Editor’s note: The presidential nominating contests in both parties will come down to the California primary.
For Democrats, 548 delegates are at stake — 11.5% of the total. For Republicans, 172 delegates are at stage — 6.9% of the total. Of those, for Democrats, 158 (29%) are divided proportionally on a statewide basis, while 317 (58%) are divided proportionally by congressional district, with each district providing between 5 and 8 delegates. The remaining 73 (13%) are “superdelegates.”
For Republicans, 13 (8%) are awarded statewide, with ten going to the candidate with the highest number of votes on a winner-take-all basis, and three going to “pre-determined” delegates (the State Chair, National Committeewoman, National Committeeman). Meanwhile, 159 (92%) are awarded by congressional district on a winner-take-all basis, with each district providing 3 delegates.
The result: a district-by-district battle in both parties, which we preview for you here.
CA-09: This district, which is one-third Latino, includes the far eastern suburbs of the Bay Area and several major towns in the Central Valley’s wine-growing region. In 2012 and 2014, incumbent centrist Democrat Rep. Jerry McNerney — a bit of an oddball — managed to eke out narrow victories against Republican challengers. The town of Stockton has become a symbol of municipal fiscal crisis, while the town of Lodi has joined the oenological elite.
Democrats: The district’s centrist leaning, agricultural backbone, and large Latino population favor Hillary Clinton.
Clinton 4, Sanders 2
Republicans: Ted Cruz should do well here, as in other Central Valley districts, though Trump may have a chance.
Cruz 3, Trump 0, Kasich 0
Joel B. Pollak is Senior Editor-at-Large at Breitbart News. His new e-book, Leadership Secrets of the Kings and Prophets: What the Bible’s Struggles Teach Us About Today, is on sale through Amazon Kindle Direct. Follow him on Twitter at @joelpollak.