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Week 3 Ratings: BYU, ND, VA Tech, USC Jump

Week 3 Ratings: BYU, ND, VA Tech, USC Jump

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BYU kicked off Week 3 by surviving a Thursday night scare against Houston, and could repeat their feat from 30 years ago of competing for a national title without beating a ranked team. After destroying Texas in Week 2, BYU was one of six Top 25 teams to jump at least nine spots in the Pythagorean Ratings. USC (#6), Notre Dame (#8), Virginia Tech (#18), Clemson (#20), and Pitt (#24) joined BYU with the big jumps as the ACC, SEC, and Independents had great Week 2 results.

In 1984, BYU claimed one of the most suspect titles in football history when they beat a 6-6 Michigan team in the Holiday Bowl 24-17 to claim the title. They faced no teams that were ranked in the Top 25 at the end of the season, opening the year against a Pitt team that was in the preseason rankings but went only 3-7-1.

Louisiana Tech also won Thursday night to establish themselves as the hottest team in football, improving from out of the Top 100 in Week 1 to almost the top 50 with an upset blowout of ULL, and following up that by beating the second hottest Week 2 team in North Texas. The Louisiana Tech and BYU wins are not reflected in the ratings below:

Michigan struggles, as as they dropped 21 spots to No. 61 after being drubbed by Notre Dame (see photo).

If ever there was a year that cried for a playoff it was 1984. The Holiday Bowl had the automatic bid from the WAC champion, but because their payout was so low the best team they could lure was a Michigan team having a terrible season.

BYU’s one big challenge this year appeared to be Texas, which they defeated in Week 2, to leave a very weak schedule that could result in BYU once again going undefeated and finishing in the Top 4 to compete for another title–though this time it would entail defeating two of the top four teams in the country in the new playoff format.

The following lists the new ratings heading into Week 3, followed by how many spots each team improved or dropped this week, their conference, what their average score would be if they played each of the other 127 FBS schools, and what winning percentage would likely result from that average score. Based on these ratings, Florida State would face Oklahoma in one semifinal, while Alabama would play Oregon in the other. However, Florida State will face new semi-ACC member Notre Dame, and the SEC, Pac-12, and Big 12 all offer numerous chances to lose while BYU has a decent chance to run the table to make the Selection Committee consider them as one of the four semi-final teams.

