The Reuters/Ipsos “States of the Nation” now shows GOP candidate for president Donald J. Trump leading Democrat Hillary R. Clinton in Vermont with an uncertain margin, but a “High Confidence” that Trump takes the state.
Vermont has three electoral votes.
In the 2012 national election, President Barack Obama beat his Republican rival W. Mitt Romney with 67 percent of the vote compared to Romney’s 31 percent. In the same election, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) was reelected with 71 percent of the vote.
The States of the Nation is a interactive webpage that compiles a weekly national survey of 15,000 likely voters and breaks the whole sample into mini results for each state and the District of Columbia. The sample is also adjusted to match the Reuters’ assumed turnout model by demographics.
For states with less than 100 respondents, but more than 60, Reuters will report the results if there is high confidence.
In the Real Clear Politics map of the Electoral College, Vermont is listed in the Solid Clinton column, among what RCP considers her solid 86 electoral votes.
The most recent poll RCP posted is the Sept. 7 poll by the Emerson College Polling Society’s survey of 600 likely voters. In the ECPS poll, Clinton led Trump 47 percent to his 26 percent.