67 Teams Eliminated, 284 Left for 68 Bracket Spots

Frank Mason III, Manu Lecomte

The Conference Basketball championships are in fact the opening rounds of March Madness for teams that do not have a chance for an at-large bid to the tournament – and the following is the conference breakdown of 284 teams that still have a chance after 67 teams were eliminated.

Up to another 37 teams could be eliminated in Saturday action. This table lists the team and conference, then their next tournament action, so teams with a 3/4 final, semifinal, quarterfinal for first game (today) could be eliminated unless they show an “At-Large if no auto” number.

The 24 teams in bold are already locks to make the tournament, so teams are really fighting for 44 spots – some to be claimed by conference champions and other by the selection committee.  For more notes on the table see this post, or to see the top players for any of these teams go to www.valueaddbasketball.org.

The teams who most improved their chances in local days are:

Jacksonville State, who stunned Belmont in the Ohio Valley semifinals and has increased their chances of winning from 6% to 57% – needing only a win Saturday over Tennessee Martin, who they beat by 18 on the road this year. Their top player at www.valueaddbasketball is Erik Durham (No.15) at 369th.

Utah increased their chances a longshot at-large or Pac-12 conference title by upsetting Colorado on the road and then beating Cal by 30 points.

Yale blew out Cornell to guarantee a spot in the 4-team Ivy League tournament – the first time the League will award their auto bid through a tournament rather than the regular season champ.

Campbell, which stunned Big South favorite UNC-Ashville in the quarterfinals Thursday, and needs one more huge upset Saturday over Winthrop to claim the title and go to March Madness. Ashville had two Value Add top 100 players, while Campbell’s top player is 911th-thanks Chris Clemons (No.3).

Youngstown stayed alive with an open round upset of Cleveland State to advance in the Horizon League, but they would still need three more upsets – starting with a heavily favored Oakland team Saturday.

