Value Add Adjusts for DH, Ranks all 218

Value Add Adjusts for DH, Ranks all 218

The Value Add baseball ratings through Thursday include 228 pitchers who have made at least five starts this year. The biggest movement continues to be from the Dodgers Zack Greinke, who has moved all the way up to 12th. In analyzing the 3966 starts in the Value Add database, we calculated that given the same support, the pitcher in an NL ballpark had a 1% better chance of winning even after adjusting for the ballpark. 

This is likely the result of having to face a designated hitter instead of an opposing pitcher batting, and so this has been fixed by lowering all of the NL ballpark adjustments by 0.01.The following is the rating of every pitcher, which will be posted at www.valueaddbaseball.com in the coming days:

Rank Pitcher Team Value Add
1 Patrick Corbin ARI 14.68
2 Clayton Kershaw LAD 13.23
3 Max Scherzer DET 13.01
4 Mat Latos CIN 12.36
5 Jhoulys Chacin COL 11.52
6 Julio Teheran ATL 11.18
7 Jordan Zimmerman WSH 11.11
8 James Shields KC 10.95
9 Jorge De La Rosa COL 10.84
10 Derek Holland TEX 10.60
11 Cliff Lee PHI 10.33
12 Zack Greinke LAD 10.28
13 Hisashi Iwakuma SEA 10.14
14 Chris Sale CHW 10.07
15 Hyun-Jin Ryu LAD 10.04
16 Adam Wainwright STL 9.96
17 Chris Tillman BAL 9.89
18 Mark Buehrle TOR 9.88
19 Mike Minor ATL 9.71
20 Hiroki Kuroda NYY 9.70
21 Ricky Nolasco LAD 9.65
22 A.J. Griffin OAK 9.45
23 Bartolo Colon OAK 9.09
24 Jose Fernandez MIA 9.08
25 C.J. Wilson LAA 8.96
26 Matt Harvey NYM 8.96
27 Doug Fister DET 8.94
28 Bronson Arroyo CIN 8.84
29 Jarrod Parker OAK 8.77
30 Mike Leake CIN 8.62
31 Yu Darvish TEX 8.60
32 Kyle Lohse MIL 8.43
33 Jeremy Guthrie KC 8.18
34 Felix Hernandez SEA 8.05
35 Matt Garza TEX 8.01
36 Francisco Liriano PIT 7.95
37 Shelby Miller STL 7.86
38 Madison Bumgarner SF 7.86
39 Justin Masterson CLE 7.85
40 Jon Lester BOS 7.72
41 Jered Weaver LAA 7.67
42 R.A. Dickey TOR 7.57
43 Kris Medlen ATL 7.55
44 Dillon Gee NYM 7.38
45 Anibal Sanchez DET 7.29
46 Ervin Santana KC 7.25
47 Homer Bailey CIN 7.24
48 Clay Buchholz BOS 7.24
49 Matt Moore TB 7.16
50 Jeff Samardzija CHC 7.15
51 David Price TB 7.15
52 Ivan Nova NYY 7.02
53 John Lackey BOS 7.01
54 Kyle Kendrick PHI 6.95
55 Justin Verlander DET 6.76
56 Felix Doubront BOS 6.73
57 Ryan Dempster BOS 6.73
58 CC Sabathia NYY 6.67
59 Bud Norris BAL 6.63
60 Travis Wood CHC 6.50
61 A.J. Burnett PIT 6.39
62 Kevin Correia MIN 6.34
63 Miguel Gonzalez BAL 6.20
64 Rick Porcello DET 6.18
65 Scott Feldman BAL 6.10
66 Eric Stults SD 5.92
67 Jose Quintana CHW 5.91
68 Cole Hamels PHI 5.90
69 Jeff Locke PIT 5.88
70 Lance Lynn STL 5.86
71 Randall Delgado ARI 5.83
72 Jonathan Pettibone PHI 5.83
73 Andrew Cashner SD 5.62
74 Samuel Deduno MIN 5.52
75 Charlie Morton PIT 5.45
76 Jake Peavy BOS 5.44
77 Wily Peralta MIL 5.43
78 Gio Gonzalez WSH 5.41
79 Martin Perez TEX 5.39
80 Zach McAllister CLE 5.30
81 Ubaldo Jimenez CLE 5.29
82 Tim Hudson ATL 5.21
83 Matt Cain SF 5.09
84 Joe Kelly STL 5.03
85 Marco Estrada MIL 4.96
86 Corey Kluber CLE 4.84
87 Tim Lincecum SF 4.73
88 Jake Westbrook STL 4.63
89 Jason Marquis SD 4.62
90 Jason Vargas LAA 4.59
91 Tommy Milone OAK 4.56
92 Jeremy Hellickson TB 4.56
93 Wade Miley ARI 4.47
94 Hector Santiago CHW 4.39
95 Paul Maholm ATL 4.26
96 David Phelps NYY 4.24
97 Chris Archer TB 4.15
