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College Football Projected Scores: Big 12 Challenges SEC Twice

College Football Projected Scores: Big 12 Challenges SEC Twice

by John Pudner13 Sep 20140

The Big 12 has two chances to challenge the SEC’s No. 1 ranking (click here) if they can surpass their projected 4.9-4.1 record this week with an Oklahoma win over Tennessee and Texas Tech win over Arkansas. Iowa State, Oklahoma State, TCU, and West Virginia also have chances in fairly evenly matched inter-conference games on the tables below projecting every game and every conference record.

Conf Projected Week 3 Record
AAC W 2.8 L 5.2, 35%, currently ranked 7th
ACC W 7.0 L 4.0, 64%, currently tied for 2nd
B10 W 5.8 L 5.2, 53%, currently ranked 5th
B12 W 4.9 L 4.1, 54%, currently ranked 4th
CUSA W 6.4 L 6.6, 49%, currently ranked 6th
Ind W 2.9 L 1.1, 73%
MAC W 3.6 L 8.4, 30%, currently ranked 9th
MWC W 4.3 L 4.7, 48%, currently ranked 8th
P12 W 7.2 L 1.8, 80%, currently tied 2nd
SBC W 2.9 L 7.1, 29%, currently ranked 10th
SEC W 9.1 L 3.9, 70%, currently ranked 1st

Each team is listed alphabetically within their conference with their current ranking in the Pythagorean Ratings, their projected score this week, percent chance of winning, game time, their opponent and the opponent’s conference and whether they are home, away, on a neutral site or idle. A conferences ability to exceed their projected record and projected overall points scored and allowed increases their conference standing released each week (click here for current conference ratings). 

Rnk Team Conf Sc Op % Gm Time @ opponent Conf
64 Cincinnati AAC 34 23 74% Fri 58-34 H Toledo MAC
114 Connecticut AAC 18 31 19% 12:00pm ET H Boise St MWC
45 East Carolina AAC 25 38 24% 12:00pm ET A Virginia Tech ACC
89 Houston AAC 14 45 4% Thur 33-25 A BYU Ind
91 Memphis AAC     0%   I    
101 SMU AAC     0%   I    
107 South Florida AAC 25 30 38% 3:30pm ET H NC State ACC
74 Temple AAC     0%   I    
104 Tulane AAC 24 21 59% 8:00pm ET H SE Louisiana  
85 Tulsa AAC 27 27 50% 7:00pm ET A FL Atlantic CUSA
47 UCF AAC 19 39 12% 12:00pm ET A Missouri SEC
  Proj Rec: W 2.8 L 5.2, 35% AAC 186 254 2.80        
                   
48 Boston College ACC 23 35 25% 8:00pm ET H USC P12
20 Clemson ACC     0%   I    
37 Duke ACC 37 9 98% 3:30pm ET H Kansas B12
1 Florida St ACC     0%   I    
29 Georgia Tech ACC 47 13 97% 12:00pm ET H Ga Southern SBC
13 Louisville ACC 37 25 74% 12:30pm ET A Virginia ACC
43 Miami FL ACC 37 26 72% 3:30pm ET H Arkansas St SBC
80 NC State ACC 30 25 62% 3:30pm ET A South Florida AAC
44 North Carolina ACC     0%   I    
24 Pittsburgh ACC 42 17 92% 12:00pm ET A Florida Intl CUSA
58 Syracuse ACC 27 24 58% 12:00pm ET A C Michigan MAC
55 Virginia ACC 25 37 26% 12:30pm ET H Louisville ACC
18 Virginia Tech ACC 38 25 76% 12:00pm ET H East Carolina AAC
102 Wake Forest ACC 6 10 19% 7:00pm ET A Utah St MWC
  Proj Rec: W 7 L 4, 64% ACC 349 246 6.99        
                   