Team Conf Next tour KenPom At-Large if no auto Win Conf Experts bracket Ave Seed
Dayton A10 3/8 tip 33 100% 29% 20 7.69
VCU A10 3/8 tip 47 97% 31% 29 8.84
Rhode Island A10 3/8 tip 48 70% 23% 37 14.64
Davidson A10 3/8 tip 88 0% 3%
Richmond A10 3/8 tip 89 0% 7%
St. Bonaventure A10 3/8 tip 92 0% 3%
George Mason A10 3/8 tip 117 0% 1%
George Washington A10 3/8 tip 125 0% 2%
La Salle A10 3/8 tip 142 0% 1%
Massachusetts A10 3/8 tip 154 0% 0%
St. Josephs A10 3/8 tip 178 0% 0%
Fordham A10 3/8 tip 191 0% 0%
Duquesne A10 3/8 tip 216 0% 0%
St. Louis A10 3/8 tip 275 0% 0%
North Carolina ACC 3/7 tip 4 100% 31% 5 1.10
Virginia ACC 3/7 tip 6 100% 13% 19 4.88
Louisville ACC 3/7 tip 7 100% 19% 15 2.03
Duke ACC 3/7 tip 16 100% 16% 16 3.68
Florida St ACC 3/7 tip 19 100% 10% 11 3.42
Notre Dame ACC 3/7 tip 25 100% 5% 24 5.14
Miami FL ACC 3/7 tip 29 88% 2% 34 7.65
Wake Forest ACC 3/7 tip 31 35% 1% 55 16.51
Clemson ACC 3/7 tip 38 0% 1% 17.75
Virginia Tech ACC 3/7 tip 40 86% 1% 36 8.25
Syracuse ACC 3/7 tip 51 16% 1% 57 12.17
Pittsburgh ACC 3/7 tip 73 0% 0%
Georgia Tech ACC 3/7 tip 77 1% 0% 79 17.45
North Carolina St ACC 3/7 tip 99 0% 0%
Boston College ACC 3/7 tip 160 0% 0%
Vermont AE 3/6 Semi 68 48% 73% 50 12.96
Albany AE 3/6 Semi 130 0% 12%
New Hampshire AE 3/6 Semi 158 0% 5%
Stony Brook AE 3/6 Semi 209 0% 9%
SMU Amer 3/9 tip 15 100% 47%   5.69
Cincinnati Amer 3/9 tip 21 100% 38% 18 5.22
Houston Amer 3/9 tip 44 55% 11% 45 17.23
UCF Amer 3/9 tip 75 3% 4% 69
Memphis Amer 3/9 tip 84 0% 2%
Connecticut Amer 3/9 tip 90 0% 3%
Temple Amer 3/9 tip 115 0% 1%
Tulsa Amer 3/9 tip 129 0% 1%
East Carolina Amer 3/9 tip 196 0% 0%
Tulane Amer 3/9 tip 247 0% 0%
South Florida Amer 3/9 tip 290 0% 0%
Florida Gulf Coast ASun 3/5 final 114 0% 71% 14.87
North Florida ASun 3/5 final 251 0% 3%
Purdue B10 3/8 tip 13 100% 37% 17 4.26
Minnesota B10 3/8 tip 32 100% 7% 21 5.45
Wisconsin B10 3/8 tip 24 99% 25% 27 6.18
Michigan B10 3/8 tip 27 63% 7% 43 8.82
Northwestern B10 3/8 tip 36 70% 4% 38 9.65
Maryland B10 3/8 tip 37 98% 6% 28 7.03
Indiana B10 3/8 tip 49 2% 4% 72
Michigan St B10 3/8 tip 50 89% 5% 33 9.11
Illinois B10 3/8 tip 65 12% 1% 59 16.85
Ohio St B10 3/8 tip 66 3% 1% 70 17.80
Iowa B10 3/8 tip 70 2% 1% 73
Penn St B10 3/8 tip 82 0% 0%
Nebraska B10 3/8 tip 94 1% 0% 77
Rutgers B10 3/8 tip 138 0% 0%
West Virginia B12 3/8 tip 3 100% 35% 13 4.18
Kansas B12 3/8 tip 9 100% 30% 1 1.01
Baylor B12 3/8 tip 11 100% 13% 10 2.31
Iowa St B12 3/8 tip 23 100% 10% 23 6.67
Oklahoma St B12 3/8 tip 18 87% 6% 35 7.05
Texas Tech B12 3/8 tip 34 0% 2%
Kansas St B12 3/8 tip 35 6% 2% 61 16.88
TCU B12 3/8 tip 43 0% 1% 17.11
Oklahoma B12 3/8 tip 63 0% 0%
Texas B12 3/8 tip 76 0% 0%
