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Mike Flynn

Mike Flynn

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Marquette U Packs Dems Into Poll to Lift Obama

Marquette U Packs Dems Into Poll to Lift Obama

On Wednesday, Marquette University released its latest poll of the battleground state of Wisconsin. Their last poll, taken in the middle of August, found Obama will a slim 3-point lead over Romney, 49-46. This poll, however, found Obama moving into

AP Poll Provides Good Lesson in Polling

AP Poll Provides Good Lesson in Polling

The AP poll released yesterday showed the race between President Obama and Mitt Romney essentially tied among likely voters. Obama is leading by one point, 47-46, well within the margin of error. I think the partisan split for likely voters

CBS Poll: GOP Has Huge Turnout Edge Over Dems

CBS Poll: GOP Has Huge Turnout Edge Over Dems

One of the chief reasons the media is so mistaken in their zeal to proclaim Obama the election winner is that most of the polls they’re basing their predictions on are wildly inflating Democrat turnout. The overwhelming majority of media

NBC Poll: Approval of Obama Foreign Policy Plunges

NBC Poll: Approval of Obama Foreign Policy Plunges

Last month in the NBC/WSJ poll, Obama’s net approval on foreign policy was a commanding +14 points. 54% of registered voters approved of his handling of foreign affairs while only 40% disapproved. Democrats were even starting to cite this advantage

Thrill Is Gone: Obama Loses Convention, Media Bounce

Thrill Is Gone: Obama Loses Convention, Media Bounce

This afternoon, Gallup reported its latest presidential tracking poll, finding Obama’s lead had slipped again. Today, he leads Romney, among registered voters, by 1 point, 47-46. This is the same level of support he had before the Democrat convention. More

Romney Should Seize His '47%' Moment

Romney Should Seize His '47%' Moment

For most of the campaign, the media’s focus on Mitt Romney have been almost exclusively on issues unrelated to the philosophy of governance or his specific policies. The public’s been introduced to him mostly through media riffs on his taxes,

NY Fed Index Drops to Recession-level Low

NY Fed Index Drops to Recession-level Low

This morning, the New York Federal Reserve Bank released its monthly “Empire Index” of business and manufacturing activity for New York and New Jersey. Last month, the index showed a -5 rating, signaling a weakening economy. (Anything below 0 signals

CBS: Obama Leads in Our D+13 Poll

CBS: Obama Leads in Our D+13 Poll

Anyone following the presidential campaign through the prism of media polls is doing themselves a serious disservice. Virtually every one uses a polling sample that is so heavily-skewed towards Democrats that it distorts the actual state of the campaign. Of

Surprise! Oversampling Dems Puts Obama in Lead

Surprise! Oversampling Dems Puts Obama in Lead

Obama’s convention bounce seems to have evaporated. Rasmussen today has Romney up 3 points. Today’s Gallup tracking poll had Obama up 5, a loss of 2 points over two days. Gallup uses a 7 day rolling average, so expect this

Fed Move Will Help Wall Street, Not Main Street

Fed Move Will Help Wall Street, Not Main Street

It’s official. The Federal Reserve has looked at the economic data and flipped out. Whatever rhetoric the Obama campaign is peddling about the economy improving isn’t being bought by the Fed governors in charge of America’s monetary policy. Their prescription?

Obama Up 5 in D+11 Poll

Obama Up 5 in D+11 Poll

Today’s RCP Average of presidential polls show Obama leading Romney by a little more than 3 points. A big reason for this is the abundance of polls featuring heavily Democrat skews in their samples. Juice the numbers enough and you

Poll: Romney Up 1 on GOP Enthusiasm

Poll: Romney Up 1 on GOP Enthusiasm

Polls keep interfering with the media’s rush to declare Obama the winner of the November election. Today, Rasmussen’s tracking poll finds Romney reclaiming a 1-point lead over the President, erasing any bounce Obama received from the DNC Convention. Rasmussen, which

Ambassador Murdered, Obama Going to Vegas for Fundraiser

Ambassador Murdered, Obama Going to Vegas for Fundraiser

Let’s recap. Yesterday, riots broke out at American embassies in Egypt and Libya. The American ambassador and three other American officials were murdered. Their bodies were dragged through the streets to a cheering mob. This all happened on the anniversary

Obama: Israel No, Muslim Brotherhood Yes

Obama: Israel No, Muslim Brotherhood Yes

Yesterday, my colleague AWR Hawkins reported that the White House, on the anniversary of the 9/11 terror attacks, had declined a meeting request from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. It is the first time Obama has turned down a meeting

Congress Rubber Stamps Obama's Secret CyberSecurity Plan

Congress Rubber Stamps Obama's Secret CyberSecurity Plan

Congress released the continuing resolution to fund the government into next year late yesterday.  One provision in the bill should send shivers down the collective spines of those who treasure freedom of the Internet and the right to privacy.  It

Surprise: Obama Up 1 in D+6 ABC Poll

Surprise: Obama Up 1 in D+6 ABC Poll

The media should just go ahead and start filing in-kind contributions to the Obama campaign with the FEC. Its polls now are nothing but an attempt to create the false narrative that Obama is pulling away in the presidential race.

Did CNN Rig Its Own Poll?

Did CNN Rig Its Own Poll?

CNN is grabbing political headlines tonight with the release of its latest poll. It shows Obama surging to a 6-point lead over Romney, 52-46, among likely. Before the start of the Democrat convention, the candidates had been tied in the

Media Declares Obama Winner at Kick-off

Media Declares Obama Winner at Kick-off

Last week some fellow editors and I were joking about how the media would spin the August jobs report. It seems one of their chief responsibilities during this campaign is to put a positive spin on any bad economic news.

Obama's Convention Bounce Will Deflate Quickly

Obama's Convention Bounce Will Deflate Quickly

Yesterday, Gallup reported the first real discernible signs of a convention “bounce” in Obama polling. Over the course of the week, Obama’s job approval rating moved up 7 points. In Gallup’s daily tracking Friday, 52% of adults approved of the

Winning: Top Senate Dem Recruit Slams ObamaCare

Winning: Top Senate Dem Recruit Slams ObamaCare

When Nebraska Sen. Ben Nelson cut his “Cornhusker Kickback” deal and cast the deciding vote on ObamaCare, his political career was finished. While he initially made a pretense of possibly running for reelection, he eventually bowed to reality and announced

Jobs Report: Obama Taking Us Back to the Carter Years

Jobs Report: Obama Taking Us Back to the Carter Years

The Obama campaign is based on a foundational myth that the Democrats have the policies to move America and its economy forward. They are the party of fresh, innovative ideas while the GOP wants to “turn back the clock.” This