World View: Uncertainty After Death of Pro-America Ethiopian PM

This morning’s key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com:

• Death of Ethiopia’s prime minister could affect Mideast security
• Jewish Israeli youths lynch Palestinians in Jerusalem as hundreds watched
• Armenian terrorist group threatens Turkey over Syria

Death of Ethiopia’s prime minister could affect Mideast security

For years, a lynchpin in the fight against al-Qaeda affiliates in thehorn of Africa, especially Somalia, was Meles Zenawi Asres, the PrimeMinister of Ethiopia and a close American ally. His death couldweaken the fight against terrorist militants in the region. However,Deputy Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn, who will become actingprime minister, says that nothing will change, and that Ethiopia willcontinue to be a leader in the fight against Islamist militancy.LA Times

Jewish Israeli youths lynch Palestinians in Jerusalem as hundreds watched

I’ve reported on several occasionsabout so-call “price tag” attacks by Jewish settlers on Palestiniansin the West Bank. The phrase “price tag” is frequently used byfar-right Israeli settlers to denote revenge attacks againstPalestinians or IDF soldiers in response to moves by the Israeligovernment to evacuate illegal West Bank outposts, or as retributionfor attacks by Palestinians. 

However, the attempted lynching of fourArab youths by dozens of Jewish teens on Friday is a substantiallymore serious matter and indicates that the mutual xenophobia betweenJews and Arabs is becoming increasingly critical. According to onesuspect’s brother, it was the four Arab youths who had provokedpassersby and “made passes at Jewish girls.” He added: “Why should anArab make passes at my sister? They shouldn’t be here, it’s ourarea. For what other reason would they come here if not to make passesat Jewish girls?” 

This was not an attack by settlers, but it’s partof the overall framework of increased violence against Paletinians bya small fringe of Israelis. According to an analysis, the number ofthe attacks have been achieving their goals. The Benjamin Netanyahugovernment would like to close down some West Bank settlements, butthe “price tag” attacks make it much more difficult to do so.Generational Dynamics predicts that there will be a new Mideastwar, re-fighting the war between Jews and Arabs that followed the1948 partitioning of Palestine and creation of the state of Israel.Haaretz and Foreign Affairs

Armenian terrorist group threatens Turkey over Syria

The Armenian Secret Army for the Liberation of Armenia (ASALA),a group that conducted numerous terrorist murders during the1970s-80s, but has been mostly inactive since 1985, is nowthreatening Turkey because of its policy in Syria: 

The aggressive policy against Iraq’s integrity, thedirect military intervention in the bloody crisis of Syria, thecontinuation for more than 20 years of the blockade imposed onArmenia, the conspiratorial and double-faced policy towards Iran,the non-stopping threats against the territorial integrity ofGreece and Cyprus and the augmenting coercive measures against theKurdish people have transformed Turkey into a center of danger forthe stability of the region. The conspiratorial and hostilepolicy of the Turkish state against the neighboring countriesreached its peak and has led Turkey in a total isolation in thewhole region.

Like the Russians, Armenians are historic enemies of Turkey. Russiansand Armenians are Orthodox Christians, while Turks are Sunni Muslims.The last major crisis war in the region was the World War I timeframe, while the previous one was the Crimean War of the 1850s. Sothese countries are all well into generational Crisis eras, and highlysusceptible to all out war. Zaman (Istanbul)

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