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BYU-UCLA, ND-GA Tech Headline College Football Schedule

Notre Dame-Georgia Tech and BYU-UCLA highlight this Saturday’s college football action.

The flagship universities for the two major religions won on late, long passes and now challenge our picks for ACC and Pac-12 champions last Saturday, with the winners thinking national championship. Five Big Ten-ACC games and six Pac-12-Mountain West games will impact conference rankings.

I picked Georgia Tech as a surprise playoff team, but only give them a two-point edge in their trip to Notre Dame, the Catholic flagship in the US. I picked UCLA to win the Pac-12, and the Bruins host the flagship of the Church of Latter Day Saints in a Brigham Young team that won twice on late bombs into the end zone.

A season-ending injury to Notre Dame (#8 AP) quarterback Malik Zaire seemed to end national title hopes, but back-up DeShone Kizer looked great in the comeback win, bringing back memories of Ohio State winning the title last year under similar circumstances. Georgia Tech (#14 AP) won by an average of 67-8 in their first two games, and if the Irish can stop them they will be in heavy consideration for the playoffs.

If No. 19 BYU follows two miracle come-from-behind wins with an undefeated season that includes road wins at No. 10 UCLA of the Pac-12 Saturday and later No. 22 Missouri of the SEC they would very likely make the four-team playoff. We have them as 9-point underdogs against the Bruins.

Here are the match-ups of all FBS teams listed by conference, with our projected margin and their percent chance of winning. Our conference standings to date are: 1). SEC +12 points better than average FBS team, 2). Big 12 +10, 3). Big Ten +9, 4). Pac-12 +8, 5). ACC +6, 6). American Athletic +0, 7). CUSA -7, 8). MAC -7, 9). Mountain West -11, 10). Sun Belt -15.

ACC: Five games against Big Ten and Georgia Tech vs. Notre Dame.

Team Conf H Pred Win% Opponent Opp conf
Boston College ACC +6 H -7 36% Florida St ACC +6
Clemson ACC +6 7 64% Louisville ACC +6
Duke ACC +6 H 0 50% Northwestern Big Ten +9
Florida St ACC +6 7 64% Boston College ACC +6
Georgia Tech ACC +6 2 53% Notre Dame Ind +0
Louisville ACC +6 H -7 36% Clemson ACC +6
Miami FL ACC +6 H -4 40% Nebraska Big Ten +9
NC State ACC +6 10 76% Old Dominion CUSA – 7
North Carolina ACC +6 H 0 50% Illinois Big Ten +9
Pittsburgh ACC +6 -9 34% Iowa Big Ten +9
Syracuse ACC +6 H 2 55% C Michigan Mid-Am -7
Virginia ACC +6 H 25 95% William & Mary
Virginia Tech ACC +6 4 60% Purdue Big Ten +9
Wake Forest ACC +6 4 60% Army ind +0

American Athletic: South Florida at Maryland may be best shot to build on last week, but all playing Power 5 conferences are double digit underdogs.

Team Conf Pred Win% Opponent Opp conf
Cincinnati Amer +0 17 85% Miami OH Mid-Am -7
Connecticut Amer +0 -24 5% Missouri SEC +12
East Carolina Amer +0 -2 47% Navy Amer +0
Houston Amer +0 0 0% Idle
Memphis Amer +0 12 79% Bowling Green Mid-Am -7
Navy Amer +0 H 2 53% East Carolina Amer +0
SMU Amer +0 -34 1% TCU Big 12 +10
South Florida Amer +0 -12 21% Maryland Big Ten +9
Temple Amer +0 16 84% Massachusetts Mid-Am -7
Tulane Amer +0 H 19 86% Maine
Tulsa Amer +0 -25 4% Oklahoma Big 12 +10
UCF Amer +0 H 32 97% Furman

Big 12: Texas needs to win at home vs. Cal.

