January Madness: Seeding the Top 68 College Basketball Players

LSU’s Ben Simmons would be the runaway No. 1 if March Madness seeded the top 68 players instead of teams.

He scored 36 points to stun a very good Vanderbilt team that has already faced the top Value Add team (Kansas) and the second best player in little-known Jameel Warney of Stony Point. Here is the players’ bracket based on Value Add ratings.

Frank Mason, Wayne Seldon, and Perry Ellis make Kansas one of only three teams (Oklahoma and Villanova are the other two) with three players ranked in the top 3% (top 120 of 4000 players).

If auto bids went to the Player of the Year in each conference, Warney would represent the American East. However, he has no problem against big time opponents, averaging 19 points, 11 rebounds, and four blocked shots in two games against Vanderbilt and Notre Dame. He also blocked eight shots in a win over a very good Princeton team.

(Explanation of system: Value Add measures with great precision how many points a player impacts his team’s score and the opponent’s score, and Simmons improves LSU by 16.21 points per 100 times LSU and their opponent possess the ball, and Warney is next best at 14.79. Because teams average possession the ball 70 times per game, the actual per game impact on the final score is 11.4 for Simmons and 10.4 for Warney, but the advanced process is explained here.)

Gary Payton of Oregon State and Kahlil Felder, who scored 37 points against Michigan State and 30 against Virginia in the past two weeks, would be the other 1-seeds in a tournament of players:

