Belgian local elections Sunday have taken on unusual importance as a potential make or break vote on the country’s future, with Flemish nationalist leader Bart De Wever seeking a big breakthrough.
The outcome is also being closely followed as the eurozone debt crisis tests loyalties in the European Union, driving some such as Catalonia in Spain or Scotland to push harder for independence.
For De Wever, the first prize is Antwerp, Europe’s second biggest port and Belgium’s economic heart just 40 minutes’ drive from Brussels, where his N-VA (New Flemish Alliance) is trying to take the mayor’s seat, held for 90 years by the Socialists he derides.
“If we can take Antwerp, then we are waking up in a different country,” De Wever told AFP on the campaign trail in a recent interview that shocked the poorer, French-speaking Walloon in the south of the country.
The polling booths open at 0600 GMT and the last close at 1400 GMT in the 589 municipalities concerned, with first results under a complicated proportional voting system expected by late evening.
“Antwerp is without doubt the key in these local elections,” said political analyst Dave Sinardet.
If De Wever wins there, it could destabilise the fragile political consensus which allowed the Socialist Party of Prime Minister Elio Di Rupo to finally form a government in December 2011 after some 500 days of bitter haggling.
Since then, the coalition of six parties of the left, centre and right has held. A breakthrough in Antwerp for the N-VA could spell a constitutional headache, especially since De Wever regards the central government as “illegitimate.”
Recent opinion polls gave the N-VA up to 40 percent — compared with just 5.0 percent in the last local vote six years ago — but the Socialists may do as well, especially in their southern strongholds, making coalitions the most likely outcome, as at the national level, and Antwerp the key result to watch.
De Wever himself described the vote as “do-or-die,” and his victory would raise fundamental questions about Belgium’s future as a unitary state.
The tensions, even resentment, between the Flemish, prosperous north, which generally votes to the right, and the Walloon south run by what he described as irresponsible, free-spending Socialists, were driving a “democratic revolt,” he said.
Flanders “clearly wants to go the German way,” De Wever told AFP on the hustings, while Wallonia “wants to go the Latin way.
“I have no problem with Socialist rule — but if you want Socialist rule, pick up the bill yourself … don’t send it to someone else!” he said bluntly.
A youthful 41-year-old who shed an incredible 60 kilogrammes (132 pounds) after a crash diet, De Wever argues that a central state in Belgium, which gained independence from the Netherlands in 1830, is now redundant as its powers have either been ceded to the EU or to regional institutions.
“This is where we are going in Belgium — and this is where we are going in Europe,” he said.
Flemish separatists seek breakthrough in Belgium vote
