The Peace Research Institute in Oslo (PRIO), an institution which attempts to predict the winners of the Nobel Peace Prize each year, has said that Pope Francis and Edward Snowden are among the best bets to secure this year’s Nobel Prize.

According to the organization’s most recent list of favorites, at the front of the line is Japanese People Who Conserve Article 9, which is an organization dedicated to preserving the article within Japan’s constitution. Article 9 establishes that Japan cannot go to war to settle disputes in international relations. Article 9, and the Constitution as a whole, came to fruition following Japan’s defeat in World War II.

The PRIO report stated, “We may have come to think of wars between states as virtually extinct after the end of the Cold War, but events in Ukraine and simmering tensions in East Asia remind us they may reappear. A return to a principle often hailed in earlier periods of the Peace Prize would be well timed.”

The Nobel Peace Prize will be awarded Friday, October 10th.

The current list of favorites includes:

Among the more recent controversial winners of the Nobel Peace Prize are: