Top Jeb Bush adviser Mike Murphy, who is responsible for some of the mainstream media’s laziest and most conventional talking points about Republicans and conservatives he loathes, said liberals and conservatives who believe House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA) was ousted because of amnesty are “all wrong.”
All wrong. Lazy CW MT@FieldRoamer: Mort Zuckerberg, Eleanor Clift, Pat Buchanan, John McLaughlin all say Cantor lost because of immigration
– mike murphy (@murphymike) June 15, 2014
Murphy, sounding ever bit like the “priests” he disdains, immediately started to claim that Cantor did not lose because of amnesty even though he, like his friends in the permanent political class that view him as a guru despite having zero presidential wins, hardly paid attention to a race that turned out to be the biggest political shocker in all of their lifetimes. Talk about conventional.
Murphy was already called out by Mickey Kaus, and he was addressing a Tweet that pointed out that conservative, establishment, and liberal panelists on last weekend’s “The McLaughlin Group” said there was “no doubt” that Cantor lost because of his embrace of amnesty legislation, as Breitbart News reported.
He is spinning Cantor’s loss as a result of anything but amnesty, which his client Jeb Bush supports in full. Murphy has even tried to assert that Democrats were responsible for Cantor’s ouster. But the mathematicians disagree with Murphy’s assertions.
Nate Cohn, a trusted numbers guru who used to write for the left-of-center New Republic before making the move to the New York Times and may have been the first person to predict a Cantor defeat as returns were trickling in on election night, wrote after the race that “Brat’s wide margin of victory sets a high bar for arguing that Democratic voters made the difference.”
“And since Mr. Brat ran so strongly in Republican territory, it’s hard to see that he needed Democratic votes to push him over the top,” he concluded.
Cohn noted that contrary to Cantor’s internal pollsters that desperately tried to save face, “in Henrico County, where 2012 primary turnout is available by precinct, the largest increases in turnout came in heavily Republican areas” and it “would be hard to argue that Democrats made up the margin of victory” because “turnout was still far, far higher in Republican precincts.” He also said that Democratic precincts “contributed very few additional votes” on election night.
Dave Wasserman, one of the editors of the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, also warned after the race to not “fall for [the] theory” that Democrats “crossed over” to vote for Brat since Brat’s biggest margins were in Republican-heavy “Hanover & New Kent.”
Also, don’t fall for theory that Dems “crossed over” to vote for Brat. Brat’s biggest margins were in heavy R Hanover & New Kent #VA07
– Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) June 11, 2014