Predicted Margin for Every Week 2 College Football Game

Predicted Margin for Every Week 2 College Football Game

The following is the list of the projected score of every college football game this weekend–though fans should adjust their point spreads based on the latest injuries through a service such as DonBest. Teams are listed alphabetically within their conference, with their current ranking, chance of winning, game time, and opponent. Conferences are given an expected number of wins, points scored, and points allowed for the weekend.

Michigan State, ranked 3rd, is an underdog traveling to Oregon, ranked 6th, in a game that could determine one of four playoff spots. Conferences abilities to do better or worse than their projected point margin and wins each week will determine their rankings as a conference, and play a major part in helping their top teams have the strength of schedule to make the first ever national semifinals. 

Conference ratings are only adjusted based on games played against other conferences, and victory margins only matter up to 25 points, so while Florida State is projected to beat the Citadel 51-0–it will not matter whether they win by 75 or 25.

Rnk Team Conf Sc Op % Gm Time @ opponent
63 Cincinnati AAC     0%   NG  
104 Connecticut AAC 26 17 76% 12:00pm H Stony Brook
46 East Carolina AAC 25 36 27% 7:00pm A South Carolina
86 Houston AAC 49 3 100% 8:00pm H Grambling
103 Memphis AAC 11 43 2% 10:00pm A UCLA
84 SMU AAC 20 29 27% 12:00pm A North Texas
114 South Florida AAC 17 34 13% 3:30pm H Maryland
55 Temple AAC 31 29 55% 1:00pm H Navy
96 Tulane AAC 21 31 26% 4:00pm H Georgia Tech
80 Tulsa AAC 20 45 10% 12:00pm H Oklahoma
48 UCF AAC     0%   NG  -4 conf average
  Conf Week 2Pts/Wins AAC 220 267 3.35 Proj Wins    
50 Boston College ACC 30 29 52% Fri7:00pm H Pittsburgh
29 Clemson ACC 51 9 99% 12:30pm H S Carolina St
41 Duke ACC 42 22 85% 7:00pm A Troy
1 Florida St ACC 51 0 100% 7:30pm H Citadel
45 Georgia Tech ACC 31 21 74% 4:00pm A Tulane
16 Louisville ACC 51 11 99% 7:00pm H Murray St
62 Miami FL ACC 45 7 99% 7:00pm H Florida A&M
98 NC State ACC 37 34 56% 6:00pm H Old Dominion
44 North Carolina ACC 38 22 82% 8:00pm H San Diego St
39 Pittsburgh ACC 29 30 48% Fri7:00pm A Boston College
64 Syracuse ACC     0%   NG  +6 conf average
71 Virginia ACC 38 18 89% 3:30pm H Richmond
38 Virginia Tech ACC 20 37 16% 8:00pm A Ohio St
108 Wake Forest ACC 36 9 98% 6:30pm H Gardner Webb
  Conf Week 2Pts/Wins ACC 499 249 9.96 Proj Wins    +6 conf average
81 Illinois B10 32 40 35% 12:00pm H W Kentucky
52 Indiana B10     0%   NG  
34 Iowa B10 35 19 84% 3:30pm H Ball St
54 Maryland B10 34 17 87% 3:30pm A South Florida
40 Michigan B10 22 33 25% 7:30pm A Notre Dame
3 Michigan St B10 23 33 27% 6:30pm A Oregon
36 Minnesota B10 36 15 92% 3:30pm H Middle Tenn St
28 Nebraska B10 46 17 94% 12:00pm H McNeese St
72 Northwestern B10 29 26 57% 3:30pm H N Illinois
14 Ohio St B10 37 20 84% 8:00pm H Virginia Tech
32 Penn St B10 41 11 97% 12:00pm H Akron
107 Purdue B10 28 28 50% 12:00pm H C Michigan
59 Rutgers B10 49 12 98% 12:00pm H Howard
18 Wisconsin B10 43 6 100% 12:00pm H W Illinois
  Conf Week 2Pts/Wins B10 455 277 9.30 Proj Wins    +6 conf average
11 Baylor B12 63 11 99% 7:30pm H Northwestern LA
58 Iowa St B12 20 30 25% 12:00pm H Kansas St
92 Kansas B12 37 13 95% 7:00pm H SE Missouri St
23 Kansas St B12 30 20 75% 12:00pm A Iowa St
5 Oklahoma B12 45 20 90% 12:00pm A Tulsa
8 Oklahoma St B12 46 11 98% 3:30pm H Missouri St
37 TCU B12     0%   NG  
25 Texas B12 28 25 58% 7:30pm H BYU
42 Texas Tech B12 42 27 77% 11:00pm A UTEP
35 West Virginia B12 47 24 86% 7:30pm H Towson
  Conf Week 2Pts/Wins B12 358 181 7.03 Proj Wins    -8 conf average
95 FL Atlantic CUSA 7 40 1% 12:00pm A Alabama
126 Florida Intl CUSA 29 21 71% 6:00pm H Wagner
112 Louisiana Tech CUSA 25 37 25% 7:00pm A ULL
67 Marshall CUSA 48 14 97% 7:00pm H Rhode Island
