This morning’s key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Turkey’s Erdogan adopts Muslim Brotherhood’s four-fingered salute
- Syria chemical weapons attack generates international controversy
- U.S. hints at cruise missile strikes against Syria
Turkey’s Erdogan adopts Muslim Brotherhood’s four-fingered salute
R4BIA symbol, and Erdogan’s four-fingered salute on Friday (AA)
In a sign that relations between Turkey and Egypt are becomingincreasingly unfriendly, Turkey’s prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdoganhas been increasingly flashing the new “R4BIA” four-fingered salutethat has been adopted as a victory sign by Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood.
The Muslim Brotherhood (MB) adopted the new salute after last week’sclashes when security forces cleared out the massive sit-ins of MBsupporters, resulting in nearly 1,000 deaths, mostly of MB supporters.Most of the clashes occurred in Cairo’s Rabaa Square. In Arabic, theword “Rabaa” or “Rabia” means “fourth,” and MB supporters are nowpublicizing the new four-fingered salute by carrying around brightyellow signs and posting the signs on social networking sites.
Erdogan has flashed the four-fingered salute several times in the lastweek, showing his solidarity with Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood and hisdisapproval of Egypt’s new government. Al-Arabiya (Dubai) and Anadolu Agency (Ankara)
Syria chemical weapons attack generates international controversy
To the surprise of no one except the sycophants of the psychopathicBashar al-Assad, we’re now in the third day following the horrificchemical weapons attack in a Damascus suburb in Syria, but the U.N.inspectors are still sitting in Damascus, forbidden by the regime totravel the 20 miles to the site to inspect it.
We’re hearing the usual garbage from the Russians. Of course it’sthe rebels, not the regime, who launched the attack, they’re saying,and yes, we’d like to encourage the Syrians to allow the inspectors tovisit the site. But those remarks, which have been widely touted asthe U.N. Security Council, nor from President Vladimir Putin, nor fromRussia’s foreign minister Sergei Lavrov. They came from a spokesman,who added:
It draws attention to the fact that biased regionalmedia have immediately, as if on command, begun an aggressiveinformation attack, laying all the responsibility on thegovernment.
So apparently the real victims here are not the hundreds of people whodied horrifically on Wednesday from a chemical weapons attack.According to the Russians, the real victim is Syria’s president Basharal-Assad, who is being subjected to a horrific “information attack.”
At any rate, Syria continues to block inspections by the U.N.inspectors. As everybody is well aware, each day that goes by notonly causes the evidence to degrade, and also gives the al-Assadregime time to clean up any evidence that might incriminate it.Russia Today
U.S. hints at cruise missile strikes against Syria
Senior American Defense Department officials are acknowledgingthat the U.S. is considering various options for military interventionin Syria, including a list of targets for possible cruisemissile strikes. At the same time, the U.S. Navy is puttingmore forces into the area in preparation for a possiblecruise missile strike.
There are two conflicting commonly held views with regard toU.S. or Western military intervention into Syria:
- One view is that military intervention would inflame the situation, leading to a wider war.
- The other view is that without military interview, the conflict will continue to worsen, leading to a wider war.
In this case, both views are correct.
As I’ve suggested in the past and will now make explicit, it’s myopinion that a tipping point has been reached and passed, and itreally no longer matters what steps are taken or not taken withrespect to military intervention in Syria. Either way, the Syriaconflict has launched a trend that will continue to strengthen untilit leads to a much larger conflict.
It was in 2003 that I first wrote thatthe Mideast was headed for a major new war between Jews and Arabs,re-fighting the genocidal 1948 war that followed the partitioning ofPalestine and the creation of the state of Israel. Since then, it wasleft to be answered how that new war would be triggered.
There were several possibilities. There was the 2006 war betweenIsrael and Hezbollah in Lebanon. There were several wars involvingIsrael, Fatah, and Hamas in Gaza. But all of those wars fizzled outwithin a few weeks.
The Syrian conflict might have fizzled out in 2011 if the U.S.and the West had intervened militarily at that time.
Or, it might have fizzled out by itself if it hadn’t been for Russia’sincredible military intervention, supplying massive amounts of heavyweapons and training to the al-Assad regime.
Now, 2 1/2 years later, the U.S. and the West have lostall credibility in the Mideast by allowing themselves to looklike weak fools, while Russia continues its aggressive supportfor Syria and is perceived to be the strong power.
Today, the Syrian conflict is nowhere near fizzling. Even a year ago,if al-Assad had been eliminated, then the war might have fizzled.Actually, that would still be true today if it weren’t for outsideintervention.
But, in my opinion, a tipping point has been reached and passed, andeven the elimination of al-Assad at this point would not end the Syrian conflict, due to outside forces, particularly Russia and al-Qaeda aswell as Iran and Hezbollah, that are too committed to seeing it through tovictory.
Then there are the refugees. Some two million Syrians have beendisplaced within Syria’s borders. Hundreds of thousands of them arepouring into neighboring countries, overwhelming services there. Thenumber of refugee children has just passed one million. Funds to feedall these refugees are scarce, and humanitarian agencies are findingit increasingly difficult to meet the needs of the refugees. InLebanon, sectarian conflicts are already growing, with two car bombstargeting Sunnis on Friday and a major explosion targeting Shias aweek ago.
At the same time, al-Qaeda is strengthening and growing. Russia’smilitary intervention in Syria has resulted in ruthless attacks onSunni Muslim families by the Shia/Alawite regime. So of course thisis going to tremendously inflame al-Qaeda linked groups. Jihadistsfrom throughout that part of the world, from Pakistan and Uzbekistanto Libya and Nigeria to Dagestan and Chechnya, are getting training sothat they can fight in Syria to defeat the Shia/Alawite regime; in turn, that experience can be brought backhome for more terrorist attacks.
That in turn has inflamed Shia jihadists. Iran has sent thousands oftroops to Syria to fight against al-Qaeda; Hezbollah has sent tensof thousands and has scored some impressive victories that arefurther inflaming the al-Qaeda linked groups.
Another factor is this week’s horrific chemical weapons attack.This is significantly increasing demands for military interventionin Syria, not only in the West but also in the Arab states.
All of these factors have created a growing trend line that, in myopinion, can no longer be stopped. Will the U.S. launch cruisemissiles into Syria or not? I sure don’t know, but in the long run,I don’t believe it will make any difference anyway. CNN and CBS News and LA Times
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdogan,Egypt, Muslim Brotherhood, Rabaa, R4BIA,Syria, Bashar al-Assad, Russia, Vladimir Putin,U.S. Navy, cruise missiles, al-Qaeda, Iran,Lebanon, Hezbollah, Jordan