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Pudner: Kyle Anderson Luckiest Player in NBA Draft

Pudner: Kyle Anderson Luckiest Player in NBA Draft

Prior to the last two NBA Drafts I have visited team offices, sent draftee info and built databases for teams, and worked with projection guru Rob Lowe to calculate how many wins each player would be worth to an NBA team. In the midst of political campaigns I was even mocked by fellow Marquette alums for lack of effort in even following my alma mater (see mock interview of me here based on my actual Fox News interview), and am only now reviewing each pick against my last mock draft on May 22.

However, in reviewing each pick on the table below against our May 22 mock and the database, one thing that is clear is that Kyle Anderson was the luckiest player in this year’s draft.

Only Jabari Brown and Deonte Burton dropped further than Anderson did from the May 22 mock draft (14th pick) to the actual draft (30th pick). Why is Anderson so lucky?

1. If Anderson had dropped one more spot he would have been in the second round – meaning he would have been guaranteed exactly $0. As the last pick he is guaranteed $1,863,800 give or take 20% even if he never makes the roster – and in fact he is very likely to get over $2 million.

2. He also landed in Texas, with no sales tax, meaning he should actually net more money than the four picks that went in front of him – including if the Clippers had kept him in California to cost him a couple of hundred thousand in state tax.

3. He went to the Spurs, who seem to make players much better than before they got them.

Damien Inglis was picked next by the Bucks, and will have to make the team and try to get a little more than half what Anderson makes if he makes the squad.

While international players are hard to predict a month out, the following are the other players who shot way up from where they were back on May 22 in the draft:

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