Villanova BE 3/8 tip 2 100% 49% 3 1.00
Butler BE 3/8 tip 20 100% 18% 4 3.12
Creighton BE 3/8 tip 26 99% 12% 26 6.08
Marquette BE 3/8 tip 30 50% 8% 46 11.43
Xavier BE 3/8 tip 46 64% 6% 42 9.01
Providence BE 3/8 tip 55 49% 2% 49 11.21
Seton Hall BE 3/8 tip 57 45% 3% 53 10.85
Georgetown BE 3/8 tip 61 0% 2%
St. Johns BE 3/8 tip 86 0% 0%
DePaul BE 3/8 tip 175 0% 0%
Eastern Washington BSky 3/7 tip 172 0% 16% 17.51
North Dakota BSky 3/7 tip 185 0% 25% 16.40
Weber St BSky 3/7 tip 186 0% 27% 17.72
Montana BSky 3/7 tip 197 0% 12%
Idaho BSky 3/7 tip 226 0% 9%
Montana St BSky 3/7 tip 229 0% 6%
Portland St BSky 3/7 tip 234 0% 4%
Sacramento St BSky 3/7 tip 292 0% 1%
Northern Arizona BSky 3/7 tip 328 0% 0%
Idaho St BSky 3/7 tip 329 0% 0%
Southern Utah BSky 3/7 tip 333
Winthrop BSth 3/5 final 116 0% 48% 16.11
Campbell BSth 3/5 final 288 0% 0%
UC Irvine BW 3/9 tip 151 0% 48% 16.54
UC Davis BW 3/9 tip 219 0% 16% 17.33
Long Beach St BW 3/9 tip 240 0% 14% 17.84
Cal St. Fullerton BW 3/9 tip 279 0% 7%
Cal Poly BW 3/9 tip 297 0% 4%
UC Riverside BW 3/9 tip 318 0% 3%
UC Santa Barbara BW 3/9 tip 339 0% 1%
North Carolina Wilmington CAA 3/4 quart 59 63% 40% 44 11.94
College of Charleston CAA 3/4 quart 85 3% 22% 71
Towson CAA 3/4 quart 122 0% 10%
Elon CAA 3/4 quart 127 0% 7%
William & Mary CAA 3/4 quart 132 0% 10%
Northeastern CAA 3/4 quart 140 0% 7%
James Madison CAA 3/4 quart 223 0% 1%
Delaware CAA 3/4 quart 293 0% 0%
Middle Tennessee CUSA 3/8 tip 53 49% 43% 48 10.85
Louisiana Tech CUSA 3/8 tip 87 0% 18%
Old Dominion CUSA 3/8 tip 113 0% 11%
Rice CUSA 3/8 tip 133 0% 5%
Marshall CUSA 3/8 tip 161 0% 5%
UAB CUSA 3/8 tip 178 0% 14%
UTEP CUSA 3/8 tip 207 0% 2%
Charlotte CUSA 3/8 tip 236 0% 0%
Western Kentucky CUSA 3/8 tip 237 0% 1%
Florida Atlantic CUSA 3/8 tip 260 0% 0%
UTSA CUSA 3/8 tip 268 0% 0%
Florida Intl CUSA 3/8 tip 298 0% 0%
North Texas CUSA 3/8 tip 324 0% 0%
Southern Miss CUSA 3/8 tip 325
Valparaiso Horz 3/4 quart 95 3% 38% 68 14.98
Oakland Horz 3/4 quart 109 0% 30% 16.63
Northern Kentucky Horz 3/5 quart 150 0% 7%
Wright St Horz 3/5 quart 164 0% 9%
Green Bay Horz 3/5 quart 177 0% 12%
Illinois Chicago Horz 3/5 quart 249 0% 1%
Milwaukee Horz 3/4 quart 274 0% 0%
Youngstown St Horz 3/4 quart 287 0% 0%
Princeton Ivy 3/11 tip 67 65% 49% 41 13.33
Harvard Ivy 3/11 tip 110 0% 22%
Yale Ivy 3/11 tip 144 0% 13%
Penn Ivy 3/11 tip 167 0% 15%
Columbia Ivy 3/11 tip 239 0% 1%
Brown Ivy 3/11 tip 264 0% 0%
Cornell Ivy 3/11 tip 275 0% 0%
Dartmouth Ivy 3/11 tip 303 0% 0%
Monmouth MAAC 3/5 semi 78 49% 39% 47 12.84
St. Peters MAAC 3/5 semi 109 0% 16%
Iona MAAC 3/5 quart 126 0% 16%
Siena MAAC 3/4 quart 181 0% 19%
Fairfield MAAC 3/5 quart 205 0% 3%
