Romney Internals Show Him Up In OH, NH, IA — Tied In WI, PA


Romney just announced that he will be making stops tomorrow — Election Day! — in Ohio and Pennsylvania. The campaign obviously see things as close (and close enough) and are leaving nothing to chance. According to this report of Team Romney’s internal polling, the election is a knife-edge that could tip either way.

As far as these internals go, these seem very realistic:

Mitt Romney is ahead by a single percentage point in Ohio, according to  internal polling data provided to MailOnline by a Republican party source.

Internal campaign polling completed last night by campaign pollster Neil  Newhouse has Romney three points up in New Hampshire, two points up in Iowa and  dead level in Wisconsin and – most startlingly – Pennsylvania. …

The Romney campaign believes that both Florida, Virginia and North Carolina –  all of which Obama won in 2008 – are ‘done’ for the Democratic incumbent, as one  senior adviser put it.

An important point here is that the reporter, Toby Harnden, actually saw the actual internal polls, including that negative ones that show Nevada gone. It could all be a ruse, but there’s nothing I’m seeing in those numbers that looks in any way outlandish.

I also think that if Romney’s able to do well as the polls close tomorrow night, he could still win Nevada. If Romney takes Ohio, Nevada Democrats probably won’t be as eager to vote.

One more day of campaigning is actually a very good idea. You had Hurricane Sandy eat away at almost four crucial days on the campaign trail, so why not take advantage of every extra minute you possibly can — especially if it might further tamp down Obama’s post-hurricane media-manufactured bounce.