Rank Improve School Conf Off Def Win%
1 0 Florida St ACC 51 17 96%
2 2 Alabama SEC 37 15 93%
3 3 Oregon P12 49 21 92%
4 1 Oklahoma B12 42 19 91%
5 2 Auburn SEC 46 21 91%
6 11 USC P12 38 18 90%
7 6 Missouri SEC 40 19 90%
8 12 Notre Dame Ind 40 19 90%
9 0 LSU SEC 39 19 89%
10 0 Texas A&M SEC 54 27 88%
11 1 Georgia SEC 42 20 88%
12 7 Mississippi SEC 38 19 88%
13 3 Louisville ACC 39 20 87%
14 -12 Stanford P12 31 16 87%
15 -12 Michigan St B10 27 14 87%
16 11 BYU Ind 44 23 87%
17 -6 Baylor B12 46 25 85%
18 20 Virginia Tech ACC 35 20 83%
19 -11 Oklahoma St B12 33 19 83%
20 9 Clemson ACC 43 25 83%
21 1 South Carolina SEC 33 20 81%
22 -1 Arizona St P12 39 24 81%
23 -5 Wisconsin B10 30 19 79%
24 15 Pittsburgh ACC 38 24 79%
25 -10 UCLA P12 33 21 79%
26 4 Tennessee SEC 35 23 77%
27 -13 Ohio St B10 36 24 77%
28 -2 Arizona P12 34 23 76%
29 16 Georgia Tech ACC 38 27 74%
30 -6 Washington P12 29 21 72%
31 25 Navy Ind 36 26 72%
32 15 UT San Antonio CUSA 34 25 71%
33 -2 Mississippi St SEC 28 21 71%
34 9 Utah P12 35 26 71%
35 -12 Kansas St B12 25 19 70%
36 -1 West Virginia B12 39 30 69%
37 5 Duke ACC 35 27 68%
38 -2 TCU B12 28 22 66%
39 -11 Nebraska B10 31 25 66%
40 -7 Oregon St P12 31 25 65%
41 12 Florida SEC 21 17 65%
42 30 North Texas CUSA 32 26 65%
43 19 Miami FL ACC 35 29 63%
44 0 North Carolina ACC 32 27 63%
45 1 East Carolina AAC 36 30 63%
46 -14 Penn St B10 29 24 63%
47 1 UCF AAC 31 26 62%
48 2 Boston College ACC 32 28 61%
49 0 W Kentucky CUSA 36 31 61%
50 17 Marshall CUSA 40 35 60%
51 61 Louisiana Tech CUSA 37 32 60%
52 0 Arkansas SEC 29 26 59%
53 -29 Texas B12 23 21 59%
54 19 Kentucky SEC 32 29 58%
55 15 Virginia ACC 32 29 58%
56 -21 Minnesota B10 24 22 57%
57 -24 Iowa B10 23 21 57%
58 12 Syracuse ACC 25 24 56%
59 -8 Indiana B10 37 34 56%
60 9 N Illinois MAC 34 32 55%
61 8 Boise St MWC 29 28 53%
62 -22 Michigan B10 28 27 53%
63 -21 Texas Tech B12 29 29 52%
64 -1 Cincinnati AAC 28 28 50%
65 -5 California P12 33 34 50%
66 -5 Arkansas St SBC 28 29 49%
67 -13 Maryland B10 26 27 49%
68 17 UAB CUSA 39 40 49%
69 9 Ball St MAC 32 33 49%
70 19 Middle Tenn St CUSA 30 33 45%
71 -13 Iowa St B12 27 30 45%
72 11 San Diego St MWC 29 32 44%
73 2 San Jose St MWC 30 35 42%
74 -19 Temple AAC 28 32 42%
75 -18 Washington St P12 25 29 41%
76 5 Illinois B10 29 34 41%
77 0 Rice CUSA 29 33 41%
78 -12 Fresno St MWC 30 35 40%
79 20 UTEP CUSA 31 37 40%
80 18 NC State ACC 28 33 40%
81 -22 Rutgers B10 25 30 39%
82 6 South Alabama SBC 27 33 39%
83 10 Nevada MWC 30 36 38%
84 13 C Michigan MAC 27 33 38%
85 -5 Tulsa AAC 27 33 37%
86 -21 Vanderbilt SEC 19 24 37%
87 -14 Toledo MAC 26 33 36%
88 -12 Colorado St MWC 26 33 36%
89 -3 Houston AAC 22 28 35%
90 15 Old Dominion CUSA 32 42 33%
91 12 Memphis AAC 24 32 33%
92 8 Hawaii MWC 28 38 31%
93 22 Army Ind 28 39 31%
94 0 Bowling Green MAC 19 27 30%
95 -16 ULM SBC 21 30 28%
96 -24 Northwestern B10 18 26 28%
97 -8 Ohio MAC 23 34 27%
98 -3 FL Atlantic CUSA 21 31 27%
99 -12 Colorado P12 21 32 26%
100 -10 Utah St MWC 14 22 25%
101 -17 SMU AAC 20 31 24%
102 6 Wake Forest ACC 15 24 22%
103 -21 ULL SBC 20 33 22%
104 -8 Tulane AAC 17 29 20%
105 8 Akron MAC 20 34 20%
106 5 Troy SBC 23 39 20%
107 7 South Florida AAC 19 33 19%
108 18 Florida Intl CUSA 20 35 19%
109 7 Air Force MWC 23 41 18%
110 -4 Wyoming MWC 21 39 17%
111 -9 Buffalo MAC 19 35 17%
112 -3 New Mexico St SBC 23 42 17%
113 -12 UNLV MWC 18 34 16%
114 -10 Connecticut AAC 17 33 16%
115 3 Ga Southern SBC 17 36 13%
116 1 Texas St SBC 17 36 13%
117 5 Idaho SBC 21 45 13%
118 -8 Kent MAC 14 30 13%
119 -27 Kansas B12 13 29 12%
120 -1 New Mexico MWC 18 43 10%
121 7 Massachusetts MAC 15 37 10%
122 -2 Southern Miss CUSA 18 43 9%
123 -16 Purdue B10 15 36 9%
124 -1 Georgia St SBC 18 43 9%
125 -4 Appalachian St SBC 16 41 8%
126 -2 W Michigan MAC 16 43 8%
127 -2 E Michigan MAC 17 46 8%
128 -1 Miami OH MAC 11 39 5%


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