The Pythagorean Ratings do not give Notre Dame high marks for barely surviving a UNC upset, plunging the Irish to a 17-point (39-22) underdog against Florida State Saturday in the marque game on the schedule below. Others excuse the Irish as just looking ahead, and Las Vegas will not even hazard a guess in fear of Jameis Winston being pulled from the game at the last minute.
The only other Power 5 Conference team with a non-conference game is South Carolina, which hosts Furman of the FCS. The MAC (Kent hosts Army) and MWC (Nevada visits BYU) complete the only four teams with non-conference opponents this weekend.
The scoreboard below indicates the time, opponent, and predicted result of each game this weekend. A team’s ability to exceed their projection gives them a score of +10 to -10. The big winner so far in the Thursday/Friday games was Louisiana Lafayette, which was an 5-point (23-18) underdog at North Texas but won 34-10 for a +7.1 score (+4.9 square root of actual win margin is 7.1 better than -2.2 projected square root of losing margin).
| Conf | Team | Time/Score | Venue | Opp | Pred | 10 to -10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAC | Cincinnati | 3:30pm ET | at | SMU | 24-23 | |
| AAC | Connecticut | idle | Connecticut | |||
| AAC | East Carolina | is idle | ||||
| AAC | Houston | 31-10 | host | Temple | 31-25 | 2.1 |
| AAC | Memphis | is idle | ||||
| AAC | SMU | 3:30pm ET | host | Cincinnati | 23-24 | |
| AAC | South Florida | 12:00pm ET | at | Tulsa | 28-27 | |
| AAC | Temple | 10-31 | at | Houston | 25-31 | -2.1 |
| AAC | Tulane | 12:00pm ET | at | UCF | 12-37 | |
| AAC | Tulsa | 12:00pm ET | host | South Florida | 27-28 | |
| AAC | UCF | 12:00pm ET | host | Tulane | 37-12 | |
| ACC | Boston College | 3:30pm ET | host | Clemson | 31-42 | |
| ACC | Clemson | 3:30pm ET | at | Boston College | 42-31 | |
| ACC | Duke | 12:30pm ET | host | Virginia | 39-31 | |
| ACC v Ind | FLORIDA ST | 8:00pm ET | host | Notre Dame | 39-22 | |
| ACC | Georgia Tech | 7:00pm ET | at | North Carolina | 35-36 | |
| ACC | Louisville | 3:30pm ET | host | NC State | 46-23 | |
| ACC | Miami FL | is idle | ||||
| ACC | NC State | 3:30pm ET | at | Louisville | 23-46 | |
| ACC | North Carolina | 7:00pm ET | host | Georgia Tech | 36-35 | |
| ACC | Pittsburgh | 21-16 | host | Virginia Tech | 26-35 | 5.2 |
| ACC | Syracuse | 12:00pm ET | at | Wake Forest | 21-15 | |
| ACC | Virginia | 12:30pm ET | at | Duke | 31-39 | |
| ACC | Virginia Tech | 16-21 | at | Pittsburgh | 35-26 | -5.2 |
| ACC | Wake Forest | 12:00pm ET | host | Syracuse | 15-21 | |
| B10 | Illinois | is idle | ||||
| B10 | Indiana | 3:30pm ET | host | Michigan St | 18-35 | |
| B10 | Iowa | 12:00pm ET | at | Maryland | 18-21 | |
| B10 | Maryland | 12:00pm ET | host | Iowa | 21-18 | |
