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College Football Saturday Preview

Conference USA surged to just three points below the FBS average (-3, 6th of 10), while the Pac-12 plummeted (+3). If they really rank that good and bad respectively, CUSA could sneak out a 7-6 record this week and the Pac-12’s Oregon could lose at Michigan State.

1. SEC (+16): Tennessee projects to beat Oklahoma by 3.

2. Big 12 (+9): Iowa State joins Oklahoma as a three-point underdog with a chance to repeat last year’s upset of Iowa. Kansas enters its weekend matchup a 6-point underdog against perhaps the best non-Power Conference team—Memphis.

3. ACC (+7): A Virginia upset of Notre Dame (-5) in the only competitive non-conference game would boost the ACC.

4. Big Ten (+7): Iowa needs revenge over Iowa State, while Indiana must avoid an upset by Florida International. Michigan State gives the Big Ten a third 3-point favorite—that is if the Pac-12 is as bad as it was last year.

5. Pac-12 (+3): The Pac-12’s poor showing last week dragged Oregon down enough to make them a 3-point underdog at Michigan State.

It is doubtful the Pac-12 is as bad as they played last week. But if they have regressed Oregon could lose at Michigan State. Arizona, Cal, Colorado, and Utah are solid favorites most places but narrow favorites in this model based on last week.

6. CUSA (-3): If the Conference is as good as last week, Florida International, Louisiana Tech, and Rice would all have shots at upsets. If not, they could come back to earth.

7. Mountain West (-4): The big game is Boise State against BYU, both winners of narrow games last week. Colorado State, Nevada, San Diego State, and Utah State are all slight underdogs against Power Conference teams.

8. American Athletic (-4): The American hopes for wins by Connecticut (vs. Army), Memphis (vs. Kansas), and/or SMU (vs. North Texas).

9. Mid-American (-13): UMass QB Blake Frohnapfel is the state’s top athlete in the soon-to-be released list at www.bestreturningplayers.com, and hopes for an upset of Colorado. He has been called the best quarterback you have never heard of—and offers the biggest chance for an upset by the conference.

