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Peter Morici

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Scots Should Vote No on Independence

Scots Should Vote No on Independence

Scots will be worse off if they vote for independence. It’s not good economics and not much else is at stake. Unlike the now dormant, but never dead, separatist movement in Quebec, and rising tide for independence in Catalonia, the

Bombing ISIS Isn't Enough

Bombing ISIS Isn't Enough

President Obama’s vow to destroy ISIS rings hollow and sets the course for another American misadventure. Along with allies in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia, he refuses to grasp that security can’t be purchased on the cheap. The cancer

Ouch, the Bill for ObamaCare Coming Due

Ouch, the Bill for ObamaCare Coming Due

The bill is coming due for ObamaCare and it’s a whopper. According to Medicare Care’s own actuaries, U.S. health care spending is about to skyrocket. Federal meddling in what was once the finest and most cost-effective health care system on

Jobs Numbers Tank as Obama's Policies Fail

Jobs Numbers Tank as Obama's Policies Fail

The economy created only 142,000 jobs in August, down from 212,000 in July, indicating the economy significantly slowed this summer. Jobs creation is well below the pace needed to reemploy all the workers displaced during the financial crisis–the economy is

Political Corruption Slows Growth, Kills Jobs

Political Corruption Slows Growth, Kills Jobs

This Friday the Labor Department is expected to report the economy added 230,000 jobs in August. The pace has picked up a bit but is still far less than needed to reemploy all the prime aged workers displaced in the

Stocks Could Rise Another 25 Percent

Stocks Could Rise Another 25 Percent

Stocks may be near record levels but the bull market is not done. Digital technologies permit businesses to use investors’ cash far more efficiently these days, and could easily push up stock prices another 25 percent. Henry Ford had a

Real Unemployment Rate Is at Least 18 Percent

Real Unemployment Rate Is at Least 18 Percent

Friday, the Labor Department is expected to report the economy added 235,000 jobs in July, and the unemployment rate remained steady at 6.1 percent, but that hardly tells the story. The jobless rate may be down from its recession peak

Ryan's Entitlement Reforms Would Promote Work

Ryan's Entitlement Reforms Would Promote Work

Poverty is as endemic today as it was when President Lyndon Johnson inaugurated the War on Poverty, and Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) is offering sensible proposals to change things for the better. He would offer states block grants to create

Yellen's Denials About Inflation Will Curb Fed's Independence

Yellen's Denials About Inflation Will Curb Fed's Independence

Testifying before Congress, Federal Reserve Chairwoman Yellen cherry picked data on inflation by noting prices are up, on a year-over-year basis, less than the Federal Reserve’s target of 2 percent.   The Labor Department’s Consumer Price Index has accelerated since March

Washington Debauchery and the Fed Folly

Washington Debauchery and the Fed Folly

Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen will testify to Congress Tuesday and Wednesday about the economy and future fed policy. We won’t learn much about either, because the Fed refuses to recognize the facts on the ground. Its policymaking committee recently

Jobs Growth Improves but Hardly Enough

Jobs Growth Improves but Hardly Enough

The economy added 288,000 jobs in June. Overall jobs creation has improved in 2014, but it remains far short of the 390,000 needed each month to keep up with population growth and genuinely reduce unemployment, and well less than the

Washington's Bad Policies Stunt Jobs Growth

Washington's Bad Policies Stunt Jobs Growth

Thursday, the Labor Department is expected to report the economy added 211,000 jobs in May. In line with the pace so far this year, that is far short of what is needed to keep up with population growth and genuinely

Five Tough Facts About Inflation and Fed Policy

Five Tough Facts About Inflation and Fed Policy

Inflation is soaring, and the Federal Reserve is looking away. It has printed trillions of dollars to save big banks from their financial crisis debauchery and to keep interest rates low to spur economic recovery, but those have not improved

Why I Can't Be Both an Economist and a Liberal

Why I Can't Be Both an Economist and a Liberal

In today’s America, I can’t be both an economist and a liberal. Economists should be bound by facts and reason. And I can’t do that and embrace liberal positions on the minimum wage, climate change, and gender discrimination. Raising prices

U.S. Economy Poised for Stronger Growth

U.S. Economy Poised for Stronger Growth

The U.S. economy is set to take off. Scarred by the financial crisis but on their feet again, consumers will lead the economy to growth in the range of 3 percent through the end of 2015. The Commerce Department reported

Five Things to Know About Inflation Heating Up

Five Things to Know About Inflation Heating Up

Buffeted by slow growth and too few jobs, Americans now have to deal with more inflation. In May, consumer prices rose at more than a 4 percent annual pace, and inflation has been heating up the last several months. Rapid growth

Economics and the Failure of US Foreign Policy

Economics and the Failure of US Foreign Policy

U.S. foreign policy is failing. Russia is pushing into Ukraine and threatening Eastern Europe; China is bullying Japan, the Philippines, and Vietnam in the East and South China Seas; and terrorist groups in the Middle East and Africa can be