| B10 | Michigan | is idle | ||||
| B10 | Michigan St | 3:30pm ET | at | Indiana | 35-18 | |
| B10 | Minnesota | 12:00pm ET | host | Purdue | 28-16 | |
| B10 | Nebraska | 7:30pm ET | at | Northwestern | 25-19 | |
| B10 | Northwestern | 7:30pm ET | host | Nebraska | 19-25 | |
| B10 | Ohio St | 3:30pm ET | host | Rutgers | 38-21 | |
| B10 | Penn St | is idle | ||||
| B10 | Purdue | 12:00pm ET | at | Minnesota | 16-28 | |
| B10 | Rutgers | 3:30pm ET | at | Ohio St | 21-38 | |
| B10 | Wisconsin | is idle | ||||
| B12 | Baylor | 12:00pm ET | at | West Virginia | 51-29 | |
| B12 | Iowa St | 8:00pm ET | at | Texas | 20-31 | |
| B12 | Kansas | 3:30pm ET | at | Texas Tech | 18-35 | |
| B12 | Kansas St | 12:00pm ET | at | Oklahoma | 25-28 | |
| B12 | Oklahoma | 12:00pm ET | host | Kansas St | 28-25 | |
| B12 | Oklahoma St | 4:00pm ET | at | TCU | 23-27 | |
| B12 | TCU | 4:00pm ET | host | Oklahoma St | 27-23 | |
| B12 | Texas | 8:00pm ET | host | Iowa St | 31-20 | |
| B12 | Texas Tech | 3:30pm ET | host | Kansas | 35-18 | |
| B12 | West Virginia | 12:00pm ET | host | Baylor | 29-51 | |
| CUSA | FL Atlantic | 12:00pm ET | host | W Kentucky | 26-31 | |
| CUSA | Florida Intl | 6:00pm ET | host | Marshall | 32-39 | |
| CUSA | Louisiana Tech | 12:00pm ET | host | UT San Antonio | 35-29 | |
| CUSA | Marshall | 6:00pm ET | at | Florida Intl | 39-32 | |
| CUSA | Middle Tenn St | host | UAB | 43-42 | ||
| CUSA | North Texas | 7:00pm ET | host | Southern Miss | 40-18 | |
| CUSA | Old Dominion | is idle | ||||
| CUSA | Rice | is idle | ||||
| CUSA | Southern Miss | 7:00pm ET | at | North Texas | 18-40 | |
| CUSA | UAB | 3:30pm ET | at | Middle Tenn St | 42-43 | |
| CUSA | UT San Antonio | 12:00pm ET | at | Louisiana Tech | 29-35 | |
| CUSA | UTEP | is idle | ||||
| CUSA | W Kentucky | 12:00pm ET | at | FL Atlantic | 31-26 | |
| FCS v SEC | FURMAN | 12:00pm ET | at | South Carolina | 14-41 | |
| Ind v MAC | ARMY | 3:30pm ET | at | Kent | 26-12 | |
| Ind v MWC | BYU | 10:15pm ET | host | Nevada | 43-31 | |
| Ind | Navy | is idle | ||||
| Ind v ACC | NOTRE DAME | 8:00pm ET | at | Florida St | 22-39 | |
| MAC | Akron | 2:00pm ET | at | Ohio | 22-19 | |
| MAC | Ball St | 3:30pm ET | at | C Michigan | 20-29 | |
| MAC | Bowling Green | 2:00pm ET | host | W Michigan | 26-15 | |
| MAC | Buffalo | is idle | ||||
| MAC | C Michigan | 3:30pm ET | host | Ball St | 29-20 | |
| MAC | E Michigan | 3:00pm ET | at | Massachusetts | 17-27 | |
| MAC v Ind | KENT | 3:30pm ET | host | Army | 12-26 | |
| MAC | Massachusetts | 3:00pm ET | host | E Michigan | 27-17 | |
| MAC | Miami OH | 5:00pm ET | at | N Illinois | 12-36 | |
| MAC | N Illinois | 5:00pm ET | host | Miami OH | 36-12 | |
| MAC | Ohio | 2:00pm ET | host | Akron | 19-22 | |
| MAC | Toledo | is idle | ||||