Rnk Seed Player Team Conf Ht Yr Total Value
1 1 Simmons, Ben 25 LSU SEC/poy 6′ 10″ Fr 16.21
2 1 Warney, Jameel 20 Stony Brook AE/poy 6′ 8″ Sr 14.79
3 1 Felder, Kahlil 20 Oakland Horz/poy 5′ 9″ Jr 13.71
4 1 Payton, Gary 1 Oregon St. P12/poy 6′ 3″ Sr 13.64
5 2 Scott, Josh 40 Colorado P12 6′ 10″ Sr 13.59
6 2 Hield, Buddy 24 Oklahoma B12/poy 6′ 4″ Sr 13.50
7 2 Siakam, Pascal 43 New Mexico St. WAC/poy 6′ 9″ So 13.44
8 2 Mockevicius, Egidijus 55 Evansville MVC/poy 6′ 10″ Sr 13.15
9 3 Punter, Kevin 0 Tennessee SEC 6′ 2″ Sr 12.55
10 3 Ware, Gavin 20 Mississippi St. SEC 6′ 9″ Sr 12.54
11 3 Barber, Anthony 12 North Carolina St. ACC/poy 6′ 2″ Jr 12.46
12 3 Allen, Grayson 3 Duke ACC 6′ 5″ So 12.39
13 4 Thompson, James 2 Eastern Michigan MAC/poy 6′ 10″ Fr 12.23
14 4 Niang, Georges 31 Iowa St. B12 6′ 8″ Sr 12.21
15 4 Sabonis, Domantas 11 Gonzaga WCC/poy 6′ 11″ So 12.01
16 4 Allen, Terry 15 Richmond A10/poy 6′ 8″ Sr 11.97
17 5 Hart, Josh 3 Villanova BE/poy 6′ 5″ Jr 11.82
18 5 Peters, Alec 25 Valparaiso Horz 6′ 9″ Jr 11.81
19 5 Adams, Josh 14 Wyoming MWC/poy 6′ 2″ Sr 11.80
20 5 Johnson, Brice 11 North Carolina ACC 6′ 10″ Sr 11.59
21 6 Gill, Anthony 13 Virginia ACC 6′ 8″ Sr 11.47
22 6 Dunn, Kris 3 Providence BE 6′ 4″ Jr 11.43
23 6 Valentine, Denzel 45 Michigan St. B10/poy 6′ 5″ Sr 11.42
24 6 Trimble, Melo 2 Maryland B10 6′ 3″ So 11.42
25 7 Andrews, Andrew 12 Washington P12 6′ 2″ Sr 11.40
26 7 Poeltl, Jakob 42 Utah P12 7′ 0 So 11.39
27 7 Gbinije, Michael 0 Syracuse ACC 6′ 7″ Sr 11.37
28 7 Morris, Monte 11 Iowa St. B12 6′ 3″ Jr 11.34
29 8 Frazier, JJ 30 Georgia SEC 5′ 10″ Jr 11.31
30 8 Walker, David 4 Northeastern CAA/poy 6′ 6″ Sr 11.30
31 8 Uthoff, Jarrod 20 Iowa B10 6′ 9″ Sr 11.28
33 8 Sam, Jarred 12 Southern SWAC/poy 6′ 9″ So 11.25
32 9 Moody, Stefan 42 Mississippi SEC 5′ 11″ Sr 11.25
34 9 LeVert, Caris 23 Michigan B10 6′ 7″ Sr 11.23
35 9 Brown, John 0 High Point BSth/poy 6′ 8″ Sr 11.13
36 9 Lee, Damion 0 Louisville ACC 6′ 6″ Sr 10.96
37 10 Miles, Isaiah 15 Saint Joseph’s A10 6′ 7″ Sr 10.94
38 10 Hawkinson, Josh 24 Washington St. P12 6′ 10″ Jr 10.92
40 10 Breunig, Martin 12 Montana BSky/poy 6′ 8″ Sr 10.91
39 10 Lydon, Tyler 20 Syracuse ACC 6′ 8″ Fr 10.91
41 11 Woodard, Jordan 10 Oklahoma B12 6′ 0 Jr 10.81
42 11 Blossomgame, Jaron 5 Clemson ACC 6′ 7″ Jr 10.74
43 11 Kingsley, Moses 33 Arkansas SEC 6′ 10″ Jr 10.55
44 11 Maten, Yante 1 Georgia SEC 6′ 8″ So 10.52
45 12 Hart, Khallid 5 Marist MAAC/poy 6′ 2″ Jr 10.49
46 12 Brogdon, Malcolm 15 Virginia ACC 6′ 5″ Sr 10.46
47 12 Beasley, Malik 5 Florida St. ACC 6′ 5″ Fr 10.45
48 12 Wiltjer, Kyle 33 Gonzaga WCC 6′ 10″ Sr 10.42
49 13 Robinson, Justin 12 Monmouth MAAC 5′ 8″ Jr 10.37
50 13 Anderson, Ryan 12 Arizona P12 6′ 9″ Sr 10.34
51 13 Bentil, Ben 0 Providence BE 6′ 9″ So 10.33
52 13/PI McClellan, Sheldon 10 Miami FL ACC 6′ 5″ Sr 10.31
53 13/PI Mason, Frank 0 Kansas B12 5′ 11″ Jr 10.29
54 14 Bryson, Michael 24 UC Santa Barbara BW/poy 6′ 4″ Sr 10.08
55 14/PI White, Andrew 3 Nebraska B10 6′ 7″ Jr 10.02
57 14/PI Thomas, Devin 2 Wake Forest ACC 6′ 9″ Sr 10.01
58 14 Woodley, Zeek 23 Northwestern St. Slnd/poy 6′ 2″ Jr 10.00
64 14 Eaves, Frank 21 Appalachian St. SB/poy 6′ 2″ Sr 9.87
70 15 Diaz, Adrian 20 FIU CUSA/poy 6′ 11″ Sr 9.67
79 15 Harrison, Shaquille 3 Tulsa Amer/poy 6′ 4″ Sr 9.41
80 15 Caruso, Henry 21 Princeton Ivy/poy 6′ 4″ Jr 9.40
83 15 Langston, Wayne 0 Murray St. OVC/poy 6′ 7″ Sr 9.34
100 16 Rafferty, Matt 32 Furman SC/poy 6′ 8″ Fr 9.11
122 16 Daniel, James 11 Howard MEAC/poy 5′ 11″ Jr 8.74
139 16 Emegano, Obi 15 Oral Roberts Sum/poy 6′ 3″ Jr 8.52
160 16 Potts, Earl 5 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC/poy 6′ 6″ So 8.24
244 16 Papale, John 2 Boston University Pat/poy 6′ 3″ Sr 7.17
274 16 Moore, Dallas 14 North Florida ASun/poy 6′ 1″ Jr 6.93

 


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