The Field Poll, conducted from January 26-February 16, reveals a lopsided preference for Hillary Clinton as the 2016 Democratic presidential nominee and a wide-open race among Republicans, with Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker leading and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush breathing down his neck.
Clinton was favored by 59% of likely voters; her closest rival was Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, with 17% of voters, followed by Vice President Joe Biden with 9%, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders with 6%, and former Virginia Senator Jim Webb with 2%.
Clinton’s support was remarkably consistent throughout the state; in both northern and southern California, her support registered at 59%. She held an overwhelming lead over Warren among ethnic groups, leading with Latinos 65%-8%, African-Americans 70%-3%, and Asian-Americans, 57%-19%. The only group that made the race competitive between the two women was the group of strongly liberal voters, who preferred Clinton by only 11%, as she garnered 46% of voters, and Warren grabbed 35%.
Among GOP voters, Walker led the way at 18%, followed by Bush with 16%. They were followed by Sen. Rand Paul (10%), Dr. Ben Carson (8%), Sen. Marco Rubio (7%), former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (5%), Sen. Ted Cruz (5%), Texas Gov. Rick Perry (4%), New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (3%), Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal (1%), and Sen. Lindsay Graham (1%).