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Box Office Predictions: 'Twilight' Endures, 'Muppets' Make Easy Green

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Last weekend saw Sensei call “Twilight” very close to its actual numbers. He also gave “Happy Feet Two” a much deserved tongue lashing. This week “Twilight” tries to fight off newcomers to hold the top spot.

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This weekend’s predictions and revenue results go as follows:

1. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part One ($39 million, Fri-Sun) ($53 million, Wed-Sun) – This blockbuster’s inevitable second-week drop falls in line with previous “Twilight” entries. The film still holds its “event” feel just enough to fight off all the newcomers.

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2. The Muppets ($37 million, Fri-Sun) ($51 million, Wed-Sun) – This film has had top-notch marketing and is looking at a “Smurfs”-like opening for its efforts. Numerous family films are in the marketplace this week and will pull a few numbers away. Still, the film has a rare appeal for both younger and older audiences that will factor into the hunt for the weekend crown.

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3. Arthur Christmas ($17 million, Fri-Sun) ($25 million, Wed-Sun) Holiday wishes. The film will get a healthy boost off its Christmas themes. Despite facing off with “The Muppets,” we predict this project still pulls a healthy mid-range opening.

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4. Happy Feet Two ($16 million, Fri-Sun) ($23.4 million, Wed-Sun) This animated sequel opened way under its original desired take, and audience ratings continue to fall. It’s quickly becoming a financial disaster. Falling victim to higher-rated family fare won’t help things this weekend either.

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5. Puss In Boots ($10 million, Fri-Sun) ($13.8 million, Wed-Sun)With “Happy Feet Two” bleeding numbers, this one picks up a nice share of them to post another solid weekend hold. “Jack and Jill” looms here though and will take the spot if the film dips even slightly.

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Bonus Picks:

“Hugo” will open around $8 million (Fri-Sat) and $11.2 million (Wed-Sun). “The Descendants” will pull in $4 million this weekend.

That’s how Sensei sees it, but what about you?


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