Team Conf Pred Win% Opponent Opp conf
Baylor Big 12 +10 0 0% Idle
Iowa St Big 12 +10 -9 34% Toledo Mid-Am -7
Kansas Big 12 +10 0 0% Idle
Kansas St Big 12 +10 H 15 84% Louisiana Tech CUSA – 7
Oklahoma Big 12 +10 H 25 96% Tulsa Amer +0
Oklahoma St Big 12 +10 H 19 88% UT San Antonio CUSA – 7
TCU Big 12 +10 H 34 99% SMU Amer +0
Texas Big 12 +10 H 6 63% California Pac 12 +8
Texas Tech Big 12 +10 -13 19% Arkansas SEC +12
West Virginia Big 12 +10 0 0% Idle

Big Ten: We have Illinois, Indiana and Northwestern all in exact toss-ups (+0), and Purdue and Nebraska as very tight games. With five virtual toss-ups, this week will prove a lot one way or the other.

Team Conf Pred Win% Opponent Opp conf
Illinois Big Ten +9 0 50% North Carolina ACC +6
Indiana Big Ten +9 H 0 50% W Kentucky CUSA – 7
Iowa Big Ten +9 H 9 66% Pittsburgh ACC +6
Maryland Big Ten +9 H 12 79% South Florida Amer +0
Michigan Big Ten +9 H 31 97% UNLV Mt West -11
Michigan St Big Ten +9 H 32 97% Air Force Mt West -11
Minnesota Big Ten +9 H 27 96% Kent Mid-Am -7
Nebraska Big Ten +9 4 60% Miami FL ACC +6
Northwestern Big Ten +9 0 50% Duke ACC +6
Ohio St Big Ten +9 H 29 96% N Illinois Mid-Am -7
Penn St Big Ten +9 H 4 60% Rutgers Big Ten +9
Purdue Big Ten +9 H -4 40% Virginia Tech ACC +6
Rutgers Big Ten +9 -4 40% Penn St Big Ten +9
Wisconsin Big Ten +9 H 35 99% Troy SunB -15

Conference USA: They get shots at three of the five Power Conferences.

Team Conf Pred Win% Opponent Opp conf
Charlotte CUSA – 7 -17 14% MTSU CUSA – 7
FL Atlantic CUSA – 7 H -1 48% Buffalo Mid-Am -7
Florida Intl CUSA – 7 H 25 92% NC Central
Louisiana Tech CUSA – 7 -15 16% Kansas St Big 12 +10
Marshall CUSA – 7 H 45 100% Norfolk St
MTSU CUSA – 7 H 17 86% Charlotte CUSA – 7
North Texas CUSA – 7 H -11 23% Rice CUSA – 7
Old Dominion CUSA – 7 H -10 24% NC State ACC +6
Rice CUSA – 7 11 77% North Texas CUSA – 7
Southern Miss CUSA – 7 -2 47% Texas St SunB -15
UT San Antonio CUSA – 7 -19 12% Oklahoma St Big 12 +10
UTEP CUSA – 7 13 81% New Mexico St SunB -15
W Kentucky CUSA – 7 0 50% Indiana Big Ten +9

Independents: BYU and Notre Dame thinking playoff.

Team Conf Pred Win% Opponent Opp conf
Army ind +0 H -4 40% Wake Forest ACC +6
BYU Ind +0 -9 26% UCLA Pac 12 +8
Notre Dame Ind +0 H -2 47% Georgia Tech ACC +6

MAC: A Central Michigan win at Syracuse would built on a big last week.

Team Conf Pred Win% Opponent Opp conf
Akron Mid-Am -7 H 47 100% Savannah St
Ball St Mid-Am -7 7 64% E Michigan Mid-Am -7
Bowling Green Mid-Am -7 H -12 21% Memphis Amer +0
Buffalo Mid-Am -7 1 52% FL Atlantic CUSA – 7
C Michigan Mid-Am -7 -2 45% Syracuse ACC +6
E Michigan Mid-Am -7 H -7 36% Ball St Mid-Am -7
Kent Mid-Am -7 -27 4% Minnesota Big Ten +9
Massachusetts Mid-Am -7 H -16 16% Temple Amer +0
Miami OH Mid-Am -7 H -17 15% Cincinnati Amer +0
N Illinois Mid-Am -7 -29 4% Ohio St Big Ten +9
Ohio Mid-Am -7 H 11 71% SE Louisiana
Toledo Mid-Am -7 H 9 66% Iowa St Big 12 +10
W Michigan Mid-Am -7 H 36 98% Murray St

Mountain West: It looks like another tough week – they need a couple of upsets after going 1-11 last year.