10. Sun Belt (-17): Georgia Southern, Georgia State, Troy, and/or New Mexico State need to pull out wins.

Team September 12 opp Margin Pwin Time
Boston College Howard 43 100% 1:00pm ET
Clemson Appalachian St 31 98% 12:30pm ET
Duke NC Central 39 100% 6:00pm ET
Florida St South Florida 30 98% 11:30am ET
Georgia Tech Tulane 30 98% 3:30pm ET
Louisville Houston 13 83% 12:00pm ET
Miami FL FL Atlantic 12 80% Friday
NC State E Kentucky 28 97% 6:00pm ET
North Carolina NC A&T 31 99% 6:00pm ET
Pittsburgh Akron 16 85% 6:00pm ET
Syracuse Wake Forest 5 65% 12:30pm ET
Virginia Notre Dame -5 36% 3:30pm ET
Virginia Tech Furman 33 99% 3:30pm ET
Wake Forest Syracuse -5 35% 12:30pm ET
ACC 12-2 projected Average +22 favorite 22 11.73
Cincinnati Temple 5 63% 8:00pm ET
Connecticut Army 3 55% 12:00pm ET
East Carolina Florida -14 16% 7:00pm ET
Houston Louisville -13 17% 12:00pm ET
Memphis Kansas 6 70% 7:00pm ET
Navy Idle 1 0% NA
SMU North Texas -7 28% 7:00pm ET
South Florida Florida St -30 2% 11:30am ET
Temple Cincinnati -5 37% 8:00pm ET
Tulane Georgia Tech -30 2% 3:30pm ET
Tulsa New Mexico -3 44% 8:00pm ET
UCF Stanford -10 26% 10:30pm ET
American 4-7 Average -8 underdog -8 3.6
Baylor Lamar 44 100% 7:30pm ET
Iowa St Iowa -3 45% 4:45pm ET
Kansas Memphis -6 30% 7:00pm ET
Kansas St UT San Antonio 17 94% 12:00pm ET
Oklahoma Tennessee -3 44% 6:00pm ET
Oklahoma St Cent Arkansas 30 98% 7:30pm ET
TCU SF Austin 43 100% 3:30pm ET
Texas Rice 3 56% 8:00pm ET
Texas Tech UTEP 7 72% 3:00pm ET
West Virginia Liberty 30 98% 3:00pm ET
Big 12 7-3 Average +16 favorite 16 7.37
Illinois W Illinois 10 76% 12:00pm ET
Indiana Florida Intl 3 56% 8:00pm ET
Iowa Iowa St 3 55% 4:45pm ET
Maryland Bowling Green 15 85% 12:00pm ET
Michigan Oregon St 11 75% 12:00pm ET
Michigan St Oregon 3 56% 8:00pm ET
Minnesota Colorado St 5 64% 3:30pm ET
Nebraska South Alabama 25 95% 8:00pm ET
Northwestern E Illinois 28 97% 4:00pm ET
Ohio St Hawaii 35 99% 3:30pm ET
Penn St Buffalo 16 85% 12:00pm ET
Purdue Indiana St 7 73% 12:00pm ET
Rutgers Washington St 11 75% 3:30pm ET
Wisconsin Miami OH 34 99% 12:00pm ET
Big Ten 11-3 Average +15 favorite 15 10.9
Charlotte Presbyterian 6 53% 12:00pm ET
FL Atlantic Miami FL -12 20% Friday
Florida Intl Indiana -3 44% 8:00pm ET
Louisiana Tech W Kentucky 2 55% Lost 38-41
Marshall Ohio 24 95% 7:00pm ET
MTSU Alabama -33 2% 4:00pm ET
North Texas SMU 7 72% 7:00pm ET
Old Dominion Norfolk St 33 97% 7:00pm ET
Rice Texas -3 44% 8:00pm ET
Southern Miss Austin Peay 40 99% 3:30pm ET
UT San Antonio Kansas St -17 6% 12:00pm ET
UTEP Texas Tech -7 28% 3:00pm ET
W Kentucky Louisiana Tech -2 45% Won 41-38
CUSA 7-6 Average +3 favorite 3 6.6
Army Connecticut -3 45% 12:00pm ET
BYU Boise St -1 47% 10:15pm ET
Notre Dame Virginia 5 64% 3:30pm ET
Independent 2-1 Average Even 0 1.56
Akron Pittsburgh -16 15% 6:00pm ET
Ball St Texas A&M -29 3% 7:00pm ET
Bowling Green Maryland -15 15% 12:00pm ET
Buffalo Penn St -16 15% 12:00pm ET
C Michigan Monmouth NJ 27 96% 3:00pm ET
E Michigan Wyoming -12 20% 4:00pm ET
Kent Delaware St 31 99% 6:00pm ET
Massachusetts Colorado -7 28% 2:00pm ET
Miami OH Wisconsin -34 1% 12:00pm ET
N Illinois Murray St 33 99% 3:30pm ET
Ohio Marshall -24 5% 7:00pm ET
Toledo Arkansas -25 5% 4:00pm ET
W Michigan Ga Southern -2 44% 6:00pm ET
Mid-Am 4-9 Averate -7 underdog -7 4.45
Air Force San Jose St 8 73% 10:15pm ET
Boise St BYU 1 53% 10:15pm ET
Colorado St Minnesota -5 36% 3:30pm ET
Fresno St Mississippi -28 3% 3:30pm ET
Hawaii Ohio St -35 1% 3:30pm ET
Nevada Arizona -5 36% 7:00pm ET
New Mexico Tulsa 3 56% 8:00pm ET
San Diego St California -1 47% 5:00pm ET
San Jose St Air Force -8 27% 10:15pm ET
UNLV UCLA -22 5% 10:30pm ET
Utah St Utah -5 37% Friday
Wyoming E Michigan 12 80% 4:00pm ET
Mt West 4-8 Average -7 underdog -7 4.54
Arizona Nevada 5 64% 7:00pm ET
Arizona St Cal Poly SLO 21 95% 11:00pm ET
California San Diego St 1 53% 5:00pm ET
Colorado Massachusetts 7 72% 2:00pm ET
Oregon Michigan St -3 44% 8:00pm ET
Oregon St Michigan -11 25% 12:00pm ET
Stanford UCF 10 74% 10:30pm ET
UCLA UNLV 22 95% 10:30pm ET
USC Idaho 34 98% 8:00pm ET
Utah Utah St 5 63% Friday
Washington CS Sacramento 22 97% 2:00pm ET
Washington St Rutgers -11 25% 3:30pm ET
Pac 12 8-4 Average +9 favorite 9 8.05
Alabama MTSU 33 98% 4:00pm ET
Arkansas Toledo 25 95% 4:00pm ET
Auburn Jacksonville St 34 99% 12:00pm ET
Florida East Carolina 14 84% 7:00pm ET
Georgia Vanderbilt 24 95% 3:30pm ET
Kentucky South Carolina -7 27% 7:30pm ET
LSU Mississippi St -3 44% 9:15pm ET
Mississippi Fresno St 28 97% 3:30pm ET
Mississippi St LSU 3 56% 9:15pm ET
Missouri Arkansas St 24 95% 7:00pm ET
South Carolina Kentucky 7 73% 7:30pm ET
Tennessee Oklahoma 3 56% 6:00pm ET
Texas A&M Ball St 29 97% 7:00pm ET
Vanderbilt Georgia -24 5% 3:30pm ET
SEC 10-4 Average +14 favorite 14 10.21
Appalachian St Clemson -31 2% 12:30pm ET
Arkansas St Missouri -24 5% 7:00pm ET
Ga Southern W Michigan 2 56% 6:00pm ET
Georgia St New Mexico St -4 38% 8:00pm ET
Idaho USC -34 2% 8:00pm ET
New Mexico St Georgia St 4 62% 8:00pm ET
South Alabama Nebraska -25 5% 8:00pm ET
Texas St Prairie View 27 97% 7:00pm ET
Troy Charleston So 2 56% 7:00pm ET
ULL Northwestern LA 15 84% 7:00pm ET
ULM Nicholls St 37 100% 7:00pm ET
SunB 5-6 Average -3 underdog -3 5.07

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