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Box Office Predictions: 'Twilight' Goes Big While 'Happy Feet' Sequel Needs Rhythm


Last weekend saw “Immortals” take the crown to help improve the box office gross. This weekend marks the beginning of the end for the enormously successful “Twilight” franchise with part one of its “Breaking Dawn” finale.

As with all “Twilight” films, the conversation quickly changes from “will it be successful” to “how many records can it break?”

This weekend’s predictions and revenue results go as follows:

1. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part One ($140 million) – This one’s concept is more directly focused on personal drama than overall events. Because of this, it will not play like previous entries which had broader appeal and even lured in some of those hard-to-get action audiences. Still, an impressive opening is expected. Look for a trial run here as the next one will have the best opportunity to challenge all-time box office records.

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2. Happy Feet Two ($38 million) – This children’s film is hoping for a “Puss In Boots”-like opening. Compared to the “Kung Fu Panda”s and Pixar classics of the world, this one never really felt like a huge franchise player. The characters are not household names or carry much interest in storyline. Will draw the much younger audiences but was very expensive to produce. It also carries the burden that its predecessor was released five years ago. That’s a long time to hold audience interest. Film will boil down to the film’s music choices. If the tunes come off great, it will fuel enough positive word of mouth to over perform. If the music comes off bland, then the film could fall very quickly.

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3. Immortals ($15 million) – After a very healthy opening last week, the fantasy actioner will continue on its “Expendables”-like run. This film doesn’t have much competition for action audiences and will pull a healthy amount away from the “Twilight” crowd; it’s in great position for another strong weekend.

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4. Puss In Boots ($11.5 million) – The family film will be roughed up by “Happy Feet Two” and lose those all-too-important teenagers to “Twilight.” Still, it will hold its own and post a very healthy take. Whether “Boots” looks to be profitable with its high production budget is another story.

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5. Jack and Jill ($10.4 million) – With audiences’ and critics’ ratings very low on the film, momentum has stalled considerably for Adam Sandler’s latest. This will not be helped by the enormous box office competition this weekend. The film will fight to avoid a significant drop and hope for a marginal one.

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Bonus Picks: “J. Edgar” will fall significantly this weekend to around $5 million while “The Descendants” will post around $1.3 million in limited release.

That’s Sensei’s calls, but how do you see it?

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