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Mike Flynn

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Politico: Romney Up 4 in 'Toss Up' States

Politico: Romney Up 4 in 'Toss Up' States

This week, Politico released its latest Battleground poll of the presidential race. Despite coming from the left-wing news site, the poll is one of my favorites. Its put together by respected pollsters from both parties, makes available its full cross-tabs

Obama Campaign Suppressing Early Vote in Florida

Obama Campaign Suppressing Early Vote in Florida

The Obama campaign arm, Organizing for America, is telling voters in Pasco County, Florida that early voting starts today. Early voting in Florida doesn’t start until October 27th. The thousands of robo-calls and door-to-door outreach from the Obama campaign, however,

WaPo Crafts Headline From Poll With 8% Margin of Error

WaPo Crafts Headline From Poll With 8% Margin of Error

My colleague, John Nolte, has already covered how absurd the Washington Post poll of voters in “swing states” was. For the last few months, I have become convinced that the media is actively trying to use their polls to impact the

90% of US Households Face Huge Tax Hike Next Year

90% of US Households Face Huge Tax Hike Next Year

On November 7th, while cleaning crews are still tidying up from election night parties, America’s political class will be hurling themselves into another essential battle over government spending, taxes and debt. On January 2nd, 2013, absent some kind of budget

Gallup: Obama Approval Back to Pre-DNC Convention Level

Gallup: Obama Approval Back to Pre-DNC Convention Level

Gallup’s daily tracking poll this afternoon finds 47% of adults approve of the job Obama’s doing while 46% disapprove. This represents a 5 point drop in Obama’s approval rating since the end of the Democrat convention in early September. As

Polls Show Romney Gaining Ground, Winning Independents

Polls Show Romney Gaining Ground, Winning Independents

The final act of the presidential campaign opens today with two new polls showing the race between Obama and Romney tightening. New polls, released this morning, from ABC/WaPo and Politico both show Obama’s lead nationally has been cut to two

On-Line Jackpot: Obama Nears 10 Millionth Donation

On-Line Jackpot: Obama Nears 10 Millionth Donation

This weekend, in advance of tonight’s deadline for 3rd Quarter fundraising, the Obama campaign said it was on track to reach an impressive milestone for the year; its 10 millionth donation. Going into this weekend, more than 9,700,000 separate donations

Storm Clouds: The Looming Obama Recession

Storm Clouds: The Looming Obama Recession

In 2009, 5 months after Obama was sworn into office, the US economy officially lifted itself out of recession. The depth of the recession, surpassed only by The Great Depression, should have produced, by historical experience, a rapid and strong

Voters Turned Off by Obama's Lies, Cover-up on Libya

Voters Turned Off by Obama's Lies, Cover-up on Libya

Attempts by the Obama Administration to obfuscate and misdirect over the horrible tragedy in Libya are falling apart. As my colleague John Nolte noted, even Democrats on Capitol Hill are demanding answers and a fuller explanation over events surrounding the

Flashback: Rasmussen Most Accurate Pollster in 2008

Flashback: Rasmussen Most Accurate Pollster in 2008

In July, I started to notice something funky about the media polls. Almost all of them were using polling samples that assumed a dramatic increase in Democrat turnout over 2008. Even though the liberal group Third Way had found that

Obama Struggle with Independents Shows Quinnipiac's Bias

Obama Struggle with Independents Shows Quinnipiac's Bias

Quinnipiac University may have found an absurd number of Democrats for its CBS/NYT’s commissioned poll of three swing states, but that can’t hide an unmistakeable fact; Obama is losing Independents. Even Quinnipiac’s juiced poll shows Obama losing independents to Romney

CBS Poll: Quinnipiac Ignores GOP Enthusiasm Edge

CBS Poll: Quinnipiac Ignores GOP Enthusiasm Edge

This morning, my colleague John Nolte pointed out the ridiculous Democrat turnout assumptions in Quinnipiac University’s latest poll for CBS/NYT. To believe Quinnipiac’s numbers, we’d have to believe that Democrat turnout will not only increase over 2008, but reach levels

Media Polls: The Newest Negative Campaign Ad

Media Polls: The Newest Negative Campaign Ad

Over the years, I’ve generally had little patience when partisans make the “polls are wrong” argument. I’ve usually found it to be the last refuge of campaigns which were clearly struggling. Sure, individual polls can be wrong, and some can

Early Voting Tears America's Civic Fabric

Early Voting Tears America's Civic Fabric

In a society accustomed to Netflix, DVR and video-on-demand, its probably not surprising we’re moving towards elections-on-demand. Today, half the states have started early voting for the November elections. The remaining states will make early voting available over the coming

President Obama's Horrible September

President Obama's Horrible September

What color is the sky in the political media’s world? Each week this month has begun with some variation of “Romney is doomed.” We’ve had rabid amplification of Romney “gaffes” interspersed with the traditional “campaign infighting” stories. There has also

So We Raise Taxes on the Rich; Then What?

So We Raise Taxes on the Rich; Then What?

Ask President Obama or, really, any random liberal about the deficit and their answer will make heavy use of the words “Bush,” “rich,” and “tax cuts.” The left has constructed a narrative that our fiscal house is in disarray because,

Did Marquette U Juice Its Poll for Global Warming?

Did Marquette U Juice Its Poll for Global Warming?

Last night, I reported that Marquette University had overturned an entire year’s worth of its polling and changed the partisan sample for its latest poll from D+2-4 to D+11. Its a massive change in a partisan sample from one month.

Gallup: Obama Support Dropping

Gallup: Obama Support Dropping

Gallup’s Daily Tracking Poll today continues a trend we’ve seen over the last week; Obama’s support is quickly falling back to levels seen last month. The media is furiously spinning a narrative that the Romney campaign is in trouble, but

Obama Legacy: Canada Has Freest Economy in North America

Obama Legacy: Canada Has Freest Economy in North America

The foundational stone of American Exceptionalism has always been our economic freedom. The ability of individuals, regardless of background or circumstances, to freely engage in the marketplace to lift their own fortunes has been our nation’s greatest strength. With economic

Jobless Claims Worse Than Expected

Jobless Claims Worse Than Expected

This morning, the Labor Department reported that 382,000 Americans filed for initial jobless claims last week. It was higher than expected, as analysts had predicted 375k filings. The Labor Department also revised last week’s number higher, to 385K from a