91 Middle Tenn St CUSA 15 36 8% 3:30pm A Minnesota
70 North Texas CUSA 29 20 73% 12:00pm H SMU
105 Old Dominion CUSA 34 37 44% 6:00pm A NC State
78 Rice CUSA     0%   NG  
120 Southern Miss CUSA 39 22 83% 7:00pm H Alcorn St
85 UAB CUSA 23 43 15% 2:00pm A Mississippi St
47 UT San Antonio CUSA 26 30 40% Thu8:00pm H Arizona
99 UTEP CUSA 27 42 23% 11:00pm H Texas Tech
49 W Kentucky CUSA 40 32 65% 12:00pm A Illinois
  Conf Week 2Pts/Wins CUSA 342 374 5.46 Proj Wins    -8 conf average
115 Army Ind 28 31 43% 12:00pm H Buffalo
27 BYU Ind 25 28 42% 7:30pm A Texas
56 Navy Ind 29 31 45% 1:00pm A Temple
20 Notre Dame Ind 33 22 75% 7:30pm H Michigan
  Conf Week 2Pts/Wins Ind 115 112 2.06 Proj Wins    +2 ind average
113 Akron MAC 11 41 3% 12:00pm A Penn St
77 Ball St MAC 19 35 16% 3:30pm A Iowa
94 Bowling Green MAC 41 7 99% 3:30pm H VMI
102 Buffalo MAC 31 28 57% 12:00pm A Army
97 C Michigan MAC 28 28 50% 12:00pm A Purdue
125 E Michigan MAC 6 39 1% 4:00pm A Florida
110 Kent MAC 24 24 50% 2:00pm H South Alabama
128 Massachusetts MAC 18 31 18% 3:00pm H Colorado
127 Miami OH MAC 22 25 41% 3:30pm H E Kentucky
68 N Illinois MAC 26 29 43% 3:30pm A Northwestern
89 Ohio MAC 24 36 25% 3:30pm A Kentucky
73 Toledo MAC 22 38 18% 12:00pm H Missouri
124 W Michigan MAC     0%   NG  -14 conf aver
  Conf Week 2Pts/Wins MAC 272 361 4.21 Proj Wins    
116 Air Force MWC 29 38 32% 10:15pm A Wyoming
69 Boise St MWC 33 26 66% 10:15pm H Colorado St
76 Colorado St MWC 26 33 34% 10:15pm A Boise St
66 Fresno St MWC 29 40 29% 3:00pm A Utah
100 Hawaii MWC 23 42 16% 10:30pm H Oregon St
93 Nevada MWC 28 35 35% Fri10:30pm H Washington St
119 New Mexico MWC 16 52 4% 7:00pm H Arizona St
83 San Diego St MWC 22 38 18% 8:00pm A North Carolina
75 San Jose St MWC 21 53 7% 7:00pm A Auburn
101 UNLV MWC 39 18 89% 10:00pm H N Colorado
90 Utah St MWC 38 7 99% 8:00pm H Idaho St
106 Wyoming MWC 38 29 68% 10:15pm H Air Force
  Conf Week 2Pts/Wins MWC 342 411 4.98 Proj Wins    -10 conf aver
26 Arizona P12 30 26 60% Thu8:00pm A UT San Antonio
21 Arizona St P12 52 16 96% 7:00pm A New Mexico
60 California P12 47 21 90%   H CS Sacramento
87 Colorado P12 31 18 82% 3:00pm A Massachusetts
6 Oregon P12 33 23 73% 6:30pm H Michigan St
33 Oregon St P12 42 23 84% 10:30pm A Hawaii
2 Stanford P12 28 19 74% 3:30pm H USC
15 UCLA P12 43 11 98% 10:00pm H Memphis
17 USC P12 19 28 26% 3:30pm A Stanford
43 Utah P12 40 29 71% 3:00pm H Fresno St
24 Washington P12 45 20 90% 3:00pm H E Washington
57 Washington St P12 35 28 65% Fri10:30pm A Nevada
  Conf Week 2Pts/Wins P12 445 262 9.08 Proj Wins    +11 conf ave
121 Appalachian St SBC 48 10 99% 6:00pm H Campbell
61 Arkansas St SBC 21 36 19% 12:00pm A Tennessee
118 Ga Southern SBC 41 15 94% 6:00pm H Savannah St
123 Georgia St SBC 32 37 40% 2:00pm H New Mexico St
122 Idaho SBC 17 44 7% 7:00pm A ULM
109 New Mexico St SBC 37 32 60% 2:00pm A Georgia St
88 South Alabama SBC 24 24 50% 2:00pm A Kent
117 Texas St SBC     0%   NG  
111 Troy SBC 22 42 15% 7:00pm H Duke
82 ULL SBC 37 25 75% 7:00pm H Louisiana Tech
79 ULM SBC 44 17 93% 7:00pm H Idaho
  Conf Week 2Pts/Wins SBC 323 282 5.50 Proj Wins    -15 Conf ave
4 Alabama SEC 40 7 99% 12:00pm H FL Atlantic
53 Arkansas SEC 61 0 100% 4:00pm H Nicholls St
7 Auburn SEC 53 21 93% 7:00pm H San Jose St
51 Florida SEC 39 6 99% 4:00pm H E Michigan
12 Georgia SEC     0%   NG  
74 Kentucky SEC 36 24 75% 3:30pm H Ohio
9 LSU SEC 52 16 96% 7:30pm H Sam Houston St
19 Mississippi SEC 26 14 85% 4:30pm A Vanderbilt
31 Mississippi St SEC 43 23 85% 2:00pm H UAB
13 Missouri SEC 38 22 82% 12:00pm A Toledo
22 South Carolina SEC 36 25 73% 7:00pm H East Carolina
30 Tennessee SEC 36 21 81% 12:00pm H Arkansas St
10 Texas A&M SEC 69 11 99% 7:30pm H Lamar
65 Vanderbilt SEC 14 26 15% 4:30pm H Mississippi
  Conf Week 2Pts/Wins SEC 543 216 10.83 Proj Wins   +13 conf ave


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