Israel Exit Polls Show Netanyahu with Slight Lead over Isaac Herzog

JERUSALEM (AP) — Voting in Israel’s national election has ended, with exit polls showing Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in a virtual tie with a center-left challenger.

Exit polls conducted by the country’s three major TV stations late Tuesday gave mixed results, showing an extremely tight race between Netanyahu’s Likud Party and opposition leader Isaac Herzog’s Zionist Union.

Two polls showed the parties deadlocked with 27 seats each, and a third gave Likud a slight lead of 28-27.

All showed the centrist newcomer Moshe Kahlon with enough seats to determine who will be the next prime minister. Kahlon, a Likud breakaway, has not said which side he would favor.

THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. Check back soon for further information. AP’s earlier story is below.

With his political future in question, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Tuesday made a last-ditch appeal as Israelis went to the polls in a tight parliamentary election, warning his hard-line supporters that high Arab turnout was endangering his right-wing party’s dominance.

Opinion polls had shown a close race heading into the vote, with Netanyahu’s opponents, led by Isaac Herzog of the centrist Zionist Union, in a slight lead. They also showed gains by a combined Arab list that could emerge as a kingmaker. The last available poll was published Friday, when a significant number of voters were still undecided, meaning the race was still too close to call.

But amid signs that his six-year reign could be in jeopardy, Netanyahu has veered sharply to the right in the closing days of the campaign, making a series of statements aimed at shoring up his nationalist base.

On Tuesday, he reiterated a pledge to prevent the establishment of a Palestinian state, putting him at odds with the United States and other Western allies.

He also claimed that his right-wing Likud Party’s rule was “in danger” because of Arab voters going to the polls “in droves.”

Late Tuesday, he issued a final plea, warning of a “significant gap” between Likud and the Zionist Union, and blaming unnamed foreign interests for working against him. “We are in a fateful campaign,” he said. “The only way to minimize that gap is to go to the polling station and vote” Likud.

Netanyahu has used similar doomsday language in the past to rally supporters to the polls. But his comments about Arab voters were remarkable because they targeted Israeli citizens, and quickly drew accusations of racism. Israel’s Arabs, who make up 20 percent of the population, have long complained of discrimination.

A new joint list of Arab parties, unifying four factions, has energized Arab voters and was pushing for a high turnout in the usually apathetic sector.

“I know that usually the prime minister in each country encourages the people to go vote. Then why is Benjamin Netanyahu getting scared when the people are voting?” Ayman Odeh, the Arab list’s leader, told The Associated Press in the northern city of Nazareth. “I say he is right, he should be scared, because he only has a few hours left as a prime minister.”

Shelly Yacimovich, a lawmaker with the Zionist Union, said on her Twitter feed that no Western leader would have uttered such a “racist” remark. “Imagine a warning that begins with `the rule is endangered. Black voters are heading in droves to the polls,’ ” she wrote.

Wadea Awawdeh, a resident of the Arab town of Kfar Kana, said Netanyahu “cannot hide his racist feelings toward the Arabs” anymore. “Netanyahu is angry because he feels he is losing.”

Herzog – Netanyahu’s main challenger – has promised to revive peace efforts with the Palestinians, repair ties with the U.S. and reduce the growing gaps between rich and poor.

“Whoever wants to follow (Netanyahu’s) path of despair and disappointment will vote for him,” Herzog said after casting his vote. “But whoever wants change, hope, and really a better future for Israel, will vote the Zionist Union led by me.”

In Washington, White House spokesman Josh Earnest said that President Barack Obama, who has had a testy relationship with Netanyahu, was confident strong U.S.-Israeli ties would endure far beyond the election, regardless of the victor.

Herzog’s call for change resonated with 51-year-old businessman Ofer Benishti, who voted at a polling station in Kfar Saba in central Israel. He said he was a lifelong Likud voter but was now casting his ballot for the Zionist Union.

“I have had enough,” said Benishti. “Bibi tried and tried and tried, but it just hasn’t worked. It’s time to give someone else a chance,” he said, using Netanyahu’s nickname.

But Meshy Alon, 22, said she was sticking with the prime minister. “He is not great, but he is better than anything else out there,” she said.

Israeli election officials said 54.6 percent of eligible voters had voted by early evening, a rate similar to previous elections. Election day is a public holiday in Israel; most people get off from work, beaches and restaurants fill up, and stores advertise election-day sales.

While exit poll results were expected after the end of voting at 10 p.m. (2000 GMT), the full implications of the election may not be known for weeks.

Israelis vote for parties, not individual candidates. No party has ever won a majority in the 120-member parliament, so it can take weeks of negotiations to form a governing coalition. Throughout that process, Netanyahu will remain prime minister.

Several smaller centrist parties that have not pledged support for either Netanyahu or Herzog will likely tip the scales to determine who will become the next prime minister.

Netanyahu has governed for the past six years and has long been the most dominant personality in Israeli politics.

He has swung further to the right in the final stages of the campaign, complaining of an international conspiracy funded by wealthy foreigners to oust him, and warning of a “left-wing government supported by the Arabs.”

This election season has amplified the bitter divide between hard-liners and moderates in Israel.

Earlier this month, tens of thousands of Israelis rallied in a central square in Tel Aviv where a former head of Israel’s Mossad spy agency called for Netanyahu’s ouster. And on Sunday, tens of thousands of right-wing Israelis filled the same square to hear Netanyahu and nationalist politicians speak.

Netanyahu has appeared increasingly rattled, and after largely shunning the Israeli media for years, he gave a series of interviews to major Israeli television networks and small regional radio stations.

In a live phone interview on Israeli Channel 10 TV, Netanyahu ruled out a coalition with Herzog and said he would seek an alliance with the ultra-national Jewish Home party, which also opposes Palestinian statehood.

Netanyahu portrayed Herzog as someone who would easily and carelessly give up territory for a Palestinian state. The Palestinians want to establish a state in the West Bank, Gaza Strip and east Jerusalem, lands Israel captured in the 1967 Mideast war.

“We have a different approach,” Netanyahu said. “They (the Zionist Union) want to withdraw. I don’t want to withdraw. If I put together the government, it will be a nationalist government.”

Netanyahu’s comments were a political gamble after he tried for years to assure a skeptical international community that he accepts the idea of Palestinian statehood.

If Netanyahu is re-elected, it would be more difficult for him to argue that Israel is a partner in U.S.-led peace efforts. Washington views the establishment of a Palestinian state as a pillar of its Mideast policy – a position shared by other Western allies.

Nabil Shaath, a senior Palestinian official, said Netanyahu had finally revealed his true intentions. “He never believed in the two-state solution,” he said. “What he said proved that all the time he was lying to the international community.”

Associated Press writers Aron Heller in Kfar Saba, Israel, Areej Hazboun in Nazareth, Israel, and Mohammed Daraghmeh in Ramallah, West Bank, contributed to this report.


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