Rider MAAC 3/5 quart 208 0% 2%
Ohio MAC 3/6 tip 102 0% 24% 17.68
Akron MAC 3/6 tip 108 4% 21% 65 13.83
Buffalo MAC 3/6 tip 123 0% 13%
Toledo MAC 3/6 tip 131 0% 7%
Eastern Michigan MAC 3/6 tip 135 0% 9%
Western Michigan MAC 3/6 tip 152 0% 8%
Kent St MAC 3/6 tip 157 0% 8%
Ball St MAC 3/6 tip 176 0% 7%
Northern Illinois MAC 3/6 tip 211 0% 2%
Central Michigan MAC 3/6 tip 230 0% 1%
Bowling Green MAC 3/6 tip 245 0% 0%
Miami OH MAC 3/6 tip 282 0% 0%
North Carolina Central MEAC 3/6 tip 174 0% 57% 16.00
Norfolk St MEAC 3/6 tip 299 0% 16%
Hampton MEAC 3/6 tip 307 0% 8%
Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 3/6 tip 317 0% 5%
Morgan St MEAC 3/6 tip 323 0% 7%
Delaware St MEAC 3/6 tip 335 0% 1%
South Carolina St MEAC 3/6 tip 336
Howard MEAC 3/6 tip 337 0% 2%
Bethune Cookman MEAC 3/6 tip 338 0% 1%
Coppin St MEAC 3/6 tip 342 0% 1%
Florida A&M MEAC 3/6 tip 344 0% 0%
North Carolina A&T MEAC 3/6 tip 349 0% 0%
Wichita St MVC 3/4 semi 10 95% 78% 30 9.42
Illinois St MVC 3/4 semi 45 94% 13% 31 12.56
Missouri St MVC 3/4 semi 134 0% 1%
Southern Illinois MVC 3/4 semi 146
Nevada MWC 3/8 tip 60 67% 36% 40 12.27
San Diego St MWC 3/8 tip 83 0% 17% 17.81
Colorado St MWC 3/8 tip 91 3% 11% 67 17.74
Boise St MWC 3/8 tip 98 0% 12%
Fresno St MWC 3/8 tip 103 0% 9%
New Mexico MWC 3/8 tip 124 0% 7%
Wyoming MWC 3/8 tip 141 0% 3%
Utah St MWC 3/8 tip 147 0% 3%
San Jose St MWC 3/8 tip 203 0% 0%
Air Force MWC 3/8 tip 220 0% 0%
UNLV MWC 3/8 tip 252 0% 2%
Mount St. Marys NEC 3/4 semi 215 0% 50% 16.04
Wagner NEC 3/4 semi 241 0% 31%
St. Francis PA NEC 3/4 semi 254 0% 11%
Robert Morris NEC 3/4 semi 261 0% 8%
Belmont OVC out 93 16% 62% 58 13.75
Jacksonville St OVC 3/4 final 169 0% 6%
Tennessee Martin OVC 3/4 final 206 0% 10%
UCLA P12 3/8 tip 12 100% 36% 8 2.69
Oregon P12 3/8 tip 17 100% 34% 7 1.94
Arizona P12 3/8 tip 22 100% 18% 14 2.99
Utah P12 3/8 tip 39 4% 3% 63
California P12 3/8 tip 54 46% 6% 52 12.54
USC P12 3/8 tip 64 70% 1% 39 10.53
Colorado P12 3/8 tip 74 0% 1%
Stanford P12 3/8 tip 100 1% 0% 78
Arizona St P12 3/8 tip 128 0% 0%
Washington P12 3/8 tip 171 0% 0%
Washington St P12 3/8 tip 198 0% 0%
Oregon St P12 3/8 tip 271 0% 0%
Bucknell Pat 3/5 semi 80 0% 62% 14.43
Lehigh Pat 3/5 semi 119 0% 21%
Boston University Pat 3/5 semi 188 0% 12%
Navy Pat 3/5 semi 213 0% 3%
UT Arlington SB 3/8 tip 71 46% 41% 51 12.34
Arkansas St SB 3/8 tip 118 0% 14%
Georgia St SB 3/8 tip 120 0% 15%
Louisiana Lafayette SB 3/8 tip 139 0% 7%
Georgia Southern SB 3/8 tip 156 0% 11%
Troy SB 3/8 tip 162 0% 4%
Texas St SB 3/8 tip 194 0% 3%
Coastal Carolina SB 3/8 tip 195 0% 2%
South Alabama SB 3/8 tip 238 0% 1%
Little Rock SB 3/8 tip 244 0% 1%
