The leader of the Philippines’ biggest Muslim rebel group is due to arrive in Manila on Sunday for a historic visit aimed at ending one of Asia’s longest and deadliest insurgencies.
Murad Ebrahim and other senior figures of the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) are scheduled to participate in the signing of an accord at the presidential palace on Monday that outlines a roadmap for peace by 2016.
The accord, announced by President Benigno Aquino a week ago, has won applause from foreign governments and the United Nations as a rare chance to end a rebellion that has killed an estimated 150,000 people since the 1970s.
However rank-and-file soldiers of the 12,000-strong MILF, as well as the groups’s leaders and independent security analysts, have warned that many obstacles could still derail the peace process.
Ebrahim, an ageing warrior in his 60s who has spent most of his life in the southern Philippine region of Mindanao, will be making his first official trip as MILF leader to Manila and his first visit to the presidential palace.
Speaking by phone from the MILF’s southern headquarters before flying to Manila, Jaafar said Ebrahim “feels relieved” that the roadmap for peace would be signed after 15 years of negotiations.
In a statement shortly after Aquino’s announcement on the “framework agreement”, Ebrahim said the deal “lays down the firm foundations of a just and enduring peace formula”.
Muslim rebel groups have been fighting for full independence or autonomy for four decades in Mindanao, which they consider their ancestral homeland from before Spanish Christians colonised the country in the 1500s.
The fighting has mired large parts of resource-rich Mindanao in poverty, and led to the proliferation of unlicensed guns and political warlords who battle over fiefdoms.
The estimated four to nine million Muslims are now a minority on Mindanao after years of Catholic immigration, but they insist they should be allowed to govern on their own and control Mindanao, which has fertile farming lands.
The MILF is the biggest and most important remaining rebel group, after the Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF) signed a peace pact with the government in 1996.
The peace deal with the MNLF led to the creation of an autonomous region that Aquino said was a “failed experiment” that led to corruption and even more poverty.
The document to be signed Monday will outline plans to replace that autonomous region with a new one in which the MILF will hold significant power.
Under the framework, the MILF will drop its bid for independence in exchange for autonomy covering several areas on Mindanao island, the southern third of the mainly Catholic Philippines.
The autonomous government will manage its own taxes, as well as have a “just and equitable share” of revenues from natural resources.
Its forces would also be disarmed in stages, while the Philippine government will retain powers of defence, as well as foreign and monetary policies.
Muslim “Sharia” law will also apply in civil cases involving Muslims, but not criminal cases.
A transition panel made up of members from both sides is to draft a “basic law” covering the autonomous region to be passed by the nation’s parliament by 2015.
The people living in the proposed autonomous region would then need to ratify it in a plebiscite held before 2016 when Aquino is required by the constitution to stand down.
The peace negotiations, which gained momentum after Aquino and Ebrahim met for secret talks in Japan last year, have been held in Malaysia.
Malaysian Prime Minister Prime Minister Najib Razak and OIC secretary general Ekmeleddin Ihsanoglu will attend Monday’s signing of the peace pact.