98 Joe Saunders SEA 4.10
99 Andy Pettitte NYY 4.09
100 Alex Cobb TB 3.94
101 Ian Kennedy SD 3.73
102 Mike Pelfrey MIN 3.57
103 Scott Kazmir CLE 3.56
104 Jacob Turner MIA 3.47
105 Yovani Gallardo MIL 3.46
106 Tony Cingrani CIN 3.45
107 Edwin Jackson CHC 3.42
108 Bruce Chen KC 3.35
109 Alexi Ogando TEX 3.32
110 Tyler Chatwood COL 3.32
111 Zack Wheeler NYM 3.29
112 Jarred Cosart HOU 3.28
113 Dallas Keuchel HOU 3.25
114 Erasmo Ramirez SEA 3.24
115 Edinson Volquez LAD 3.21
116 Dan Straily OAK 3.20
117 John Danks CHW 3.15
118 Jordan Lyles HOU 3.15
119 Stephen Strasburg WSH 3.09
120 Juan Nicasio COL 3.06
121 Brett Oberholtzer HOU 3.02
122 Wei-Yin Chen BAL 3.00
123 Jaime Garcia STL 2.98
124 Ross Ohlendorf WSH 2.93
125 Jonathon Niese NYM 2.81
126 Wandy Rodriguez PIT 2.80
127 Nate Eovaldi MIA 2.77
128 Tom Koehler MIA 2.68
129 Chris Capuano LAD 2.63
130 Chris Rusin CHC 2.62
131 Garrett Richards LAA 2.62
132 Gerrit Cole PIT 2.60
133 Trevor Cahill ARI 2.60
134 Jason Hammel BAL 2.51
135 Henderson Alvarez MIA 2.49
136 Jon Garland COL 2.47
137 Kevin Slowey MIA 2.28
138 Ross Detwiler WSH 2.22
139 Chad Gaudin SF 2.06
140 Esmil Rogers TOR 2.03
141 Jeremy Hefner NYM 1.98
142 Stephen Fife LAD 1.90
143 John Lannan PHI 1.87
144 Dan Haren WSH 1.87
145 Wade Davis KC 1.84
146 Tyson Ross SD 1.80
147 Alex Wood ATL 1.60
148 Dylan Axelrod CHW 1.57
149 Jerome Williams LAA 1.57
150 Alfredo Aceves BOS 1.55
151 Brandon McCarthy ARI 1.50
152 Jake Arrieta CHC 1.44
153 Roberto Hernandez TB 1.37
154 Freddy Garcia ATL 1.34
155 Taylor Jordan WSH 1.31
156 Brandon Morrow TOR 1.23
157 Jeremy Bonderman DET 1.22
158 Tyler Lyons STL 1.17
159 Justin Grimm TEX 1.17
160 Tyler Cloyd PHI 1.15
161 Andrew Albers MIN 1.10
162 Lucas Harrell HOU 1.03
163 James McDonald PIT 1.01
164 Brandon Beachy ATL 0.98
165 Sonny Gray OAK 0.97
166 Carlos Villanueva CHC 0.95
167 Zach Britton BAL 0.88
168 Alex Sanabia MIA 0.87
169 Jose Alvarez DET 0.83
170 Josh Lindbolm TEX 0.78
171 Johnny Cueto CIN 0.77
172 Aaron Harang SEA 0.69
173 Liam Hendriks MIN 0.68
174 Danny Salazar CLE 0.63
175 P.J. Walters MIN 0.61
176 Jeanmar Gomez PIT 0.60
177 Andre Rienzo CHW 0.59
178 Jenrry Mejia NYM 0.57
179 Tyler Skaggs ARI 0.55
180 Brett Anderson OAK 0.55
181 Tommy Hanson LAA 0.54
182 Kevin Gausman BAL 0.46
183 Pedro Hernandez MIN 0.37
184 Robbie Erlin SD 0.30
185 Nick Tepesch TEX 0.06
186 Luis Mendoza KC 0.05
187 Roy Halladay PHI 0.04
188 Chien-Ming Wang TOR -0.01
189 Todd Redmond TOR -0.04
190 Chad Bettis COL -0.10
191 Brandon Maurer SEA -0.12
192 Phil Hughes NYY -0.12
193 Shaun Marcum NYM -0.16
194 Vance Worley MIN -0.20
195 Ryan Vogelsong SF -0.34
196 Kyle Gibson MIN -0.41
197 Hiram Burgos MIL -0.43
198 Alfredo Figaro MIL -0.53
199 Erik Bedard HOU -0.58
200 Scott Diamond MIN -0.59
201 Ted Lilly LAD -0.65
202 Barry Zito SF -0.81
203 Josh Beckett LAD -0.84
204 Ethan Martin PHI -0.91
205 Gavin Floyd CHW -1.00
206 Tom Gorzelanny MIL -1.05
207 Allen Webster BOS -1.07
208 Josh Johnson TOR -1.09
209 Donovan Hand MIL -1.23
210 Philip Humber HOU -1.27
211 Matt Magill LAD -1.29
212 Wade LeBlanc MIA -1.30
213 Carlos Carrasco CLE -1.53
214 Brad Peacock HOU -1.66
215 J.A. Happ TOR -1.73
216 Jeff Francis COL -1.91
217 Joe Blanton LAA -1.94
218 Clayton Richard SD -2.05

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