Louisiana Monroe SB 3/8 tip 255 0% 1%
Appalachian St SB 3/8 tip 262 0% 0%
East Tennessee St SC 3/4 quart 69 6% 31% 62 14.47
Furman SC 3/4 quart 107 1% 17% 74 17.80
Chattanooga SC 3/4 quart 112 0% 19%
North Carolina Greensboro SC 3/4 quart 121 0% 15% 17.52
Mercer SC 3/4 quart 143 0% 6%
Wofford SC 3/4 quart 149 0% 7%
Samford SC 3/4 quart 159 0% 3%
The Citadel SC 3/4 quart 284 0% 0%
Florida SEC 3/8 tip 5 100% 38% 9 3.27
Kentucky SEC 3/8 tip 8 100% 45% 6 2.35
South Carolina SEC 3/8 tip 28 99% 6% 25 7.54
Arkansas SEC 3/8 tip 41 92% 4% 32 8.99
Vanderbilt SEC 3/8 tip 42 42% 2% 54 14.40
Georgia SEC 3/8 tip 52 18% 1% 56 17.64
Texas A&M SEC 3/8 tip 56 0% 1%
Tennessee SEC 3/8 tip 59 1% 0% 76
Alabama SEC 3/8 tip 62 4% 1% 64
Auburn SEC 3/8 tip 79 0% 0%
Mississippi SEC 3/8 tip 81 1% 0% 75
Mississippi St SEC 3/8 tip 96 0% 0%
LSU SEC 3/8 tip 153 0% 0%
Missouri SEC 3/8 tip 168 0% 0%
New Orleans Slnd 3/8 tip 184 0% 27% 16.09
Houston Baptist Slnd 3/8 tip 210 0% 10%
Texas A&M Corpus Chris Slnd 3/8 tip 214 0% 14% 17.74
Southeastern Louisiana Slnd 3/8 tip 224 0% 5%
Lamar Slnd 3/8 tip 225 0% 6%
Sam Houston St Slnd 3/8 tip 227 0% 11% 17.84
Stephen F Austin Slnd 3/8 tip 232 0% 27%
Northwestern St Slnd 3/8 tip 296 0% 0%
Central Arkansas Slnd 3/8 tip 306 0% 0%
Nicholls St Slnd 3/8 tip 311 0% 0%
McNeese St Slnd 3/8 tip 314 0% 0%
South Dakota Sum 3/4 tip 136 0% 19% 15.81
Fort Wayne Sum 3/4 tip 145 0% 23% 17.78
North Dakota St Sum 3/4 tip 148 0% 19% 17.20
Denver Sum 3/4 tip 182 0% 11%
Nebraska Omaha Sum 3/4 tip 189 0% 9%
South Dakota St Sum 3/4 tip 192 0% 12%
IUPUI Sum 3/4 tip 201 0% 7%
Oral Roberts Sum 3/4 tip 235 0% 0%
Western Illinois Sum 3/4 tip 301 0% 1%
Texas Southern SWAC 3/7 tip 202 0% 60% 15.96
Prairie View A&M SWAC 3/7 tip 312 0% 6%
Southern SWAC 3/7 tip 321 0% 16%
Jackson St SWAC 3/7 tip 327 0% 8%
Grambling St SWAC 3/7 tip 331 0% 5%
Alabama St SWAC 3/7 tip 343 0% 2%
Mississippi Valley St SWAC 3/7 tip 345 0% 1%
Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 3/7 tip 347 0% 1%
Alabama A&M SWAC 3/7 tip 351 0% 0%
New Mexico St WAC 3/9 tip 101 0% 45% 17.16
Cal St. Bakersfield WAC 3/9 tip 105 3% 42% 66 15.42
Utah Valley WAC 3/9 tip 193 0% 6%
UMKC WAC 3/9 tip 221 0% 5%
Seattle WAC 3/9 tip 273 0% 1%
UT Rio Grande Valley WAC 3/9 tip 308
Chicago St WAC 3/9 tip 340 0% 0%
Gonzaga WCC 3/4 quart 1 100% 75% 2 1.25
St. Marys WCC 3/4 quart 14 100% 21% 22 6.23
BYU WCC 3/4 quart 72 6% 3% 60
San Francisco WCC 3/4 quart 106 0% 0%
Santa Clara WCC 3/4 quart 137 0% 0%
Loyola Marymount WCC 3/4 quart 166 0% 0%
Pacific WCC 3/4 quart 242 0% 0%
Portland WCC 3/4 quart 276 0% 0%

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