Team Conf Pred Win% Opponent Opp conf
Air Force Mt West -11 -32 3% Michigan St Big Ten +9
Boise St Mt West -11 H 23 95% Idaho St SunB -15
Colorado St Mt West -11 -2 47% Colorado Pac 12 +8
Fresno St Mt West -11 H -19 10% Utah Pac 12 +8
Hawaii Mt West -11 H 17 89% UC Davis
Nevada Mt West -11 -24 5% Texas A&M SEC +12
New Mexico Mt West -11 -31 3% Arizona St Pac 12 +8
San Diego St Mt West -11 H 6 63% South Alabama SunB -15
San Jose St Mt West -11 -15 19% Oregon St Pac 12 +8
UNLV Mt West -11 -31 3% Michigan Big Ten +9
Utah St Mt West -11 -12 21% Washington Pac 12 +8
Wyoming Mt West -11 -21 8% Washington St Pac 12 +8

Pac-12: The two most populous states face off as Cal (39 million people) travels to Texas (27 million). Colorado must hold off Colorado State in one of six clashes with the Mountain West.

Team Conf Pred Win% Opponent Opp conf
Arizona Pac 12 +8 H 30 98% Northern Arizona
Arizona St Pac 12 +8 H 31 97% New Mexico Mt West -11
California Pac 12 +8 -6 37% Texas Big 12 +10
Colorado Pac 12 +8 H 2 53% Colorado St Mt West -11
Oregon Pac 12 +8 H 47 99% Georgia St SunB -15
Oregon St Pac 12 +8 H 15 81% San Jose St Mt West -11
Stanford Pac 12 +8 -3 43% USC Pac 12 +8
UCLA Pac 12 +8 H 9 74% BYU Ind +0
USC Pac 12 +8 H 3 57% Stanford Pac 12 +8
Utah Pac 12 +8 19 90% Fresno St Mt West -11
Washington Pac 12 +8 H 12 79% Utah St Mt West -11
Washington St Pac 12 +8 H 21 92% Wyoming Mt West -11

SEC: After stumbling last week, the SEC faces only three (easy) non-conference opponents.

Team Conf Pred Win% Opponent Opp conf
Alabama SEC +12 H 11 78% Mississippi SEC +12
Arkansas SEC +12 H 13 81% Texas Tech Big 12 +10
Auburn SEC +12 -3 42% LSU SEC +12
Florida SEC +12 4 60% Kentucky SEC +12
Georgia SEC +12 H 14 82% South Carolina SEC +12
Kentucky SEC +12 H -4 40% Florida SEC +12
LSU SEC +12 H 3 58% Auburn SEC +12
Mississippi SEC +12 -11 22% Alabama SEC +12
Mississippi St SEC +12 H 36 100% Northwestern LA
Missouri SEC +12 H 24 95% Connecticut Amer +0
South Carolina SEC +12 -14 18% Georgia SEC +12
Tennessee SEC +12 H 34 100% W Carolina
Texas A&M SEC +12 H 24 95% Nevada Mt West -11
Vanderbilt SEC +12 H 39 100% Austin Peay

Sun Belt: New Mexico State, South Alabama, and Texas State are the three teams with a chance.

Team Conf Pred Win% Opponent Opp conf
Appalachian St SunB -15 0 0% Idle
Arkansas St SunB -15 H 10 79% Missouri St
Ga Southern SunB -15 H 20 91% Citadel
Georgia St SunB -15 -47 1% Oregon Pac 12 +8
Idaho SunB -15 H 0 50% Wofford
New Mexico St SunB -15 H -13 19% UTEP CUSA – 7
South Alabama SunB -15 -6 37% San Diego St Mt West -11
Texas St SunB -15 H 2 53% Southern Miss CUSA – 7
Troy SunB -15 -35 1% Wisconsin Big Ten +9
ULL SunB -15 0 0% Idle
ULM SunB -15 0 0% Idle

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