Exclusive Breitbart Value Add Ratings indicate Michigan’s Trey Burke in the best offensive player in at least eight years. He has played at that level in the best conference in the country, and on Sunday he went into Illinois and made sure Michigan will be ranked No. 1 in tomorrow’s basketball polls.
Burke is the best offensive player in the history of Value Add Basketball ratings, which go back to the 2005-06 season. Burke is on the court for 84 percent of the minutes, and has put up 163 two-point shots. Normally players carrying that load see their field goal percentages fall off, but among perimeter players putting up 150 or my shots, only Anthony Raffa is close to Burke’s 57%, and once adjusted for the fact that Burke is playing in the best conference in the country, no one is close. Here are the top 5 two-point shooting percentages for guards:
|Best FG% of guards with 150 or more 2-pointers||FGM||FGA||%|
|Anthony Raffa – Coastal Carolina||95||164||58%|
|Trey Burke – Michigan||93||163||57%|
|Daniel Mullings — NM State||96||182||53%|
|Jeff Early – Southern Ill||94||180||52%|
|Lamont Jones – Iona||106||210||50%|
Despite all of the minutes, Burke hits 38 percent of his 3-pointers as well (33% is average) and 80 percent of his free throws (69% is average). As important, he is one of the rare point guards who scores, and yet he is even more effective in the traditional role of distributing the ball, where 40 percent of the time that someone else on the court scores, it is off an assist from Burke. He averages over seven assists a game and has a 4-to-1 assist to turnover ratio.
When you add in defense, Anthony Davis and a couple of other players have been slightly better overall in the past few years, and Kevin Durant is about the same, but on offense alone no one has dominated college basketball like Burke this year since the ratings started in 2006. Here is the top player every season (see this Breitbart article for why the system is so accurate, and www.valueaddbasketball.com for the ratings of most of the 4000 players in the next couple of days). The following are the best players in each year of Value Add:
|Season||Top Value Add Each Season||Team||Ht||Yr||Off||Def||PG/Per||Value Add||NBA?|
|2006||Shelden Williams||Duke||6′ 9″||Fr||6.67||-5.27||0||11.93||PF/C|
|2007||Kevin Durant||Texas||6′ 9″||Fr||7.41||-4.01||0||11.42||SF|
|2008||Michael Beasley||Kansas St.||6′ 9″||Fr||8.43||-3.99||0||12.42||SF|
|2009||Ty Lawson||North Carolina||5’11”||Jr||7.55||-1.4||2||10.94||PG|
|2010||Jon Scheyer||Duke||6′ 5″||Sr||9.11||-2.03||2||13.14|
|2011||Jordan Taylor||Wisconsin||6′ 1″||Jr||9.56||0||2||11.56||PG|
|2012||Anthony Davis||Kentucky||6′ 10″||Fr||7.29||-5.06||0||12.35||PF|
|2013||Burke, Trey||Michigan||6′ 0||So||10.07||-0.27||1.50||11.83||PG|
When you consider that Burke is doing all this playing against the only conference on pace to put seven teams in the NCAA tournament, the rating makes even more sense. The list of the Top 40 players (shown below) indicates that the Big Ten also boasts the best duo in the country, with Indiana’s Cody Zeller the sixth most valuable player in the country and his teammate Victor Oladipo coming in at No. 9 even before dominating Michigan State last night. As reported two weeks ago by Breitbart Sports, the Hoosiers are coached by the Superbowl Harbaugh’s brother-in-law Tom Crean. Here are the top 40. All 2707 player who have added at least 0.01 in Value Add so far this season will be rated at www.valueaddbasketball.com within 48 hours, but the ratings are always reported here on Breitbart first.