Report: Continued High Legal Immigration Levels Will Destroy GOP

A new report from an anti-amnesty group has concluded that continued high-levels of immigration to the United States of America will destroy the Republican Party’s long-term prospects of winning future elections, a copy provided to Breitbart News shows.

“A comparison of voting patterns in presidential elections across counties over the last three decades shows that mass immigration has caused a steady drop in presidential Republican vote shares, particularly in the nation’s largest counties,” James G. Gimpel writes in a new Center for Immigration Studies (CIS) report out Tuesday morning. “Each one percentage-point increase in the immigrant share of a large county’s population reduces the Republican share of the two-party vote by nearly 0.6 percentage points on average.”

Gimpel cites three “key conclusions” that come from his 14-page analysis. First, the “enormous flow of legal immigrants” into America—nearly 30 million have come to America from 1980 to 2012—“has remade and continues to remake the nation’s electorate in favor of the Democratic Party.”

Second, Gimpel writes, the “partisan impact” of said immigration increases “is relatively uniform throughout the country.” He argues that Texas has been hit on the same ratio as Florida or even California, “even though local Republican parties have taken different positions on illegal immigration.”

Specifically, for instance, Republican parties in Texas are much tougher on illegal immigration than those in California—but suffer the same drastic political consequences that benefit Democrats when legal immigration is increased.

“The decline does not seem to vary with the local Republican Party’s position on illegal immigration,” Gimpel states, concluding that Republicans must deal with the tough issue of opposing a massive increase in legal immigration, rather than just opposing the easy-to-fight illegal immigration issue.

“Third, if legal immigration levels remain at the current levels of over one million a year, it will likely continue to undermine Republicans’ political prospects moving forward,” Gimpel writes. “Further, if the substantial increases in legal immigration in Senate’s Gang of Eight bill (S.744) were to become law it would accelerate this process. Conversely, lowering the level of legal immigration in the future would help stem the decline in the Republican vote.”

The report concludes that many immigrants prefer larger government, having “policy preferences when it comes to the size and scope of government that are more closely aligned with progressives than with conservatives.”

As such, immigrants identify as Democrats over self-describing as Republicans, according to survey data, at a two-to-one rate. Immigrants also, according to Gimpel, increase “income inequality” and add to the “low-income population,” therefore making all voters “more supportive of redistributive policies championed by Democrats to support disadvantaged populations.”

“There is evidence that immigration may cause more Republican-oriented voters to move away from areas of high immigrant settlement, leaving behind a more lopsided Democrat majority,” Gimpel asserts.

Gimpel reviews naturalization statistics for immigrants and how strongly in support of the Democratic Party they are—a trend toward progressivism that is increasing over time. In 2008, 55 percent of immigrant citizens were Democrats, while 30.9 percent were Republicans. Immigrant non-citizens that year clocked in at 70.6 percent Democrats and 15.9 percent Republicans.

In 2012, 62.5 percent of immigrant citizens registered as Democrats with only 24.6 percent registering as Republicans whereas 60.4 percent of immigrant non-citizens registered as Democrats and 16.8 percent immigrant non-citizens registered as Republicans.

Gimpel notes:

With the Democratic bias in immigrant political preference so decisive, it is no surprise that the rise in immigrant populations should directly lead to ever-growing Democratic majorities in the places where immigrants settle, and declining electoral prospects for Republicans. The instrument of this partisan transformation is the directly observable political behavior of the immigrants themselves.

This report’s publication comes on the heels of a recent similar report from Phyllis Schlafly’s Eagle Forum, which examined how the conservative movement and conservative Republicanism would die out if a “Gang of Eight” Senate-style amnesty and massive illegal immigration increase occurred.


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