
On Wednesday, Marquette University released its latest poll of the battleground state of Wisconsin. Their last poll, taken in the middle of August, found Obama will a slim 3-point lead over Romney, 49-46. This poll, however, found Obama moving into
by Mike Flynn19 Sep 2012, 8:13 PM PST0

The AP poll released yesterday showed the race between President Obama and Mitt Romney essentially tied among likely voters. Obama is leading by one point, 47-46, well within the margin of error. I think the partisan split for likely voters
by Mike Flynn19 Sep 2012, 2:58 PM PST0

One of the chief reasons the media is so mistaken in their zeal to proclaim Obama the election winner is that most of the polls they’re basing their predictions on are wildly inflating Democrat turnout. The overwhelming majority of media
by Mike Flynn19 Sep 2012, 9:15 AM PST0

Last month in the NBC/WSJ poll, Obama’s net approval on foreign policy was a commanding +14 points. 54% of registered voters approved of his handling of foreign affairs while only 40% disapproved. Democrats were even starting to cite this advantage
by Mike Flynn19 Sep 2012, 6:58 AM PST0

This afternoon, Gallup reported its latest presidential tracking poll, finding Obama’s lead had slipped again. Today, he leads Romney, among registered voters, by 1 point, 47-46. This is the same level of support he had before the Democrat convention. More
by Mike Flynn18 Sep 2012, 10:55 AM PST0

Since the end of the DNC convention early this month, the Democrat-media complex have been on a daily quest to call the election for Obama. While this has always been expected, it has been especially surreal to watch it unfold
by Mike Flynn18 Sep 2012, 9:22 AM PST0

For most of the campaign, the media’s focus on Mitt Romney have been almost exclusively on issues unrelated to the philosophy of governance or his specific policies. The public’s been introduced to him mostly through media riffs on his taxes,
by Mike Flynn18 Sep 2012, 8:31 AM PST0

This morning, the New York Federal Reserve Bank released its monthly “Empire Index” of business and manufacturing activity for New York and New Jersey. Last month, the index showed a -5 rating, signaling a weakening economy. (Anything below 0 signals
by Mike Flynn17 Sep 2012, 10:44 AM PST0

The first thing to understand about political journalism is that the headline is more important than the story. Some significant percentage of readers won’t actually read the entire article, but the headline will register in their minds. For tabloid outlets
by Mike Flynn17 Sep 2012, 2:43 AM PST0

Anyone following the presidential campaign through the prism of media polls is doing themselves a serious disservice. Virtually every one uses a polling sample that is so heavily-skewed towards Democrats that it distorts the actual state of the campaign. Of
by Mike Flynn16 Sep 2012, 9:05 AM PST0

K Street is, of course, shorthand for DC’s influence industry. The thousands of lobbyists, PR flacks and media advisors who help special interests, associations and businesses navigate the corridors of DC power. They also do considerable work for foreign governments
by Mike Flynn15 Sep 2012, 3:12 PM PST0

Obama’s convention bounce seems to have evaporated. Rasmussen today has Romney up 3 points. Today’s Gallup tracking poll had Obama up 5, a loss of 2 points over two days. Gallup uses a 7 day rolling average, so expect this
by Mike Flynn14 Sep 2012, 1:46 PM PST0

It’s official. The Federal Reserve has looked at the economic data and flipped out. Whatever rhetoric the Obama campaign is peddling about the economy improving isn’t being bought by the Fed governors in charge of America’s monetary policy. Their prescription?
by Mike Flynn14 Sep 2012, 8:21 AM PST0

Today’s RCP Average of presidential polls show Obama leading Romney by a little more than 3 points. A big reason for this is the abundance of polls featuring heavily Democrat skews in their samples. Juice the numbers enough and you
by Mike Flynn13 Sep 2012, 12:31 PM PST0

Obama is basing his reelection campaign on some strange fantasy that he and his policies are better positioned to “protect” the middle class. I say fantasy because by just about every measure, the middle class has done worse since he
by Mike Flynn13 Sep 2012, 10:00 AM PST0

Polls keep interfering with the media’s rush to declare Obama the winner of the November election. Today, Rasmussen’s tracking poll finds Romney reclaiming a 1-point lead over the President, erasing any bounce Obama received from the DNC Convention. Rasmussen, which
by Mike Flynn13 Sep 2012, 7:30 AM PST0

Let’s recap. Yesterday, riots broke out at American embassies in Egypt and Libya. The American ambassador and three other American officials were murdered. Their bodies were dragged through the streets to a cheering mob. This all happened on the anniversary
by Mike Flynn12 Sep 2012, 9:05 AM PST0

Yesterday, my colleague AWR Hawkins reported that the White House, on the anniversary of the 9/11 terror attacks, had declined a meeting request from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. It is the first time Obama has turned down a meeting
by Mike Flynn12 Sep 2012, 8:18 AM PST0

Congress released the continuing resolution to fund the government into next year late yesterday. One provision in the bill should send shivers down the collective spines of those who treasure freedom of the Internet and the right to privacy. It
by Mike Flynn11 Sep 2012, 12:03 PM PST0

The media should just go ahead and start filing in-kind contributions to the Obama campaign with the FEC. Its polls now are nothing but an attempt to create the false narrative that Obama is pulling away in the presidential race.
by Mike Flynn11 Sep 2012, 9:52 AM PST0

CNN is grabbing political headlines tonight with the release of its latest poll. It shows Obama surging to a 6-point lead over Romney, 52-46, among likely. Before the start of the Democrat convention, the candidates had been tied in the
by Mike Flynn10 Sep 2012, 4:37 PM PST0

Last week some fellow editors and I were joking about how the media would spin the August jobs report. It seems one of their chief responsibilities during this campaign is to put a positive spin on any bad economic news.
by Mike Flynn10 Sep 2012, 9:28 AM PST0

Yesterday, Gallup reported the first real discernible signs of a convention “bounce” in Obama polling. Over the course of the week, Obama’s job approval rating moved up 7 points. In Gallup’s daily tracking Friday, 52% of adults approved of the
by Mike Flynn8 Sep 2012, 8:58 AM PST0

When Nebraska Sen. Ben Nelson cut his “Cornhusker Kickback” deal and cast the deciding vote on ObamaCare, his political career was finished. While he initially made a pretense of possibly running for reelection, he eventually bowed to reality and announced
by Mike Flynn7 Sep 2012, 11:19 AM PST0

The Obama campaign is based on a foundational myth that the Democrats have the policies to move America and its economy forward. They are the party of fresh, innovative ideas while the GOP wants to “turn back the clock.” This
by Mike Flynn7 Sep 2012, 9:28 AM PST0