This morning, the Romney campaign announced that Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) would go to Minnesota on Sunday for a pre-election campaign rally. Its a clear sign that the Romney campaign thinks Minnesota is winnable. Where campaigns spend their time in the closing days of a race says much more about their view of the election than words repeated by campaign flacks. Candidates’ time is a campaign’s most precious resource, and it is deployed only if it’s needed or can have an impact.
You don’t waste a candidate’s time on a bluff in the final 48 hours.
Last night, the campaign announced that Mitt Romney would go to Philadelphia on Sunday for a campaign rally. It is telling that both Romney and Ryan are spending some of the campaign’s final hours in a bid for states that haven’t voted GOP for president in decades.
The Obama campaign has dismissed this as a sign the Romney campaign is “flailing.” Yet, they have matched the GOP ads buys in the state and have dispatched Biden and Clinton to Pennsylvania and Minnesota. They have to be at least somewhat concerned that Romney could steal these states from them if they don’t respond. That’s a tell. So to that end, Obama will spend this weekend doing at least five events in Wisconsin and Iowa, two states he won by double-digits in 2008.
Remember, in the closing days of the 2008, Obama devoted lots of time to states that had traditionally voted Republican. That wasn’t a campaign “flailing”, but rather one riding a wave of momentum and deep dissatisfaction with the Bush Administration.
We’ll know Tuesday if Romney will be able to repeat history.