Emerson Polls Show Razor Thin Race Between Trump, Clinton in PA, Statistical Tie in NH

PAUL J. RICHARDS, Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

A new poll in Pennsylvania shows a tightening presidential race, while another in New Hampshire shows Trump gaining seven points and closing to within three.

The Emerson College Poll taken on October 28 finds that Hillary Clinton gained three points since a week ago, going from 45 to 48 percent. But Trump also gained several points and is now within five of Clinton, with the Democrat nominee at 48 to Trump’s 43 percent.

Pennsylvania Republican incumbent Senator Pat Toomey has lost standing against Democrat challenger Katie McGinty since Emerson’s October 18 poll. The Democrat is now leading 45 to Toomey’s 43 percent, a loss of three points for Toomey. The Pennsylvania poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percent.

On the other hand, the Emerson poll in New Hampshire reveals Clinton falling five points in a week.

In its October 19 poll, Emerson found Clinton with an eight point lead, 44 to Trump’s 36 percent. But its’ October 28 poll saw a major shift, with Trump closing to within three. The latest poll gives Clinton 46 and Trump 43 percent.

GOP Senate candidate Kelly Ayotte is also enjoying healthier polling numbers in Emerson’s New Hampshire poll, gaining five points and leading her Democrat challenger by five.

Emerson’s October 19 poll put the race at a dead heat with 45 each for Ayotte and Democrat challenger Maggie Hassan. But the October 28 poll found Ayotte had increased her lead to 50 with Hassan measuring in at 44 percent, a six point lead for the Republican.

The New Hampshire poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.

Follow Warner Todd Huston on Twitter @warnerthuston or email the author at igcolonel@hotmail.com.