76 Illinois B10 19 36 15% 4:00pm ET A Washington P12
59 Indiana B10 33 26 65% 12:00pm ET A Bowling Green MAC
57 Iowa B10 26 17 75% 3:30pm ET H Iowa St B12
67 Maryland B10 29 35 37% 12:00pm ET H West Virginia B12
62 Michigan B10 40 7 99% 3:30pm ET H Miami OH MAC
15 Michigan St B10     0%   I    
56 Minnesota B10 15 23 24% 4:00pm ET A TCU B12
39 Nebraska B10 35 28 65% 10:30pm ET A Fresno St MWC
96 Northwestern B10     0%   I    
27 Ohio St B10 39 7 99% 12:00pm ET H Kent MAC
46 Penn St B10 28 22 66% 8:00pm ET A Rutgers B10
123 Purdue B10 6 47 0% 7:30pm ET N Notre Dame Ind
81 Rutgers B10 22 28 34% 8:00pm ET H Penn St B10
23 Wisconsin B10     0%   I    
  Proj Rec: W 5.8 L 5.2, 53% B10 292 276 5.81        
                   
17 Baylor B12 50 17 95% Fri 63-21 A Buffalo MAC
71 Iowa St B12 17 26 25% 3:30pm ET A Iowa B10
119 Kansas B12 9 37 2% 3:30pm ET A Duke ACC
35 Kansas St B12     0%   I    
4 Oklahoma B12 38 23 80% 8:00pm ET H Tennessee SEC
19 Oklahoma St B12 31 22 72% 7:00pm ET H UT San Antonio CUSA
38 TCU B12 23 15 76% 4:00pm ET H Minnesota B10
53 Texas B12 15 25 21% 8:00pm ET N UCLA P12
63 Texas Tech B12 28 27 53% 3:30pm ET H Arkansas SEC
36 West Virginia B12 35 29 63% 12:00pm ET A Maryland B10
  Proj Rec: W 4.9 L 4.1, 54% B12 247 221 4.87        
                   
98 FL Atlantic CUSA 27 27 50% 7:00pm ET H Tulsa AAC
108 Florida Intl CUSA 17 42 8% 12:00pm ET H Pittsburgh ACC
51 Louisiana Tech CUSA 32 37 40% Thur 21-42 A North Texas CUSA
50 Marshall CUSA 47 27 82% 12:00pm ET H Ohio MAC
70 Middle Tenn St CUSA 34 38 43% 7:00pm ET H W Kentucky CUSA
42 North Texas CUSA 37 32 60% Thur 42-21 H Louisiana Tech CUSA
90 Old Dominion CUSA 51 28 83% 6:00pm ET H E Michigan MAC
77 Rice CUSA 25 60 8% 9:00pm ET A Texas A&M SEC
122 Southern Miss CUSA 3 53 0% 6:00pm ET A Alabama SEC
68 UAB CUSA 35 10 97% 3:30pm ET H Alabama A&M  
32 UT San Antonio CUSA 22 31 28% 7:00pm ET A Oklahoma St B12
79 UTEP CUSA 46 29 79% 8:00pm ET H New Mexico St SBC
49 W Kentucky CUSA 38 34 58% 7:00pm ET A MTSU  
  Proj Rec: W 6.4 L 6.6, 49% CUSA 414 448 6.36        
                   
93 Army Ind 13 43 4% 5:00pm ET A Stanford P12
16 BYU Ind 45 14 96% Thur 25-33 H Houston AAC
31 Navy Ind 41 16 93% 8:00pm ET A Texas St SBC
8 Notre Dame Ind 47 6 100% 7:30pm ET N Purdue B10
  Proj Rec: W 2.9 L 1.1, 73% Ind 146 79 2.92        
                   
105 Akron MAC     0%   I    
69 Ball St MAC 35 10 97% 3:00pm ET H Indiana St  
94 Bowling Green MAC 26 33 35% 12:00pm ET H Indiana B10
111 Buffalo MAC 17 50 5% Fri 21-63 H Baylor B12
84 C Michigan MAC 24 27 42% 12:00pm ET H Syracuse ACC
127 E Michigan MAC 28 51 17% 6:00pm ET A Old Dominion CUSA
118 Kent MAC 7 39 1% 12:00pm ET A Ohio St B10
121 Massachusetts MAC 8 29 3% 12:00pm ET A Vanderbilt SEC
128 Miami OH MAC 7 40 1% 3:30pm ET A Michigan B10
60 N Illinois MAC 37 23 78% 7:00pm ET A UNLV MWC
97 Ohio MAC 27 47 18% 12:00pm ET A Marshall CUSA
87 Toledo MAC 23 34 26% Fri 34-58 A Cincinnati AAC
126 W Michigan MAC 30 37 36% 5:00pm ET A Idaho SBC
  Proj Rec: W 3.6 L 8.4, 30% MAC 270 420 3.59        
                   
