Poll Suggests Undecided Voters Could Determine Michigan’s Fate in 2020

In general elections, roughly 4 in 10 voters cast their ballots in ways other than in person on Election Day, making them unreachable by interviewers positioned outside polling places. | M. Spencer Green, File/AP Photo
M. Spencer Green, File/AP Photo

An EPIC-MRA poll released Wednesday revealed that undecided voters could determine whether Michigan goes red or blue in 2020.

The poll, which surveyed 600 Michigan voters August 17–21, shows Joe Biden (D) topping President Trump in a head to head matchup in the state, 51 percent to Trump’s 41 percent. It also shows Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) defeating Trump 49 percent to 43 percent, and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) beating Trump 48 percent to 44 percent.

However, eight percent of voters are “undecided,” and if they, along with the +/- 4 percent margin of error fall in Trump’s favor, he could very well paint the state red yet again.

“Trump could tip the scales on most of those races if he captured the votes of the undecided,” WOODTV reports. “If the survey’s 4% margin of error is also in Trump’s favor, he could best Biden.”

According to the poll, Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) has the most narrow lead on Trump, garnering 46 percent to Trump’s 43. However, the percentage of undecided voters is even greater, expanding to 11 percent.

The poll also revealed that 53 percent of Michigan voters have an “unfavorable opinion” of Trump, and 48 percent said if the election were “now,” they would vote for someone else,” WOODTV reports. In comparison, 40 percent found Trump “favorable,” and 34 percent said they would vote for him.

With the general election over a year away, the snapshot is likely to change.

Trump experienced an upset win in Michigan in 2016, defeating Hillary Clinton by 10,704 votes. Even as election day approached, the Real Clear Politics average had Michigan leaning in Clinton’s favor, with poll after poll showing the former senator leading by four, five, and six points. Trump ultimately took the state with 47.3 percent of the vote.

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