Poll: Donald Trump Leads Joe Biden in Every U.S. Region but One

US President Donald Trump smiles during a "Keep America Great" rally at Sudduth Coliseum at the Lake Charles Civic Center in Lake Charles, Louisiana, on October 11, 2019. (Photo by SAUL LOEB / AFP) (Photo by SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images)
SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images

Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden in every U.S. region but one among 2020 election voters, an I&I/TIPP poll revealed Monday.

According to the poll, Trump leads Biden in the south (45.8 percent to 44.6 percent), midwest (45.9 percent to 44.9 percent), and west (42.4 percent to 39.7 percent). Trump still tails Biden in the northeast, 53.6 percent to 39.1 percent.

Respondents were asked, “If the presidential election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would you vote?” Overall, those polled marked Trump and Biden as statistically tied, with Biden edging Trump 45 percent to 44 percent.

Trump’s position within one point of Biden reflects a probable sea change in the nation, as Biden in September held a four-point lead over Trump (46 percent to 42.1 percent). “Since then, overall, Biden lost 1.2 percentage points, while Trump gained 1.8 points,” the poll analyzed.

Democratic Presidential candidate and former US Vice President Joe Biden (R) and US President Donald Trump take part in the first presidential debate at Case Western Reserve University and Cleveland Clinic in Cleveland, Ohio, on September 29, 2020. (Photo by Morry Gash / POOL / AFP) (Photo by MORRY GASH/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)

Democratic Presidential candidate and former US Vice President Joe Biden (R) and US President Donald Trump take part in the first presidential debate at Case Western Reserve University and Cleveland Clinic in Cleveland, Ohio, on September 29, 2020. (Photo by Morry Gash / POOL / AFP) (Photo by MORRY GASH/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)

Trump has also wiped away Biden’s lead among many important demographics across the country, the poll revealed:

Trump now leads Biden among those aged 45-64 (45.8% support Trump vs. 41.8% Biden), those 65 and older (50.7% vs. 39.3%), women (44.9% vs. 41.9%), Whites (50.2% vs. 38.4%), independent voters (46.2% vs. 36.9%), suburban voters (47% vs. 39.4%) and rural voters (54.8% vs. 37.2%), and married women (52.2% vs 40.0%).

Moreover, even among those who still favored Biden in October, Trump realized some significant gains. Among Black voters, for instance, Trump moved from 18.1% support in September to 20.3% in October.

Among Hispanic voters, the fastest-growing voting bloc in the U.S., Trump gained a hefty 14.6 percentage points, from 24.2% to 38.8%. That’s more than the 33% of the Hispanic vote that Trump garnered in the 2020 election.

Trump has also flipped the tables on Biden among married women, who favored Biden 42.4 to 42.1 percent in September. In October, those numbers separated. The poll revealed Trump is now leading among married women 53.2 percent to Biden’s 40 percent.

President Joe Biden delivers an update on the coronavirus response and vaccination program, in the South Court Auditorium on the White House campus, October 14, 2021, in Washington. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

President Joe Biden delivers an update on the coronavirus response and vaccination program, in the South Court Auditorium on the White House campus, October 14, 2021, in Washington. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

The positive polling for Trump comes as Biden’s approval rating on Monday sank to a new low, according to FiveThirtyEight. Only 43.4 percent approve of Biden’s performance while 50.7 percent disapprove. The gap is the largest it has been all year.

The I&I/TIPP poll surveyed 1,308 adults from September 29 to October 2. The margin of error is 3.3 percentage points.

Follow Wendell Husebø on Twitter @WendellHusebø

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