bring in Al Gore as his debate coach? Did he review the tape from the Bush-Gore debate in 2000 and think obnoxious interruptions and smirks on questions of national security are the way to move voters? He
I didn’t buy into the idea last week that the Labor Department “cooked the books” on the September jobs report. If you were going to go to the trouble of fixing the numbers, wouldn’t you come up with good numbers
Never in my life have I seen such obvious, blatant and one-sided skewing of media polls. I’ve noted before that the media have weaponized polling this election, using their voter surveys to buoy the struggling Obama campaign. Marist and Quinnipiac
I have cautioned Republicans that we shouldn’t get too excited about Thursday’s VP debate. Yes, Paul Ryan has forgotten more about the federal budget than Joe Biden ever knew. But, sometimes, having too much knowledge can trip you up in
I raised an eyebrow when the specifics of the Presidential debates were announced back in July. Sure, I expected the regular gaggle of liberal journalists participating in the debate as “moderators.” But what caught my attention was the announcement that
For my first professional job after college, I didn’t have a cell phone or e-mail. I only occasionally used a computer, accessing a crude spreadsheet program through an MS/DOS prompt. I mention this to say I had a front-row seat
Almost every presidential election provides its own “October Surprise.” A state or two that no one thought was competitive suddenly comes into play. Which states come into play can tell you a lot about the underlying trends of the race.
The Obama campaign released news on Saturday morning of a holiday weekend, that it had raised a massive $181 million in September. It’s a staggering sum heading into the final month of campaigning. It almost equals his fundraising for July
Las week, I noted that the Obama campaign was bragging that it was closing in on the 10 millionth donation to its reelection efforts. It was a clear sign that, this year, they were surpassing their record-breaking haul of on-line
The media polls showing Obama with a solid and consistent lead over Mitt Romney are only accurate IF the democrats equal or improve the turnout they had in 2008. That year, the Democrats had a 7 point advantage over the
The Obama campaign dropped a bombshell this morning. It announced that, combined with the DNC, the campaign raised a staggering $181 million in September. The windfall is a huge increase over July and August, when the campaign raised around $100
Prior to Wednesday’s first presidential debate, Obama held a consistent 2-3 point lead in Rasmussen’s daily tracking poll. Today’s tracking poll, however, shows that the race has flipped, with Romney now holding a 2 point lead over Obama, 49-47. This
Mitt Romney’s epic takedown of President Obama in Wednesday night’s debate has increased GOP enthusiasm for next week’s clash between Paul Ryan and Joe Biden. Ever since his selection as Romney’s running mate, GOP voters have relished Ryan’s expected mauling
Back in August, a poll showed Obama with just a 12-point lead over Romney in Cook County, Illinois. While he posted a huge lead in the city of Chicago, the poll found him actually losing to Romney in suburban Cook
