Chuck Todd, political director of NBC News, Mark Murray, senior political editor of NBC News, and Carrie Dann, a contributor to NBC News, write that despite his second-place finish in the Iowa caucuses, Donald Trump “has a big advantage in New Hampshire.”
After his second-place finish in Iowa, Donald Trump has taken a beating from the political chattering class. He’s a loser (which always was the downside for a man whose brand is about winning). His organization in Iowa was subpar (which is true). And his clear path to the GOP nomination is now gone (it’s more difficult with Ted Cruz standing in his way in South Carolina and the March 1 states).
But a word of caution: Don’t underestimate Trump in New Hampshire. If Iowa was a road game that never was going to be easy to win, New Hampshire is a home game for the real-estate mogul.
One, Trump starts with a MUCH larger lead in the state than he ever enjoyed in Iowa. The first post-Iowa tracking poll – via UMass Lowell/News7 – has him up over Cruz, 38%-14%, with Marco Rubio at 12%, Jeb Bush at 9%, John Kasich at 7%, and Chris Christie at 6%. (Note: That poll was conducted Jan. 31 to Feb. 2, so both before and after the Iowa results).
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