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Gallup: Obama's Base Cracks; Support Among Blacks Slips

Gallup: Obama's Base Cracks; Support Among Blacks Slips

Yesterday, Breitbart News reported a number of polls that showed troubling signs for Team Obama; union support is down nationwide and, in the states of New York and North Carolina respectively, Jewish and black support has tumbled. According to a new poll released by Gallup, these polls are apparently not statistical noise. Serious cracks are starting to show in Obama’s base:

IBD‘s Andrew Malcolm:

Gallup finds a deep crack in Obama support emerging among whites, still statistically by far the largest group of voters. His support among several white subgroups is down 5% now among registered voters from what it was just before the 2008 election, when he easily defeated John McCain.

These sub-sets of non-Hispanic whites include young registered voters between 18 and 29, which provided him a huge margin four years ago, well-educated women and non-religious whites, among others. Other research has shown huge percentages of Obama’s money donors from 2008 withholding their money this time.

Obama’s support among registered voters today is 46%, five points below what it was nearly four years ago. Whites’ support is down slightly more, six points, from 44% to 38%.

Obama’s support among blacks, while still overwhelming, has also dipped four points from 91% to 87%.

If Obama’s support is 46% among all registered voters, that’s usually a high number than what it would be with a tighter screen involving likely voters. The RCP average is currently 46%, but again five of the seven polls included in that average use registered voters.

This number still seems high to me, counter-intuitive considering the state of the economy. But polls also show that voters personally like Obama more than they like the way he’s doing his job. Eventually, though, unless there’s some kind of “unexpected” economic rebound, reality is going to catch up to the President.

No matter how much you might like an employee, if he can’t or won’t do the job, eventually you have to let him go. And as corrupt as the media is, it can’t hire enough people to make Obama’s unemployment problem go away — though you know they would if they could.

 

Follow John Nolte on Twitter @NolteNC

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