Please take note that I’m saying this cautiously, but nothing I’m seeing thus far in these Ohio early vote counts matches the margin Obama enjoys in the polls early vote samples. Hard counts show that these margins are much tighter.
Final in-person early voting in OH’s Hamilton County compared to ’08: Dems down a thousand, Rs up 800. Raw numbers for ’12: Ds 3.2K over Rs
— Neil King (@NKingofDC) November 6, 2012