Stephanie Cutter, deputy campaign manager for Obama’s reelection effort, seems more a character out of fiction than a real person. A high-octane spokesman, she is willing to say anything to win the 30-second sound byte cycle. She will lie, contradict
Do you know what I would like this campaign season? Just one media poll that is merely within the same time zone as reality. When Obama won election in 2008, the electorate was D+7. Democrat turnout that year was historic.
This morning, NBC/Wall Street Journal released their latest poll, showing the presidential race tightening. In this latest poll, Obama leads Romney by 4 points, 48-44. This is down from NBC’s poll last month, which showed Obama with a 6-point edge, 49-43.
Yesterday, Senate candidate Rep. Todd Akin went on a local public affairs show in St. Louis with, at most, 12 convalescent viewers and gave birth to the mother of all campaign gaffes in 2012. Responding to a question about rape
Illinois was last competitive for the presidency in 1988, when George H.W. Bush carried the state on his way to a landslide victory against Mike Dukakis. Since then, Democrats have easily carried the state, with usually a 10-point or better
Last month, I wrote about a brewing battle on Capitol Hill over on-line purchases and sales taxes. Governors, state officials and retailers are pushing Congress to force on-line retailers to collect state and local sales taxes on e-commerce purchases. An
In the Democrat primary in 2008, Barack Obama managed a stunning upset over Hillary Clinton in the Iowa caucuses. Overnight, the narrative changed from the primary being Hillary’s race to lose to how soon does Obama put the race away.
The media and Democrats gleefully greeted the announcement of Paul Ryan as Mitt Romney’s running mate with dire predictions of doom for the GOP ticket. Ryan’s plan to strengthen Medicare through reform was deemed “too radical” for much of the
While commenters debate the size of any poll “bounce” for Romney after selecting Paul Ryan as his running mate, the trend-lines are certainly clear. Romney has gained ground in every poll released since the Ryan announcement. Today, Rasmussen released its
A new Gallup poll finds that only 36% of Americans approve of Obama’s handling of the economy. 60% disapprove. This rating is far lower than the past three two-term presidents at this point in their first term. This single issue
Rasmussen reported this morning that the latest poll in the important Senate race in Ohio has both incumbent Sen. Sherrod Brown and GOP challenger Josh Mandel tied at 44%. Even though the race is tied, the finding suggests an edge
Democrats, the media and “anonymous” GOP sources have been scrambling to tell the public that Romney’s selection of Paul Ryan was a disastrous move by the presidential candidate. I always find it precious when the media gets concerned about possible
Today, Gallup’s daily tracking poll showed Romney moving into a two-point lead over Obama, 47% to 45%. It was the first time since early June that Romney has led in the tracking poll. The race was tied all last week
The Obama campaign, lacking much else to run on, wants to make this election a referendum on who best can help the “middle class.” To bolster his case, he cites various targeted government benefits and programs he supports which hand
One of the left’s sillier temper tantrums is the fight against Voter ID laws. The law simply requires that a voter present a photo ID at the polling place, as a means to verify they are who they say they
The left and the media bleat incessantly about the “gender gap” and the GOP’s struggles with women voters. The Democrats are obsessed with the “women’s vote” and believe they have a built-in advantage when appealing to female voters. It leads
Caught off-guard by Romney’s surprise announcement of his running mate this weekend, the media are scrambling today to cast the selection of Paul Ryan in a negative light. The gold medal for the hackiest attack, though, goes to USA Today
There was a time it seemed the sum total of the Romney campaign would be simply a referendum on Obama’s failed record. That will get you far, but in today’s stagnant economy with Americans’ anxiety about the future at all
The rise of the tea party and the 2010 elections were about one thing: restraining the growth of the federal government. Voters, still reeling from TARP, saw the stimulus boondoggle, the auto bailouts, and a government take-over of health care
Romney made his mark in the business world as a turnaround artist. He would invest in ailing companies and bring in a specialized team to turn the business around. The result, in most cases, was a stronger company with a
America faces an existential crisis. Governments, at all levels, are burdened by unsustainable spending commitments. Our once mighty economic engine is creaking under the weight of onerous regulation and an antiquated tax system. The biggest unkept secret in Washington is
I have to admit, the Huntsman candidacy for President never made much sense to me. When it began I thought: wait, this guy served in the Obama Administration and now wants to run against him? And I didn’t really get
The best way to think about a poll, outside issues of sampling or methodology, is as a snapshot in time. A well-crafted poll can give you a sense of the state of the race–at the time the poll is taken.
Polls are more art than science. Countless variables can shape the composition of any individual poll. To smooth out the noise from individual polls it is best to look at an average of them. RealClearPolitics has the most cited average
Okay, I’m not certain they are literally making up poll results, but the poll CNN and British market research firm ORC International released Thursday afternoon is so screwy and raises so many questions that they might as well be doing