109 Air Force MWC 35 32 56% 2:00pm ET A Georgia St SBC
61 Boise St MWC 31 18 81% 12:00pm ET A Connecticut AAC
88 Colorado St MWC 35 10 97% 3:00pm ET H UC Davis  
78 Fresno St MWC 28 35 35% 10:30pm ET H Nebraska B10
92 Hawaii MWC 28 30 45% 11:59pm ET H Northern Iowa  
83 Nevada MWC 22 43 13% 11:00pm ET A Arizona P12
120 New Mexico MWC     0%   I    
72 San Diego St MWC     0%   I    
73 San Jose St MWC     0%   I    
113 UNLV MWC 23 37 22% 7:00pm ET H N Illinois MAC
100 Utah St MWC 10 6 81% 7:00pm ET H Wake Forest ACC
110 Wyoming MWC 11 61 1% 2:00pm ET A Oregon P12
  Proj Rec: W 4.3 L 4.7, 48% MWC 222 272 4.31        
                   
28 Arizona P12 43 22 87% 11:00pm ET H Nevada MWC
22 Arizona St P12 40 18 90% 10:00pm ET A Colorado P12
65 California P12     0%   I    
99 Colorado P12 18 40 10% 10:00pm ET H Arizona St P12
3 Oregon P12 61 11 99% 2:00pm ET H Wyoming MWC
40 Oregon St P12     0%   I    
14 Stanford P12 43 13 96% 5:00pm ET H Army Ind
25 UCLA P12 25 15 79% 8:00pm ET N Texas B12
6 USC P12 35 23 75% 8:00pm ET A Boston College ACC
34 Utah P12     0%   I    
30 Washington P12 36 19 85% 4:00pm ET H Illinois B10
75 Washington St P12 35 10 97% 8:00pm ET H Portland St  
  Proj Rec: W 7.2 L 1.8, 80% P12 337 173 7.17        
                   
125 Appalachian St SBC     0%   I    
66 Arkansas St SBC 26 37 28% 3:30pm ET A Miami FL ACC
115 Ga Southern SBC 13 47 3% 12:00pm ET A Georgia Tech ACC
124 Georgia St SBC 32 35 44% 2:00pm ET H Air Force MWC
117 Idaho SBC 37 30 64% 5:00pm ET H W Michigan MAC
112 New Mexico St SBC 29 46 21% 8:00pm ET A UTEP CUSA
82 South Alabama SBC 21 30 27% 4:00pm ET H Mississippi St SEC
116 Texas St SBC 16 41 7% 8:00pm ET H Navy Ind
106 Troy SBC 35 10 97% 7:00pm ET H Abilene Chr  
103 ULL SBC 8 44 1% 4:00pm ET A Mississippi SEC
95 ULM SBC 9 42 1% 7:00pm ET A LSU SEC
  Proj Rec: W 2.9 L 7.1, 29% SBC 226 362 2.94        
                   
2 Alabama SEC 53 3 100% 6:00pm ET H Southern Miss CUSA
52 Arkansas SEC 27 28 47% 3:30pm ET A Texas Tech B12
5 Auburn SEC     0%   I    
41 Florida SEC 23 18 65% 7:30pm ET H Kentucky SEC
11 Georgia SEC 31 26 62% 3:30pm ET A South Carolina SEC
54 Kentucky SEC 18 23 35% 7:30pm ET A Florida SEC
9 LSU SEC 42 9 99% 7:00pm ET H ULM SBC
12 Mississippi SEC 44 8 99% 4:00pm ET H ULL SBC
33 Mississippi St SEC 30 21 73% 4:00pm ET A South Alabama SBC
7 Missouri SEC 39 19 88% 12:00pm ET H UCF AAC
21 South Carolina SEC 26 31 38% 3:30pm ET H Georgia SEC
26 Tennessee SEC 23 38 20% 8:00pm ET A Oklahoma B12
10 Texas A&M SEC 60 25 92% 9:00pm ET H Rice CUSA
86 Vanderbilt SEC 29 8 97% 12:00pm ET H Massachusetts MAC


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