| MAC | W Michigan | 2:00pm ET | at | Bowling Green | 15-26 | |
| MWC | Air Force | 3:30pm ET | host | New Mexico | 38-32 | |
| MWC | Boise St | 37-27 | host | Fresno St | 43-25 | -1.1 |
| MWC | Colorado St | 7:00pm ET | host | Utah St | 20-20 | |
| MWC | Fresno St | 27-37 | at | Boise St | 25-43 | 1.1 |
| MWC | Hawaii | 10:30pm ET | at | San Diego St | 27-34 | |
| MWC v Ind | NEVADA | 10:15pm ET | at | BYU | 31-43 | |
| MWC | New Mexico | 3:30pm ET | at | Air Force | 32-38 | |
| MWC | San Diego St | 10:30pm ET | host | Hawaii | 34-27 | |
| MWC | San Jose St | 4:00pm ET | at | Wyoming | 40-36 | |
| MWC | UNLV | is idle | ||||
| MWC | Utah St | 7:00pm ET | at | Colorado St | 20-20 | |
| MWC | Wyoming | 4:00pm ET | host | San Jose St | 36-40 | |
| P12 | Arizona | is idle | ||||
| P12 | Arizona St | 10:30pm ET | host | Stanford | 21-27 | |
| P12 | California | 3:30pm ET | host | UCLA | 23-38 | |
| P12 | Colorado | 6:00pm ET | at | USC | 14-40 | |
| P12 | Oregon | 8:00pm ET | host | Washington | 32-17 | |
| P12 | Oregon St | 23-29 OT | host | Utah | 25-29 | 1 |
| P12 | Stanford | 10:30pm ET | at | Arizona St | 27-21 | |
| P12 | UCLA | 3:30pm ET | at | California | 38-23 | |
| P12 | USC | 6:00pm ET | host | Colorado | 40-14 | |
| P12 | Utah | 29-23 OT | at | Oregon St | 29-25 | -1 |
| P12 | Washington | 8:00pm ET | at | Oregon | 17-32 | |
| P12 | Washington St | is idle | ||||
| SBC | Appalachian St | 3:00pm ET | at | Troy | 18-32 | |
| SBC | Arkansas St | is idle | ||||
| SBC | Ga Southern | is idle | ||||
| SBC | Georgia St | 7:30pm ET | at | South Alabama | 11-29 | |
| SBC | Idaho | 5:00pm ET | host | New Mexico St | 25-27 | |
| SBC | New Mexico St | 5:00pm ET | at | Idaho | 27-25 | |
| SBC | South Alabama | 7:30pm ET | host | Georgia St | 29-11 | |
| SBC | Texas St | 10-34 | host | ULL | 23-18 | -7.1 |
| SBC | Troy | 3:00pm ET | host | Appalachian St | 32-18 | |
| SBC | ULL | 34-10 | at | Texas St | 18-23 | 7.1 |
| SBC | ULM | is idle | ||||
| SEC | Alabama | 3:30pm ET | host | Texas A&M | 43-24 | |
| SEC | Arkansas | 4:00pm ET | neu | Georgia | 24-31 | |
| SEC | Auburn | is idle | ||||
| SEC | Florida | 7:00pm ET | host | Missouri | 22-23 | |
| SEC | Georgia | 4:00pm ET | neu | Arkansas | 31-24 | |
| SEC | Kentucky | 7:30pm ET | at | LSU | 26-34 | |
| SEC | LSU | 7:30pm ET | host | Kentucky | 34-26 | |
| SEC | Mississippi | 7:00pm ET | host | Tennessee | 36-16 | |
| SEC | Mississippi St | is idle | ||||
| SEC | Missouri | 7:00pm ET | at | Florida | 23-22 | |
| SEC v FCS | SOUTH CAROLINA | 12:00pm ET | host | Furman | 41-14 | |
| SEC | Tennessee | 7:00pm ET | at | Mississippi | 16-36 | |
| SEC | Texas A&M | 3:30pm ET | at | Alabama | 24-43 | |
| SEC | Vanderbilt | is idle |
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