Vincent Giandurco

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Tea Leaves: The Final Day

Tea Leaves: The Final Day

The Presidential race is essentially tied, by all metrics.  The topline number is even.  Internal crosstabs favor Romney demographically.  State polls slightly favor Obama. Net outcome? A tie. This makes a prediction nearly impossible.  Indeed, as of last night, I was baffled.   OBAMA PICKUP
The Dems Divorce the Church

The Dems Divorce the Church

For over a hundred years, Catholics have been a core constituency of the Democratic Party, along with urbanites, minorities and unions.  This year, for the first time ever, a Democratic Presidential candidate is running directly against the public policy goals
The Obama Vulnerability Cycle

The Obama Vulnerability Cycle

Trend lines in the past few weeks have conservatives feeling upbeat about the fall election.  Romney has been disciplined and steadfast, and has amalgamated his base already.  Obama meanwhile has been beleaguered with a slowing economy, critiques from his own
Paul Krugman's Nasty Habit

Paul Krugman's Nasty Habit

Poor Paul Krugman. He’s got a habit he can’t break. He blames Republicans every time something goes wrong. It started when Bush won Florida and never really stopped. Like most habits, it’s insidiously rewarding. It even won him a Nobel
Obama A Budgethawk? Not So Fast Rex Nutting

Obama A Budgethawk? Not So Fast Rex Nutting

A Rex Nutting article in Marketwatch claiming the President has been a budget hawk has generated a lot of comment, much of it mistaken. Due to what I call The Lesser-Known Law of Large Numbers, most people’s brains go on
29.7 Million Seek Work

29.7 Million Seek Work

People ask, why all the talk about dogs and contraceptives?  The reason is: jobs. Tomorrow the Labor Department will release its April employment report.  If the rate goes down, the administration will brag a bit, but they won’t dwell on

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